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[
"CHICAGO",
"-",
"Sears",
",",
"Roebuck",
"&",
"Co.",
"is",
"struggling",
"as",
"it",
"enters",
"the",
"critical",
"Christmas",
"season",
".",
"Yesterday",
",",
"the",
"retailing",
"and",
"financial",
"services",
"giant",
"reported",
"a",
"16",
"%",
"drop",
"in",
"third-quarter",
"earnings",
"to",
"$",
"257.5",
"million",
",",
"or",
"75",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"from",
"a",
"restated",
"$",
"305",
"million",
",",
"or",
"80",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"But",
"the",
"news",
"was",
"even",
"worse",
"for",
"Sears",
"'s",
"core",
"U.S.",
"retailing",
"operation",
",",
"the",
"largest",
"in",
"the",
"nation",
".",
"Sears",
"said",
"its",
"U.S.",
"stores",
"had",
"a",
"loss",
"of",
"$",
"6.9",
"million",
",",
"their",
"first",
"deficit",
"for",
"the",
"period",
"in",
"more",
"than",
"five",
"years",
".",
"Analysts",
"estimated",
"that",
"sales",
"at",
"U.S.",
"stores",
"declined",
"in",
"the",
"quarter",
",",
"too",
".",
"The",
"results",
"underscore",
"Sears",
"'s",
"difficulties",
"in",
"implementing",
"the",
"``",
"everyday",
"low",
"pricing",
"''",
"strategy",
"that",
"it",
"adopted",
"in",
"March",
"as",
"part",
"of",
"a",
"broad",
"attempt",
"to",
"revive",
"its",
"retailing",
"business",
".",
"Under",
"the",
"new",
"approach",
",",
"Sears",
"set",
"prices",
"that",
"were",
"somewhere",
"between",
"its",
"old",
"``",
"regular",
"''",
"and",
"``",
"sale",
"''",
"prices",
".",
"The",
"company",
"said",
"it",
"would",
"resort",
"far",
"less",
"often",
"to",
"slashing",
"prices",
"to",
"woo",
"shoppers",
".",
"Sears",
"officials",
"insist",
"they",
"do",
"n't",
"intend",
"to",
"abandon",
"the",
"everyday",
"pricing",
"approach",
"in",
"the",
"face",
"of",
"the",
"poor",
"results",
".",
"Instead",
",",
"a",
"spokesman",
"blames",
"the",
"dismal",
"third-quarter",
"showing",
"on",
"``",
"an",
"environment",
"that",
"is",
"being",
"distorted",
"by",
"a",
"very",
"harsh",
"climate",
"for",
"sales",
"of",
"durable",
"goods",
",",
"''",
"which",
"account",
"for",
"roughly",
"two-thirds",
"of",
"Sears",
"'s",
"annual",
"merchandise",
"volume",
".",
"The",
"new",
"pricing",
"strategy",
"``",
"is",
"working",
",",
"''",
"the",
"spokesman",
"asserted",
".",
"He",
"added",
"that",
",",
"after",
"an",
"initial",
"surge",
"triggered",
"by",
"an",
"advertising",
"blitz",
"in",
"March",
",",
"Sears",
"expected",
"that",
"the",
"pricing",
"program",
"would",
"n't",
"have",
"any",
"effect",
"on",
"revenue",
".",
"Sears",
"has",
"been",
"counting",
"on",
"growth",
"coming",
"from",
"the",
"large",
"displays",
"of",
"brand-name",
"merchandise",
"it",
"is",
"adding",
"to",
"its",
"stores",
"over",
"the",
"next",
"two",
"years",
"in",
"what",
"it",
"calls",
"``",
"power",
"formats",
".",
"''",
"But",
"analysts",
"say",
"Sears",
"faces",
"an",
"especially",
"daunting",
"challenge",
"on",
"the",
"eve",
"of",
"the",
"Christmas",
"shopping",
"season",
".",
"``",
"I",
"believe",
"everyday",
"pricing",
"in",
"the",
"current",
"environment",
"does",
"n't",
"work",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Walter",
"Loeb",
"of",
"Morgan",
"Stanley",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"pointing",
"to",
"soft",
"durable-goods",
"sales",
".",
"``",
"Sears",
"is",
"likely",
"to",
"be",
"unsuccessful",
"if",
"it",
"continues",
"with",
"its",
"pricing",
"policy",
"when",
"everyone",
"else",
"is",
"offering",
"unusual",
"values",
".",
"''",
"In",
"what",
"amounts",
"to",
"an",
"admission",
"that",
"the",
"transition",
"has",
"n't",
"gone",
"as",
"smoothly",
"as",
"Sears",
"had",
"hoped",
",",
"the",
"giant",
"retailer",
"is",
"now",
"trying",
"new",
"ways",
"to",
"drum",
"up",
"business",
"without",
"appearing",
"to",
"abandon",
"its",
"seven-month-old",
"strategy",
".",
"The",
"company",
"is",
"highlighting",
"more",
"special",
"deals",
"in",
"its",
"advertising",
"and",
"stores",
",",
"and",
"it",
"'s",
"offering",
"to",
"defer",
"finance",
"charges",
"on",
"certain",
"big-ticket",
"items",
".",
"Sears",
"is",
"also",
"stepping",
"up",
"its",
"television",
"ads",
"and",
"changing",
"its",
"message",
".",
"In",
"a",
"new",
"TV",
"ad",
",",
"for",
"instance",
",",
"a",
"woman",
"going",
"through",
"the",
"Sunday",
"newspaper",
"brands",
"as",
"hype",
"claims",
"by",
"other",
"stores",
"that",
"they",
"are",
"offering",
"goods",
"for",
"``",
"50",
"%",
",",
"60",
"%",
"and",
"70",
"%",
"off",
".",
"''",
"By",
"lowering",
"prices",
"throughout",
"its",
"stores",
",",
"she",
"says",
",",
"``",
"Sears",
"has",
"the",
"right",
"idea",
".",
"''",
"But",
"the",
"ad",
"also",
"mentions",
"Sears",
"'s",
"sales",
"--",
"a",
"topic",
"that",
"the",
"retailer",
"has",
"avoided",
"since",
"switching",
"to",
"everyday",
"pricing",
".",
"``",
"When",
"Sears",
"has",
"a",
"sale",
"at",
"a",
"special",
"price",
",",
"''",
"the",
"woman",
"in",
"the",
"ad",
"declares",
",",
"``",
"it",
"'s",
"something",
"you",
"do",
"n't",
"want",
"to",
"miss",
".",
"''",
"Recent",
"surveys",
"by",
"Leo",
"J.",
"Shapiro",
"&",
"Associates",
",",
"a",
"market",
"research",
"firm",
"in",
"Chicago",
",",
"suggest",
"that",
"Sears",
"is",
"having",
"a",
"tough",
"time",
"attracting",
"shoppers",
"because",
"it",
"has",
"n't",
"yet",
"done",
"enough",
"to",
"improve",
"service",
"or",
"its",
"selection",
"of",
"merchandise",
".",
"The",
"number",
"of",
"people",
"who",
"said",
"they",
"were",
"more",
"likely",
"to",
"shop",
"at",
"Sears",
"fell",
"in",
"September",
"to",
"37",
"%",
"from",
"66",
"%",
"in",
"March",
",",
"when",
"Sears",
"blanketed",
"the",
"airwaves",
"with",
"ads",
"about",
"its",
"new",
"pricing",
"strategy",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"the",
"number",
"of",
"people",
"who",
"spontaneously",
"cited",
"lower",
"prices",
"as",
"the",
"reason",
"for",
"their",
"interest",
"in",
"Sears",
"declined",
"to",
"16",
"%",
"in",
"September",
"from",
"33",
"%",
"in",
"March",
".",
"Just",
"5",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"respondents",
"mentioned",
"brands",
"in",
"September",
",",
"up",
"slightly",
"from",
"2",
"%",
"in",
"March",
".",
"Only",
"2",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"people",
"in",
"September",
"cited",
"Sears",
"'s",
"``",
"friendly",
"personnel",
".",
"''",
"``",
"The",
"power",
"of",
"price",
"as",
"an",
"appeal",
",",
"which",
"was",
"very",
"considerable",
"in",
"driving",
"traffic",
"in",
"March",
"and",
"April",
",",
"has",
"diminished",
",",
"''",
"says",
"George",
"Rosenbaum",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Shapiro",
"&",
"Associates",
".",
"``",
"You",
"see",
"some",
"improvement",
"in",
"these",
"other",
"areas",
",",
"but",
"it",
"'s",
"a",
"very",
"small",
"and",
"slow",
"process",
".",
"''",
"For",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
",",
"Sears",
"said",
"its",
"total",
"revenue",
"rose",
"4.8",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"13.18",
"billion",
"from",
"$",
"12.57",
"billion",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"Net",
"income",
"at",
"Sears",
"'s",
"merchandise",
"group",
",",
"which",
"includes",
"international",
"and",
"credit",
"card",
"operations",
",",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"U.S.",
"stores",
",",
"fell",
"25",
"%",
".",
"Profit",
"at",
"Sears",
"'s",
"Allstate",
"insurance",
"unit",
"fell",
"38",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"126.1",
"million",
"because",
"of",
"Hurricane",
"Hugo",
",",
"which",
"inflicted",
"the",
"greatest",
"single",
"storm",
"damage",
"loss",
"in",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"history",
".",
"Sears",
"said",
"claims",
"from",
"the",
"storm",
",",
"as",
"expected",
",",
"reduced",
"its",
"third-quarter",
"net",
"by",
"$",
"80",
"million",
",",
"or",
"23",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
".",
"Allstate",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"absorb",
"another",
"big",
"hit",
"in",
"the",
"fourth",
"quarter",
"as",
"claims",
"pour",
"in",
"from",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"earthquake",
".",
"But",
"a",
"spokesman",
"said",
"the",
"quake",
"wo",
"n't",
"have",
"as",
"big",
"a",
"financial",
"impact",
"on",
"Allstate",
"as",
"Hurricane",
"Hugo",
"did",
".",
"Net",
"income",
"at",
"Sears",
"'s",
"Dean",
"Witter",
"Financials",
"Services",
"group",
",",
"meanwhile",
",",
"rose",
"nearly",
"32",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"35.7",
"million",
",",
"reflecting",
"improvements",
"in",
"its",
"basic",
"stock",
"brokerage",
"and",
"Discover",
"credit",
"card",
"businesses",
".",
"Profit",
"at",
"Sears",
"'s",
"Coldwell",
"Banker",
"Real",
"Estate",
"Group",
"nearly",
"quadrupled",
"to",
"$",
"81.2",
"million",
"because",
"of",
"gains",
"on",
"sales",
"of",
"property",
".",
"In",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"composite",
"trading",
"yesterday",
",",
"Sears",
"shares",
"closed",
"at",
"$",
"40.50",
",",
"up",
"87.5",
"cents",
"."
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"debentures",
"next",
"year",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'d",
"like",
"to",
"continue",
"to",
"reduce",
"debt",
",",
"''",
"President",
"Lawrence",
"Perlman",
"said",
".",
"Noting",
"that",
"the",
"company",
"is",
"offering",
"to",
"buy",
"back",
"$",
"154.2",
"million",
"in",
"senior",
"notes",
"paying",
"12",
"3/4",
"%",
",",
"he",
"said",
"the",
"response",
"will",
"help",
"determine",
"future",
"debt-reduction",
"efforts",
".",
"The",
"offer",
"was",
"automatically",
"triggered",
"by",
"the",
"recent",
"sale",
"of",
"Control",
"Data",
"'s",
"Imprimis",
"disk-drive",
"business",
"to",
"Seagate",
"Technology",
"Inc",
".",
"Mr.",
"Perlman",
",",
"who",
"is",
"also",
"acting",
"chief",
"financial",
"officer",
"and",
"the",
"odds-on",
"favorite",
"to",
"become",
"the",
"next",
"chief",
"executive",
",",
"said",
"the",
"company",
"is",
"achieving",
"``",
"modest",
"positive",
"cash",
"flow",
"from",
"operations",
",",
"and",
"we",
"expect",
"that",
"to",
"continue",
"into",
"1990",
".",
"''",
"He",
"said",
"the",
"company",
"has",
"no",
"intention",
"of",
"tapping",
"its",
"short-term",
"bank",
"lines",
"``",
"for",
"a",
"good",
"part",
"of",
"1990",
".",
"''",
"Sometime",
"next",
"year",
",",
"Control",
"Data",
"will",
"``",
"develop",
"a",
"new",
"bank",
"relationship",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Perlman",
"said",
".",
"In",
"recent",
"months",
"a",
"group",
"of",
"lenders",
",",
"led",
"by",
"Bank",
"of",
"America",
",",
"has",
"extended",
"Control",
"Data",
"up",
"to",
"$",
"90",
"million",
"in",
"revolving",
"loans",
"through",
"January",
",",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"$",
"115",
"million",
"in",
"standby",
"letters",
"of",
"credit",
".",
"Loan",
"covenants",
"require",
"that",
"the",
"company",
"achieve",
"specified",
"levels",
"of",
"operating",
"earnings",
"and",
"meet",
"a",
"rolling",
"four-quarter",
"profitability",
"test",
".",
"Last",
"week",
"Control",
"Data",
"reported",
"third-quarter",
"earnings",
"of",
"$",
"9.8",
"million",
",",
"or",
"23",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"on",
"revenue",
"of",
"$",
"763",
"million",
".",
"Through",
"the",
"first",
"nine",
"months",
",",
"the",
"company",
"had",
"a",
"loss",
"of",
"$",
"484",
"million",
",",
"largely",
"reflecting",
"the",
"closing",
"of",
"its",
"supercomputer",
"unit",
".",
"While",
"a",
"few",
"assets",
"are",
"still",
"being",
"shopped",
"--",
"including",
"the",
"sports",
"and",
"entertainment",
"ticketing",
"portion",
"of",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"Ticketron",
"unit",
"--",
"Mr.",
"Price",
"said",
"future",
"restructuring",
"would",
"be",
"a",
"question",
"of",
"strategy",
".",
"``",
"We",
"do",
"n't",
"need",
"the",
"cash",
".",
"''",
"Ticketron",
"'s",
"automated",
"wagering",
"business",
",",
"which",
"operates",
"lotteries",
"in",
"a",
"half",
"dozen",
"states",
",",
"is",
"not",
"for",
"sale",
",",
"the",
"company",
"said",
".",
"Rather",
",",
"Mr.",
"Perlman",
"said",
",",
"Control",
"Data",
"intends",
"to",
"bid",
"for",
"the",
"coming",
"Minnesota",
"lottery",
"contract",
"and",
"is",
"seeking",
"new",
"applications",
"for",
"the",
"technology",
"overseas",
",",
"where",
"``",
"there",
"is",
"great",
"interest",
"in",
"games",
"of",
"skill",
".",
"''",
"He",
"would",
"n't",
"elaborate",
".",
"Control",
"Data",
"'s",
"semiconductor",
"business",
",",
"VTC",
"Inc.",
",",
"continues",
"to",
"lose",
"money",
",",
"the",
"executives",
"acknowledged",
",",
"but",
"they",
"said",
"they",
"consider",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"technology",
"vital",
"to",
"national",
"defense",
"and",
"so",
"are",
"reluctant",
"to",
"dispose",
"of",
"it",
".",
"The",
"company",
"'s",
"strategy",
"for",
"keeping",
"its",
"computer",
"products",
"business",
"profitable",
"--",
"it",
"recently",
"achieved",
"profitability",
"after",
"several",
"quarters",
"of",
"losses",
"--",
"calls",
"for",
"a",
"narrow",
"focus",
"and",
"a",
"lid",
"on",
"expenses",
".",
"Partly",
",",
"costs",
"will",
"be",
"held",
"down",
"through",
"strategic",
"technology",
"alliances",
",",
"management",
"said",
".",
"Control",
"Data",
"recently",
"announced",
"an",
"agreement",
"with",
"MIPS",
"Computer",
"Systems",
"Inc.",
"to",
"jointly",
"develop",
"machines",
"with",
"simplified",
"operating",
"software",
".",
"James",
"E.",
"Ousley",
",",
"computer",
"products",
"group",
"president",
",",
"said",
"such",
"arrangements",
"could",
"help",
"slash",
"Control",
"Data",
"'s",
"computer",
"research",
"and",
"development",
"costs",
"in",
"half",
"by",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"1990",
".",
"He",
"disclosed",
"that",
"before",
"Control",
"Data",
"scrapped",
"its",
"ETA",
"Systems",
"Inc.",
"supercomputer",
"business",
"this",
"past",
"spring",
",",
"those",
"costs",
"were",
"running",
"at",
"nearly",
"35",
"%",
"of",
"group",
"revenue",
".",
"At",
"the",
"same",
"time",
"four",
"of",
"six",
"design",
"projects",
"were",
"spiked",
",",
"he",
"said",
".",
"Asked",
"how",
"the",
"company",
"hopes",
"to",
"expand",
"its",
"computer",
"hardware",
"business",
",",
"Mr.",
"Ousley",
"said",
"it",
"sees",
"good",
"opportunities",
"in",
"systems",
"integration",
".",
"``",
"We",
"think",
"we",
"'re",
"getting",
"only",
"10",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"integration",
"dollars",
"our",
"customers",
"are",
"spending",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"in",
"environments",
"that",
"are",
"going",
"to",
"spend",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"money",
"on",
"that",
".",
"''",
"Control",
"Data",
"mainframes",
"are",
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"numerically",
"intensive",
"computing",
"users",
",",
"such",
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"the",
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",",
"engineering",
"and",
"academic",
"communities",
".",
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"management",
"is",
"a",
"major",
"commercial",
"niche",
".",
"Reviewing",
"the",
"company",
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"scrape",
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"disaster",
",",
"Mr.",
"Price",
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"had",
"tried",
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"do",
"too",
"much",
"on",
"its",
"own",
".",
"``",
"Absolutely",
",",
"''",
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"said",
".",
"But",
"while",
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"stock",
"is",
"selling",
"at",
"about",
"half",
"Control",
"Data",
"'s",
"estimated",
"breakup",
"value",
",",
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"Messrs.",
"Perlman",
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"time",
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"the",
"possibility",
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"a",
"hostile",
"takeover",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'ve",
"been",
"listed",
"as",
"a",
"candidate",
"for",
"so",
"long",
"it",
"'s",
"not",
"worth",
"worrying",
"about",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Price",
"."
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"Two",
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",",
"Sen.",
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"(",
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",",
"S.C",
".",
")",
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".",
"``",
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",",
"''",
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",",
"``",
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",",
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".",
"''",
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"just",
"one",
"problem",
":",
"The",
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",",
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",",
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"--",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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"land",
",",
"presidential",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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".",
"``",
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",",
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",",
"''",
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".",
"``",
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",",
"like",
"how",
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"DEA",
",",
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",",
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"``",
"Many",
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",",
"''",
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"Orrin",
"Hatch",
"(",
"R.",
",",
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")",
".",
"Executions",
",",
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"they",
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",",
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"``",
"proper",
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"''",
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",",
"Mr.",
"Hatch",
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".",
"Thomas",
"Boyd",
",",
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",",
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",",
"though",
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"has",
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"far",
".",
"In",
"addition",
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"resuscitating",
"the",
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"death",
"sentences",
"deter",
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",",
"this",
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"a",
"major",
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".",
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",",
"Sen.",
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"(",
"D.",
",",
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".",
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"to",
"have",
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"a",
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".",
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",",
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"juries",
"have",
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"a",
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".",
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"only",
"federal",
"but",
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"sentencings",
",",
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".",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"``",
"How",
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"?",
"''",
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",",
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",",
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",",
"and",
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".",
"Conservatives",
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"note",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"Richard",
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",",
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"Fund",
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".",
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",",
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"floor",
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"time",
"around",
".",
"But",
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"it",
"survives",
",",
"it",
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"changes",
",",
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"penalty",
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"to",
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"by",
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",",
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"now",
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".",
"And",
"that",
",",
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",",
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"strengthen",
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"who",
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"circumstances",
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[
"Where",
"do",
"Americans",
"put",
"their",
"money",
"?",
"It",
"depends",
"on",
"when",
"you",
"look",
".",
"In",
"1900",
",",
"for",
"instance",
",",
"less",
"than",
"8",
"%",
"of",
"assets",
"went",
"into",
"bank",
"deposits",
".",
"That",
"rose",
"to",
"nearly",
"18",
"%",
"during",
"the",
"Depression",
",",
"and",
"has",
"n't",
"changed",
"much",
"since",
".",
"Pension",
"reserves",
",",
"on",
"the",
"other",
"hand",
",",
"made",
"up",
"a",
"relatively",
"small",
"part",
"of",
"household",
"assets",
"until",
"the",
"last",
"decade",
",",
"when",
"they",
"skyrocketed",
".",
"And",
"there",
"has",
"been",
"a",
"drastic",
"decline",
"in",
"the",
"importance",
"of",
"unincorporated",
"business",
"assets",
"--",
"thanks",
"to",
"industry",
"consolidation",
"and",
"a",
"decline",
"in",
"family",
"farms",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"some",
"of",
"what",
"emerges",
"from",
"the",
"following",
"charts",
",",
"which",
"show",
"how",
"Americans",
"have",
"changed",
"their",
"investment",
"patterns",
"over",
"the",
"past",
"90",
"years",
".",
"Some",
"results",
"are",
"self-explanatory",
".",
"But",
"other",
"figures",
"are",
"surprising",
".",
"Housing",
",",
"for",
"instance",
",",
"has",
"remained",
"a",
"fairly",
"steady",
"component",
"of",
"household",
"assets",
"over",
"the",
"past",
"decade",
"--",
"although",
"common",
"wisdom",
"would",
"have",
"expected",
"an",
"increase",
".",
"``",
"There",
"is",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"attention",
"paid",
"to",
"housing",
"as",
"a",
"form",
"of",
"household",
"wealth",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Edward",
"N.",
"Wolff",
",",
"professor",
"of",
"economics",
"at",
"New",
"York",
"University",
".",
"``",
"But",
"it",
"has",
"n't",
"increased",
"much",
"relative",
"to",
"other",
"assets",
".",
"It",
"suggests",
"that",
"households",
"accumulate",
"wealth",
"across",
"a",
"broad",
"spectrum",
"of",
"assets",
".",
"And",
"housing",
"though",
"it",
"appears",
"in",
"the",
"popular",
"mind",
"as",
"being",
"the",
"major",
"-LCB-",
"growing",
"-RCB-",
"household",
"asset",
",",
"is",
"n't",
".",
"''",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"investors",
"'",
"desire",
"to",
"hold",
"stocks",
"--",
"directly",
"and",
"through",
"mutual",
"funds",
"--",
"has",
"held",
"surprisingly",
"steady",
";",
"stocks",
"'",
"importance",
"among",
"assets",
"largely",
"reflects",
"the",
"ups",
"and",
"downs",
"of",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
",",
"and",
"not",
"a",
"shift",
"in",
"stock-holding",
"preferences",
".",
"``",
"Stocks",
"have",
"not",
"spread",
"to",
"the",
"general",
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".",
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[
"Western",
"Digital",
"Corp.",
"reported",
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"loss",
"of",
"$",
"2.7",
"million",
",",
"or",
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"cents",
"a",
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",",
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",",
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",",
"an",
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"technology",
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",",
"the",
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"Nonetheless",
",",
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".",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"258.4",
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".",
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",",
"Mr.",
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".",
"The",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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"of",
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"boards",
"and",
"too",
"few",
"new",
"monitors",
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"with",
"the",
"new",
"graphics",
"boards",
".",
"Western",
"Digital",
"does",
"n't",
"make",
"the",
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".",
"An",
"accelerating",
"move",
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"personal",
"computer",
"manufacturers",
"'",
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"advanced",
"graphics",
"capabilities",
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"equipment",
"further",
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"reseller",
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"'s",
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".",
"``",
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"other",
"areas",
"of",
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"business",
"--",
"storage",
"and",
"microcomputers",
"--",
"were",
"very",
"good",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
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"said",
".",
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"to",
"the",
"movement",
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"video",
"graphics",
"array",
",",
"VGA",
",",
"graphics",
"technology",
"from",
"the",
"old",
"enhanced",
"graphics",
"adapter",
",",
"EGA",
",",
"which",
"has",
"a",
"lower",
"resolution",
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",",
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"and",
"now",
"is",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"leading",
"producers",
"of",
"these",
"newer",
"units",
".",
"Other",
"makers",
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"controller",
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"also",
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"the",
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",",
"he",
"said",
",",
"``",
"but",
"we",
"were",
"able",
"to",
"respond",
"much",
"more",
"quickly",
".",
"''",
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",",
"Mr.",
"Johnson",
"said",
",",
"``",
"our",
"stock",
"is",
"grossly",
"undervalued",
".",
"''",
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"said",
"the",
"company",
"has",
"cut",
"operating",
"expenses",
"by",
"about",
"10",
"%",
"over",
"the",
"last",
"few",
"quarters",
",",
"while",
"maintaining",
"research",
"and",
"development",
"at",
"about",
"8",
"%",
"to",
"9",
"%",
"of",
"sales",
".",
"As",
"part",
"of",
"its",
"reorganization",
"this",
"week",
",",
"Western",
"Digital",
"has",
"divided",
"its",
"business",
"into",
"two",
"segments",
"--",
"storage",
"products",
",",
"including",
"controllers",
"and",
"disk",
"drives",
";",
"and",
"microcomputer",
"products",
",",
"which",
"include",
"graphics",
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[
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[
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".",
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",",
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"a",
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"not",
"saying",
"drink",
"more",
",",
"we",
"'re",
"saying",
"trade",
"up",
".",
"''",
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"are",
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"their",
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"to",
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"to",
"health-conscious",
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".",
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"some",
"sales",
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".",
"The",
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",",
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",",
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"a",
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"a",
"higher-fat",
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".",
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"Fresca",
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",",
"the",
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"a",
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"3.5",
"%",
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".",
"A",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"Goya",
"is",
"selling",
"Leche",
"Fresca",
"in",
"nearly",
"500",
"grocery",
"stores",
"and",
"bodegas",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"and",
"parts",
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"New",
"Jersey",
".",
"And",
"it",
"'s",
"adding",
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"to",
"20",
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",",
"says",
"Greg",
"Ricca",
",",
"sales",
"director",
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"Lecheria",
".",
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",",
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",",
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"tastes",
".",
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"Makers",
"Copy",
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"Sales",
"Ploys",
"FOR",
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",",
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"displays",
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"stores",
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"and",
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".",
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"was",
",",
"well",
",",
"fake",
".",
"As",
"a",
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",",
"marketers",
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"faux",
"gems",
"steadily",
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"stores",
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"more",
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"rivals",
"--",
"cosmetics",
"makers",
".",
"But",
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",",
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",",
"fake",
"has",
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".",
"And",
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"beginning",
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"many",
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"tricks",
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".",
"Last",
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",",
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"'s",
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"jewelry",
"business",
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"4.9",
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",",
"says",
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"Alberg",
",",
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"magazine",
".",
"And",
"it",
"'s",
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"fast",
",",
"with",
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"sales",
"gains",
"of",
"more",
"than",
"10",
"%",
".",
"To",
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"share",
"of",
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"business",
",",
"jewelry",
"makers",
"such",
"as",
"Crystal",
"Brands",
"Inc.",
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"Trifari",
"and",
"Monet",
"units",
"and",
"Swank",
"Inc.",
",",
"maker",
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"Klein",
"jewelry",
",",
"are",
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"lines",
"with",
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"the",
"fragrance",
"companies",
".",
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"'re",
"hiring",
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",",
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"--",
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".",
"``",
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"just",
"about",
"anything",
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"keep",
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"moving",
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",",
"''",
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"Kim",
"Renk",
",",
"a",
"Swank",
"vice",
"president",
".",
"But",
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"limits",
".",
"Ms.",
"Renk",
"says",
"retailers",
"nixed",
"a",
"promotion",
"for",
"pins",
"with",
"animal",
"motifs",
".",
"Her",
"idea",
":",
"bring",
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"zoo",
"animals",
".",
"Trifari",
",",
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"cutouts",
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",",
"takes",
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".",
"The",
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",",
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"E.",
"Philip",
",",
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".",
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"help",
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"advise",
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".",
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"firms",
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"big",
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":",
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[
"Exxon",
"Corp.",
"said",
"its",
"third-quarter",
"earnings",
"slipped",
"9",
"%",
"as",
"profits",
"from",
"two",
"of",
"its",
"three",
"major",
"businesses",
"sagged",
".",
"All",
"cleanup",
"costs",
"from",
"last",
"spring",
"'s",
"Alaskan",
"oil",
"spill",
"were",
"reflected",
"in",
"earlier",
"results",
",",
"it",
"said",
".",
"Phillips",
"Petroleum",
"Co.",
"and",
"Atlantic",
"Richfield",
"Co.",
"also",
"reported",
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"in",
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",",
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"Inc.",
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"a",
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"for",
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"quarter",
".",
"Amerada",
"Hess",
"Corp.",
"and",
"Occidental",
"Petroleum",
"Corp.",
"reported",
"higher",
"earnings",
".",
"Exxon",
"Although",
"Exxon",
"spent",
"heavily",
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"quarter",
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"Alaskan",
"shoreline",
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"spill",
",",
"those",
"expenses",
"as",
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"the",
"cost",
"of",
"a",
"continuing",
"spill-related",
"program",
"are",
"covered",
"by",
"$",
"880",
"million",
"in",
"charges",
"taken",
"during",
"the",
"first",
"half",
".",
"An",
"Exxon",
"official",
"said",
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"at",
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"time",
"the",
"oil",
"company",
"does",
"n't",
"anticipate",
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"additional",
"charges",
"to",
"future",
"earnings",
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"one",
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".",
"She",
"added",
",",
"however",
",",
"that",
"charges",
"already",
"taken",
"do",
"n't",
"take",
"into",
"account",
"the",
"potential",
"effect",
"of",
"litigation",
"involving",
"the",
"oil",
"spill",
".",
"She",
"said",
"that",
"impact",
"ca",
"n't",
"be",
"reasonably",
"assessed",
"yet",
".",
"Exxon",
"'s",
"net",
"income",
"during",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"dropped",
"to",
"$",
"1.11",
"billion",
",",
"or",
"87",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"from",
"$",
"1.22",
"billion",
",",
"or",
"93",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"Revenue",
"rose",
"8.1",
"%",
",",
"to",
"$",
"23.65",
"billion",
"from",
"$",
"21.88",
"billion",
".",
"During",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
",",
"Exxon",
"purchased",
"8.34",
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"shares",
"of",
"its",
"stock",
"at",
"a",
"cost",
"of",
"$",
"373",
"million",
".",
"Exxon",
"'s",
"profitability",
",",
"like",
"that",
"of",
"many",
"other",
"oil",
"companies",
",",
"was",
"hurt",
"during",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"by",
"declining",
"returns",
"from",
"the",
"chemicals",
"and",
"refining",
"and",
"marketing",
"businesses",
".",
"Exxon",
"'s",
"earnings",
"from",
"chemicals",
"operations",
"fell",
"$",
"90",
"million",
",",
"to",
"$",
"254",
"million",
",",
"while",
"refining",
"and",
"marketing",
"profits",
"declined",
"$",
"180",
"million",
",",
"to",
"$",
"357",
"million",
".",
"Although",
"crude",
"oil",
"prices",
"were",
"significantly",
"higher",
"this",
"year",
",",
"they",
"were",
"n't",
"strong",
"enough",
"to",
"offset",
"the",
"declining",
"profits",
"in",
"those",
"business",
"sectors",
"at",
"most",
"oil",
"companies",
",",
"said",
"William",
"Randol",
",",
"oil",
"analyst",
"for",
"First",
"Boston",
"Corp",
".",
"He",
"estimates",
"that",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"West",
"Texas",
"Intermediate",
",",
"the",
"U.S.",
"benchmark",
"crude",
",",
"was",
"$",
"4.04",
"a",
"barrel",
"higher",
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"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"of",
"this",
"year",
"than",
"in",
"the",
"same",
"period",
"last",
"year",
".",
"Ashland",
"Oil",
"A",
"rash",
"of",
"one-time",
"charges",
"left",
"Ashland",
"Oil",
"with",
"a",
"loss",
"of",
"$",
"39",
"million",
"for",
"its",
"fiscal",
"fourth",
"quarter",
".",
"A",
"year",
"earlier",
",",
"the",
"refiner",
"earned",
"$",
"66",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"1.19",
"a",
"share",
".",
"Quarterly",
"revenue",
"rose",
"4.5",
"%",
",",
"to",
"$",
"2.3",
"billion",
"from",
"$",
"2.2",
"billion",
".",
"For",
"the",
"year",
",",
"net",
"income",
"tumbled",
"61",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"86",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"1.55",
"a",
"share",
".",
"The",
"Ashland",
",",
"Ky.",
",",
"oil",
"company",
"reported",
"a",
"$",
"38",
"million",
"charge",
"resulting",
"from",
"settlement",
"of",
"a",
"10-year",
"dispute",
"with",
"the",
"National",
"Iranian",
"Oil",
"Co.",
"over",
"claims",
"that",
"Ashland",
"did",
"n't",
"pay",
"for",
"Iranian",
"crude",
"it",
"had",
"received",
".",
"In",
"September",
",",
"Ashland",
"settled",
"the",
"long-simmering",
"dispute",
"by",
"agreeing",
"to",
"pay",
"Iran",
"$",
"325",
"million",
".",
"Ashland",
"also",
"took",
"a",
"$",
"25",
"million",
"after-tax",
"charge",
"to",
"cover",
"anticipated",
"costs",
"to",
"correct",
"problems",
"with",
"boilers",
"built",
"by",
"one",
"of",
"its",
"subsidiaries",
".",
"The",
"oil",
"refiner",
"also",
"booked",
"a",
"$",
"15",
"million",
"charge",
"for",
"selling",
"Ashland",
"Technology",
"Corp.",
",",
"one",
"of",
"its",
"subsidiaries",
",",
"at",
"a",
"loss",
".",
"Amerada",
"Hess",
"Third-quarter",
"earnings",
"at",
"Amerada",
"Hess",
"more",
"than",
"tripled",
"to",
"$",
"51.81",
"million",
",",
"or",
"64",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"from",
"$",
"15.7",
"million",
",",
"or",
"20",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"Revenue",
"climbed",
"28",
"%",
",",
"to",
"$",
"1.18",
"billion",
"from",
"$",
"925",
"million",
".",
"Profits",
"improved",
"across",
"Hess",
"'s",
"businesses",
".",
"Refining",
"and",
"marketing",
"earnings",
"climbed",
"to",
"$",
"33.3",
"million",
"from",
"$",
"12.9",
"million",
",",
"and",
"exploration",
"and",
"production",
"earnings",
"rose",
"to",
"$",
"37.1",
"million",
"from",
"$",
"17.9",
"million",
".",
"Hess",
"'s",
"earnings",
"were",
"up",
"despite",
"a",
"$",
"30",
"million",
"charge",
"to",
"cover",
"the",
"cost",
"of",
"maintaining",
"operations",
"after",
"Hurricane",
"Hugo",
"heavily",
"damaged",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"refinery",
"at",
"St.",
"Croix",
".",
"It",
"is",
"widely",
"known",
"within",
"industry",
"circles",
"that",
"Hess",
"had",
"to",
"buy",
"oil",
"products",
"in",
"the",
"high-priced",
"spot",
"markets",
"to",
"continue",
"supplying",
"its",
"customers",
".",
"Hess",
"declined",
"to",
"comment",
".",
"Phillips",
"Petroleum",
"Phillips",
"Petroleum",
"'s",
"third-quarter",
"earnings",
"slid",
"60",
"%",
",",
"to",
"$",
"87",
"million",
",",
"or",
"36",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"from",
"$",
"215",
"million",
",",
"or",
"89",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
".",
"Revenue",
"rose",
"6.9",
"%",
",",
"to",
"$",
"3.1",
"billion",
"from",
"$",
"2.9",
"billion",
".",
"Shrinking",
"profit",
"margins",
"in",
"chemical",
"and",
"refining",
"and",
"marketing",
"sectors",
"accounted",
"for",
"most",
"of",
"the",
"decline",
",",
"said",
"Chairman",
"C.J.",
"Silas",
"in",
"a",
"statement",
".",
"Despite",
"higher",
"oil",
"prices",
",",
"exploration",
"and",
"production",
"profits",
"were",
"off",
"because",
"of",
"foreign-currency",
"losses",
"and",
"some",
"construction",
"costs",
"incurred",
"in",
"one",
"of",
"Phillips",
"'",
"North",
"Sea",
"oil",
"fields",
".",
"A",
"year",
"ago",
",",
"results",
"were",
"buoyed",
"by",
"a",
"$",
"20",
"million",
"after-tax",
"gain",
"from",
"an",
"asset",
"sale",
".",
"Occidental",
"Petroleum",
"Occidental",
"Petroleum",
"'s",
"third-quarter",
"net",
"income",
"rose",
"2.9",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"108",
"million",
",",
"or",
"39",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"from",
"$",
"105",
"million",
",",
"or",
"38",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"The",
"latest",
"quarter",
"included",
"an",
"after-tax",
"gain",
"of",
"$",
"71",
"million",
"from",
"non-recurring",
"items",
".",
"Sales",
"dropped",
"2",
"%",
",",
"to",
"$",
"4.8",
"billion",
"from",
"$",
"4.9",
"billion",
".",
"The",
"latest",
"period",
"included",
"a",
"$",
"54",
"million",
"gain",
"from",
"the",
"sale",
"of",
"various",
"oil",
"and",
"gas",
"properties",
",",
"a",
"$",
"22",
"million",
"charge",
"from",
"the",
"restructuring",
"of",
"Occidental",
"'s",
"domestic",
"oil",
"and",
"gas",
"operations",
",",
"and",
"tax",
"credits",
"of",
"$",
"42",
"million",
".",
"Both",
"periods",
"included",
"non-recurring",
"charges",
"of",
"$",
"3",
"million",
"for",
"early",
"retirement",
"of",
"debt",
".",
"Occidental",
"said",
"oil",
"and",
"gas",
"earnings",
"fell",
"to",
"$",
"17",
"million",
"from",
"$",
"20",
"million",
".",
"The",
"latest",
"period",
"includes",
"net",
"gains",
"of",
"$",
"32",
"million",
"in",
"non-recurring",
"credits",
"from",
"the",
"sale",
"of",
"properties",
",",
"indicating",
"operating",
"losses",
"for",
"the",
"quarter",
"in",
"the",
"oil",
"and",
"gas",
"division",
".",
"Chemical",
"earnings",
"fell",
"10",
"%",
",",
"reflecting",
"softening",
"of",
"demand",
".",
"Atlantic",
"Richfield",
"Citing",
"its",
"reduced",
"ownership",
"in",
"the",
"Lyondell",
"Petrochemical",
"Co.",
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[
"Intel",
"Corp.",
"'s",
"most",
"powerful",
"computer",
"chip",
"has",
"flaws",
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"several",
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"'",
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",",
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"''",
"are",
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"Intel",
"and",
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".",
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",",
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"'s",
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",",
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"are",
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"most",
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"their",
"``",
"brains",
"''",
"appear",
"on",
"the",
"market",
"sometime",
"next",
"year",
".",
"Intel",
"said",
"that",
"last",
"week",
"a",
"customer",
"discovered",
"two",
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"80486",
"microprocessor",
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"'s",
"``",
"floating-point",
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"''",
",",
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"do",
"certain",
"calculations",
".",
"On",
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",",
"Intel",
"began",
"notifying",
"customers",
"about",
"the",
"bugs",
"which",
"cause",
"the",
"chip",
"to",
"give",
"wrong",
"answers",
"for",
"some",
"mathematical",
"calculations",
".",
"But",
"while",
"International",
"Business",
"Machines",
"Corp.",
"and",
"Compaq",
"Computer",
"Corp.",
"say",
"the",
"bugs",
"will",
"delay",
"products",
",",
"most",
"big",
"computer",
"makers",
"said",
"the",
"flaws",
"do",
"n't",
"affect",
"them",
".",
"``",
"Bugs",
"like",
"this",
"are",
"just",
"a",
"normal",
"part",
"of",
"product",
"development",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Richard",
"Archuleta",
",",
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"of",
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"Co.",
"'s",
"advanced",
"systems",
"development",
".",
"Hewlett",
"announced",
"last",
"week",
"that",
"it",
"planned",
"to",
"ship",
"a",
"computer",
"based",
"on",
"the",
"486",
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"early",
"next",
"year",
".",
"``",
"These",
"bugs",
"do",
"n't",
"affect",
"our",
"schedule",
"at",
"all",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"Likewise",
",",
"AST",
"Research",
"Inc.",
"and",
"Sun",
"Microsystems",
"Inc.",
"said",
"the",
"bugs",
"wo",
"n't",
"delay",
"their",
"development",
"of",
"486-based",
"machines",
".",
"``",
"We",
"have",
"n't",
"modified",
"our",
"schedules",
"in",
"any",
"way",
",",
"''",
"said",
"a",
"Sun",
"spokesman",
".",
"To",
"switch",
"to",
"another",
"vendor",
"'s",
"chips",
",",
"``",
"would",
"definitely",
"not",
"be",
"an",
"option",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"Nonetheless",
",",
"concern",
"about",
"the",
"chip",
"may",
"have",
"been",
"responsible",
"for",
"a",
"decline",
"of",
"87.5",
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"'s",
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"to",
"$",
"32",
"a",
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"trading",
",",
"on",
"volume",
"of",
"3,609,800",
"shares",
",",
"and",
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"a",
"drop",
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"'s",
"stock",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"composite",
"trading",
"on",
"Wednesday",
".",
"Yesterday",
",",
"Compaq",
"plunged",
"further",
",",
"closing",
"at",
"$",
"100",
"a",
"share",
",",
"off",
"$",
"8.625",
"a",
"share",
",",
"on",
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"2,633,700",
"shares",
".",
"Most",
"of",
"Compaq",
"'s",
"decline",
"is",
"being",
"attributed",
"to",
"a",
"third-quarter",
"earnings",
"report",
"that",
"came",
"in",
"at",
"the",
"low",
"end",
"of",
"analysts",
"'",
"expectations",
".",
"Intel",
"said",
"it",
"had",
"corrected",
"the",
"problems",
"and",
"would",
"start",
"producing",
"bugless",
"chips",
"next",
"week",
".",
"``",
"We",
"should",
"not",
"be",
"seeing",
"any",
"more",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Bill",
"Rash",
",",
"Intel",
"'s",
"director",
"for",
"the",
"486",
"chip",
".",
"What",
"'s",
"more",
",",
"the",
"bugs",
"only",
"emerge",
"on",
"esoteric",
"applications",
"such",
"as",
"computer-aided",
"design",
"and",
"scientific",
"calculations",
",",
"he",
"said",
",",
"and",
"then",
"very",
"seldom",
".",
"``",
"These",
"errata",
"do",
"not",
"affect",
"business",
"programs",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"The",
"bugs",
"will",
"cause",
"problems",
"in",
"``",
"specific",
"and",
"rare",
"circumstances",
"that",
"will",
"not",
"occur",
"in",
"typical",
"applications",
"''",
"such",
"as",
"word-processing",
"and",
"spreadsheets",
",",
"said",
"Michael",
"Slater",
",",
"editor",
"of",
"the",
"Microprocessor",
"Report",
",",
"an",
"industry",
"newsletter",
".",
"Sun",
",",
"Hewlett-Packard",
"and",
"others",
"say",
"Intel",
"is",
"n't",
"wholly",
"to",
"blame",
"for",
"the",
"snafu",
".",
"The",
"real",
"culprits",
",",
"they",
"said",
",",
"are",
"computer",
"makers",
"such",
"as",
"IBM",
"that",
"have",
"jumped",
"the",
"gun",
"to",
"unveil",
"486-based",
"products",
".",
"``",
"The",
"reason",
"this",
"is",
"getting",
"so",
"much",
"visibility",
"is",
"that",
"some",
"started",
"shipping",
"and",
"announced",
"early",
"availability",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Hewlett-Packard",
"'s",
"Mr.",
"Archuleta",
".",
"``",
"You",
"can",
"do",
"that",
"but",
"you",
"'re",
"taking",
"a",
"risk",
".",
"Those",
"companies",
"are",
"paying",
"the",
"price",
"for",
"taking",
"the",
"risk",
".",
"''",
"In",
"late",
"September",
",",
"IBM",
"began",
"shipping",
"a",
"plug-in",
"card",
"that",
"converts",
"its",
"PS/2",
"model",
"70-A21",
"from",
"a",
"80386",
"machine",
"to",
"an",
"80486",
"machine",
".",
"An",
"IBM",
"spokeswoman",
"said",
"the",
"company",
"told",
"customers",
"Monday",
"about",
"the",
"bugs",
"and",
"temporarily",
"stopped",
"shipping",
"the",
"product",
".",
"IBM",
"has",
"no",
"plans",
"to",
"recall",
"its",
"add-on",
"cards",
",",
"the",
"spokeswoman",
"said",
",",
"and",
"could",
"probably",
"circumvent",
"the",
"bugs",
"without",
"long",
"product",
"delays",
".",
"``",
"We",
"do",
"n't",
"look",
"at",
"this",
"as",
"a",
"major",
"problem",
"for",
"us",
",",
"''",
"she",
"said",
".",
"Compaq",
",",
"which",
"said",
"it",
"discovered",
"the",
"bugs",
",",
"still",
"plans",
"to",
"announce",
"new",
"486",
"products",
"on",
"Nov.",
"6",
".",
"Because",
"of",
"the",
"glitch",
",",
"however",
",",
"the",
"company",
"said",
"it",
"does",
"n't",
"know",
"when",
"its",
"machine",
"will",
"be",
"commercially",
"available",
".",
"That",
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"a",
"break",
"from",
"Compaq",
"tradition",
",",
"because",
"the",
"company",
"does",
"n't",
"announce",
"products",
"until",
"they",
"'re",
"actually",
"at",
"the",
"dealers",
".",
"The",
"problem",
"is",
"being",
"ballyhooed",
",",
"experts",
"say",
",",
"because",
"the",
"486",
"is",
"Intel",
"'s",
"future",
"flagship",
".",
"Intel",
"'s",
"microprocessors",
"are",
"the",
"chips",
"of",
"choice",
"in",
"many",
"of",
"today",
"'s",
"personal",
"computers",
"and",
"the",
"80486",
"microprocessor",
"is",
"the",
"spearhead",
"of",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"bid",
"to",
"guard",
"that",
"spot",
"in",
"the",
"next",
"generation",
"of",
"machines",
".",
"``",
"Although",
"these",
"sorts",
"of",
"bugs",
"are",
"not",
"at",
"all",
"uncommon",
",",
"the",
"486",
"is",
"an",
"extremely",
"high-profile",
"product",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Slater",
",",
"the",
"newsletter",
"editor",
".",
"Intel",
"'s",
"80486",
"chip",
"is",
"the",
"Corvette",
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"'s",
"microprocessors",
",",
"a",
"super-fast",
",",
"super-expensive",
"chip",
"that",
"only",
"the",
"most",
"power-hungry",
"computer",
"users",
"are",
"likely",
"to",
"buy",
"for",
"at",
"least",
"several",
"years",
".",
"Unveiled",
"last",
"April",
",",
"the",
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"crams",
"1.2",
"million",
"transistors",
"on",
"a",
"sliver",
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",",
"more",
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"four",
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"model",
",",
"80386",
".",
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"speed",
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"15",
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",",
"or",
"MIPs",
".",
"That",
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"four",
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"as",
"fast",
"as",
"the",
"386",
".",
"Machines",
"using",
"the",
"486",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"challenge",
"higher-priced",
"work",
"stations",
"and",
"minicomputers",
"in",
"applications",
"such",
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",",
"which",
"connect",
"groups",
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"computers",
"together",
",",
"and",
"in",
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"design",
".",
"But",
"while",
"the",
"chip",
"'s",
"speed",
"in",
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"power",
"is",
"dazzling",
",",
"it",
"'s",
"real",
"strength",
"lies",
"in",
"its",
"software",
"inheritance",
".",
"The",
"486",
"is",
"the",
"descendant",
"of",
"a",
"long",
"series",
"of",
"Intel",
"chips",
"that",
"began",
"dominating",
"the",
"market",
"ever",
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"IBM",
"picked",
"the",
"16-bit",
"8088",
"chip",
"for",
"its",
"first",
"personal",
"computer",
".",
"(",
"A",
"16-bit",
"microprocessor",
"processes",
"16",
"pieces",
"of",
"data",
"at",
"a",
"time",
"and",
"is",
"slower",
"than",
"newer",
",",
"32-bit",
"chips",
".",
")",
"Since",
"then",
",",
"Intel",
"has",
"cornered",
"a",
"large",
"part",
"of",
"the",
"market",
"with",
"successive",
"generations",
"of",
"16-bit",
"and",
"32-bit",
"chips",
",",
"all",
"of",
"which",
"can",
"run",
"software",
"written",
"for",
"previous",
"models",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"what",
"will",
"keep",
"computer",
"makers",
"coming",
"in",
"spite",
"of",
"the",
"irritation",
"of",
"bugs",
".",
"Big",
"personal",
"computer",
"makers",
"and",
"many",
"makers",
"of",
"engineering",
"workstations",
"are",
"developing",
"486-based",
"machines",
",",
"which",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"reach",
"the",
"market",
"early",
"next",
"year",
".",
"Of",
"the",
"big",
"computer",
"makers",
",",
"only",
"Apple",
"Computer",
"Co.",
"bases",
"its",
"machines",
"on",
"Motorola",
"chips",
"instead",
".",
"``",
"The",
"486",
"is",
"going",
"to",
"have",
"a",
"big",
"impact",
"on",
"the",
"industry",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Hewlett-Packard",
"'s",
"Mr.",
"Archuleta",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"going",
"to",
"be",
"the",
"leading",
"edge",
"technology",
"in",
"personal",
"computers",
"for",
"the",
"next",
"few",
"years",
".",
"This",
"bug",
"is",
"not",
"going",
"to",
"have",
"any",
"affect",
"on",
"that",
"at",
"all",
".",
"''",
"Andy",
"Zipser",
"in",
"Dallas",
"contributed",
"to",
"this",
"article",
"."
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",",
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",",
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"based",
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".",
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",",
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".",
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[
"McCaw",
"Cellular",
"Communications",
"Inc.",
"said",
"it",
"obtained",
"``",
"firm",
"''",
"financing",
"commitments",
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".",
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"Guaranty",
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"National",
"Bank",
",",
"an",
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"$",
"1.2",
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",",
"subject",
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"certain",
"conditions",
",",
"McCaw",
"said",
".",
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",",
"McCaw",
"said",
"the",
"banks",
"expressed",
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"the",
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"of",
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"$",
"4.5",
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"bank",
"facility",
"will",
"be",
"committed",
"within",
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"next",
"several",
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"by",
"a",
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"of",
"foreign",
"and",
"domestic",
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"125",
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",",
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"would",
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"owning",
"50.3",
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"concern",
".",
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"is",
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",",
"however",
",",
"because",
"LIN",
"has",
"agreed",
"to",
"merge",
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"with",
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"Corp",
".",
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"national",
"over-the-counter",
"trading",
"Friday",
",",
"LIN",
"shares",
"rose",
"62.5",
"cents",
"to",
"close",
"at",
"$",
"110.625",
".",
"Beijing",
"lawmakers",
"have",
"called",
"for",
"jails",
"to",
"be",
"built",
"to",
"house",
"prostitutes",
"and",
"for",
"severe",
"punishment",
",",
"including",
"the",
"death",
"sentence",
",",
"for",
"anyone",
"who",
"induces",
"or",
"coerces",
"women",
"into",
"prostitution",
".",
"The",
"official",
"Xinhua",
"News",
"Agency",
"said",
"the",
"municipal",
"government",
"was",
"discussing",
"a",
"draft",
"bill",
"to",
"give",
"the",
"capital",
"its",
"first",
"anti-prostitution",
"statutes",
".",
"It",
"quoted",
"Liu",
"Changyi",
",",
"deputy",
"director",
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"the",
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"Public",
"Security",
"Bureau",
",",
"as",
"saying",
"that",
"there",
"were",
"many",
"more",
"people",
"involved",
"in",
"prostitution",
"now",
"than",
"in",
"1985",
",",
"when",
"there",
"were",
"about",
"100",
"cases",
".",
"Foreigners",
"involved",
"in",
"prostitution",
"will",
"be",
"punished",
"according",
"to",
"the",
"law",
",",
"and",
"those",
"with",
"sexually",
"transmitted",
"diseases",
"will",
"be",
"expelled",
"from",
"the",
"country",
",",
"according",
"to",
"the",
"regulations",
".",
"The",
"Communists",
"nearly",
"succeeded",
"in",
"eliminating",
"prostitution",
"after",
"taking",
"over",
"in",
"1949",
",",
"but",
"the",
"practice",
"has",
"returned",
"in",
"recent",
"years",
"with",
"the",
"country",
"'s",
"increased",
"exposure",
"to",
"the",
"outside",
"world",
".",
"Japan",
"agreed",
"to",
"enforce",
"a",
"decision",
"by",
"an",
"international",
"wildlife",
"conference",
"to",
"ban",
"all",
"trade",
"in",
"ivory",
",",
"a",
"spokesman",
"for",
"the",
"Ministry",
"of",
"International",
"Trade",
"and",
"Industry",
"said",
".",
"Earlier",
",",
"Japan",
"had",
"said",
"it",
"might",
"file",
"a",
"reservation",
"against",
"the",
"ivory",
"ban",
"decided",
"by",
"ballot",
"at",
"the",
"103-nation",
"United",
"Nations",
"Conference",
"on",
"International",
"Trade",
"in",
"Endangered",
"Species",
"in",
"Switzerland",
"last",
"week",
".",
"The",
"Japanese",
"use",
"40",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"world",
"'s",
"ivory",
".",
"Italy",
"should",
"close",
"the",
"Leaning",
"Tower",
"of",
"Pisa",
"because",
"it",
"'s",
"a",
"danger",
"to",
"tourists",
",",
"government-appointed",
"experts",
"said",
".",
"``",
"In",
"some",
"places",
"the",
"stonework",
"is",
"so",
"damaged",
"it",
"shows",
"signs",
"of",
"breaking",
"off",
",",
"''",
"scientists",
"and",
"technicians",
"said",
"in",
"a",
"report",
"to",
"Public",
"Works",
"Minister",
"Giovanni",
"Prandini",
".",
"Each",
"year",
",",
"nearly",
"a",
"million",
"people",
"pay",
"about",
"$",
"3",
"to",
"make",
"the",
"spiral",
"climb",
"up",
"294",
"steps",
"to",
"the",
"top",
"of",
"the",
"800-year-old",
"marble",
"tower",
".",
"East",
"Germany",
"pledged",
"to",
"reduce",
"alcohol",
"consumption",
"by",
"boosting",
"production",
"of",
"soft",
"drinks",
"and",
"fruit",
"juices",
".",
"Trade",
"and",
"Supply",
"Minister",
"Gerhard",
"Briksa",
"said",
"in",
"a",
"letter",
"published",
"in",
"the",
"youth",
"daily",
"Junge",
"Welt",
"that",
"the",
"rise",
"in",
"alcohol",
"consumption",
"in",
"East",
"Germany",
"had",
"been",
"halted",
";",
"but",
"to",
"reduce",
"it",
"further",
",",
"he",
"said",
",",
"production",
"and",
"supply",
"of",
"other",
"beverages",
",",
"including",
"fruit",
"juices",
",",
"should",
"be",
"stepped",
"up",
".",
"He",
"added",
"that",
"shops",
"will",
"have",
"to",
"continue",
"reducing",
"their",
"stocks",
"of",
"liquor",
"and",
"avoid",
"displaying",
"them",
"too",
"prominently",
"in",
"the",
"window",
".",
"Hong",
"Kong",
"has",
"built",
"a",
"detention",
"center",
"for",
"illegal",
"immigrants",
"from",
"China",
"because",
"China",
"has",
"refused",
"for",
"the",
"past",
"two",
"weeks",
"to",
"accept",
"them",
"back",
".",
"The",
"center",
",",
"close",
"to",
"Hong",
"Kong",
"'s",
"border",
"with",
"China",
",",
"will",
"be",
"ready",
"today",
"and",
"will",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"house",
"1,000",
"inmates",
",",
"Police",
"Deputy",
"Director",
"Peter",
"Wong",
"said",
".",
"The",
"dispute",
"started",
"when",
"China",
",",
"angry",
"that",
"Hong",
"Kong",
"had",
"allowed",
"dissident",
"swimmer",
"Yang",
"Yang",
"to",
"flee",
"to",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"halted",
"the",
"usual",
"daily",
"transfer",
"of",
"illegal",
"immigrants",
"caught",
"in",
"this",
"British",
"colony",
",",
"which",
"reverts",
"to",
"Beijing",
"'s",
"control",
"in",
"1997",
".",
"Sweating",
"under",
"the",
"glare",
"of",
"newly",
"installed",
"television",
"lights",
",",
"British",
"members",
"of",
"Parliament",
"demanded",
"a",
"halt",
"to",
"the",
"experimental",
"televising",
"of",
"debates",
".",
"A",
"group",
"of",
"senior",
"Conservative",
"legislators",
",",
"complaining",
"the",
"House",
"of",
"Commons",
"was",
"like",
"a",
"sauna",
",",
"demanded",
"that",
"the",
"experiment",
"be",
"stopped",
"unless",
"the",
"intensity",
"of",
"the",
"lights",
"is",
"reduced",
".",
"One",
"Conservative",
"MP",
",",
"David",
"Wilshire",
",",
"said",
":",
"``",
"I",
"should",
"have",
"a",
"wonderful",
"suntan",
"by",
"Christmas",
".",
"''",
"Debates",
"are",
"due",
"to",
"be",
"broadcast",
"nationally",
"starting",
"Nov.",
"21",
"in",
"a",
"six-month",
"experiment",
".",
"A",
"majority",
"of",
"Japanese",
"banks",
"are",
"said",
"to",
"be",
"wary",
"of",
"making",
"new",
"loans",
"to",
"Mexico",
"under",
"the",
"Brady",
"plan",
"because",
"they",
"'re",
"uncertain",
"the",
"Mexican",
"economy",
"will",
"remain",
"stable",
".",
"Instead",
",",
"many",
"small",
"and",
"medium-sized",
"banks",
",",
"and",
"some",
"larger",
"ones",
",",
"are",
"likely",
"to",
"take",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"other",
"two",
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] |
[
"Americans",
"are",
"drinking",
"less",
",",
"but",
"young",
"professionals",
"from",
"Australia",
"to",
"West",
"Germany",
"are",
"rushing",
"to",
"buy",
"premium-brand",
"American",
"vodka",
",",
"brandy",
"and",
"other",
"spirits",
".",
"In",
"particular",
",",
"many",
"are",
"snubbing",
"the",
"scotch",
"preferred",
"by",
"their",
"parents",
"and",
"opting",
"for",
"bourbon",
",",
"the",
"sweet",
"firewater",
"from",
"the",
"Kentucky",
"countryside",
".",
"With",
"U.S.",
"liquor",
"consumption",
"declining",
"steadily",
",",
"many",
"American",
"producers",
"are",
"stepping",
"up",
"their",
"marketing",
"efforts",
"abroad",
".",
"And",
"those",
"efforts",
"are",
"paying",
"off",
":",
"Spirits",
"exports",
"jumped",
"more",
"than",
"2",
"1/2",
"times",
"to",
"$",
"157.2",
"million",
"in",
"1988",
"from",
"$",
"59.8",
"million",
"in",
"1983",
",",
"according",
"to",
"the",
"Distilled",
"Spirits",
"Council",
"of",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"a",
"trade",
"group",
".",
"``",
"Spirits",
"companies",
"now",
"view",
"themselves",
"as",
"global",
"marketers",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Michael",
"Bellas",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Beverage",
"Marketing",
"Corp.",
",",
"a",
"research",
"and",
"consulting",
"firm",
".",
"``",
"If",
"you",
"want",
"to",
"be",
"a",
"player",
",",
"you",
"have",
"to",
"be",
"in",
"America",
",",
"Europe",
"and",
"the",
"Far",
"East",
".",
"You",
"must",
"have",
"world-class",
"brands",
",",
"a",
"long-term",
"perspective",
"and",
"deep",
"pockets",
".",
"''",
"The",
"internationalization",
"of",
"the",
"industry",
"has",
"been",
"hastened",
"by",
"foreign",
"companies",
"'",
"acquisitions",
"of",
"many",
"U.S.",
"producers",
".",
"In",
"recent",
"years",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"Grand",
"Metropolitan",
"PLC",
"of",
"Britain",
"acquired",
"Heublein",
"Inc.",
",",
"while",
"another",
"British",
"company",
",",
"Guinness",
"PLC",
",",
"took",
"over",
"United",
"Distillers",
"Group",
"and",
"Schenley",
"Industries",
"Inc",
".",
"But",
"the",
"shift",
"has",
"also",
"been",
"fueled",
"by",
"necessity",
".",
"While",
"premium-brand",
"spirits",
"like",
"Smirnoff",
"vodka",
"and",
"Jack",
"Daniel",
"'s",
"whiskey",
"are",
"riding",
"high",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"domestic",
"spirits",
"consumption",
"fell",
"15",
"%",
"to",
"141.1",
"million",
"cases",
"in",
"1988",
"from",
"166",
"million",
"cases",
"in",
"1979",
".",
"In",
"recent",
"years",
",",
"growth",
"has",
"come",
"in",
"the",
"foreign",
"markets",
".",
"U.S.",
"brandy",
"exports",
"more",
"than",
"doubled",
"last",
"year",
"to",
"360,000",
"proof",
"gallons",
",",
"a",
"standard",
"industry",
"measure",
",",
"according",
"to",
"Jobson",
"Beverage",
"Alcohol",
"Group",
",",
"an",
"industry",
"association",
".",
"Exports",
"of",
"rum",
"surged",
"54",
"%",
"to",
"814,000",
"proof",
"gallons",
".",
"Mexico",
"is",
"the",
"biggest",
"importer",
"of",
"both",
"rum",
"and",
"brandy",
"from",
"the",
"U.S.",
".",
"Japan",
",",
"the",
"world",
"'s",
"third-largest",
"liquor",
"market",
"after",
"the",
"U.S.",
"and",
"Britain",
",",
"helped",
"American",
"companies",
"in",
"April",
"when",
"it",
"lowered",
"its",
"tax",
"on",
"imported",
"spirits",
"and",
"levied",
"a",
"tax",
"on",
"many",
"domestic",
"products",
".",
"California",
"wineries",
",",
"benefiting",
"from",
"lowered",
"trade",
"barriers",
"and",
"federal",
"marketing",
"subsidies",
",",
"are",
"expanding",
"aggressively",
"into",
"Japan",
",",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"Canada",
"and",
"Great",
"Britain",
".",
"In",
"Japan",
",",
"the",
"wineries",
"are",
"promoting",
"their",
"products",
"'",
"Pacific",
"roots",
"and",
"courting",
"restaurant",
"and",
"hotel",
"chefs",
",",
"whose",
"recommendations",
"carry",
"weight",
".",
"In",
"Australia",
",",
"Britain",
",",
"Canada",
"and",
"Greece",
",",
"Brown-Forman",
"Corp.",
"has",
"increased",
"its",
"marketing",
"of",
"Southern",
"Comfort",
"Liqueur",
".",
"Using",
"cinema",
",",
"television",
"and",
"print",
"ads",
",",
"the",
"company",
"pitches",
"Southern",
"Comfort",
"as",
"a",
"grand",
"old",
"drink",
"of",
"the",
"antebellum",
"American",
"South",
".",
"The",
"biggest",
"foreign",
"inroads",
",",
"though",
",",
"have",
"been",
"made",
"by",
"bourbon",
".",
"While",
"U.S.",
"makers",
"of",
"vodka",
",",
"rum",
"and",
"other",
"spirits",
"compete",
"against",
"powerhouses",
"abroad",
",",
"trade",
"agreements",
"prohibit",
"any",
"other",
"country",
"from",
"making",
"bourbon",
".",
"(",
"All",
"bourbon",
"comes",
"from",
"Kentucky",
",",
"though",
"Jack",
"Daniel",
"'s",
"Tennessee",
"whiskey",
"often",
"is",
"counted",
"as",
"bourbon",
"because",
"of",
"similarity",
"of",
"taste",
".",
")",
"Moreover",
",",
"just",
"as",
"vodka",
"has",
"acquired",
"an",
"upscale",
"image",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"bourbon",
"has",
"become",
"fashionable",
"in",
"many",
"foreign",
"countries",
",",
"a",
"uniquely",
"American",
"product",
"tied",
"to",
"frontier",
"folklore",
".",
"How",
"was",
"the",
"West",
"won",
"?",
"With",
"a",
"six-shooter",
"in",
"one",
"hand",
"and",
"bourbon",
"in",
"the",
"other",
".",
"``",
"We",
"imagine",
"with",
"bourbon",
"the",
"Wild",
"West",
",",
"Western",
"motion",
"pictures",
"and",
"gunmen",
"appearing",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Kenji",
"Kishimoto",
",",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"Suntory",
"International",
"Corp.",
",",
"a",
"division",
"of",
"Suntory",
"Ltd.",
",",
"Japan",
"'s",
"largest",
"liquor",
"company",
".",
"Suntory",
"distributes",
"Brown-Forman",
"bourbons",
"in",
"Japan",
".",
"Bourbon",
"makes",
"up",
"just",
"1",
"%",
"of",
"world-wide",
"spirits",
"consumption",
",",
"but",
"it",
"represented",
"57",
"%",
"of",
"U.S.",
"liquor",
"exports",
"last",
"year",
",",
"according",
"to",
"Jobson",
";",
"no",
"other",
"category",
"had",
"more",
"than",
"19",
"%",
".",
"Big",
"U.S.",
"distillers",
"are",
"fiercely",
"vying",
"for",
"this",
"market",
",",
"which",
"grew",
"to",
"$",
"77",
"million",
"last",
"year",
"from",
"$",
"33",
"million",
"in",
"1987",
",",
"according",
"to",
"government",
"figures",
".",
"Jim",
"Beam",
"Brands",
"Co.",
",",
"a",
"division",
"of",
"American",
"Brands",
"Inc.",
",",
"is",
"the",
"leading",
"exporter",
"of",
"bourbon",
"and",
"produces",
"10",
"other",
"types",
"of",
"liquor",
".",
"The",
"company",
"says",
"it",
"will",
"increase",
"its",
"international",
"advertising",
"35",
"%",
"in",
"1990",
",",
"with",
"bourbon",
"representing",
"most",
"of",
"that",
"amount",
".",
"Guinness",
"'s",
"Schenley",
"Industries",
"unit",
"has",
"increased",
"its",
"TV",
"advertising",
"in",
"Japan",
"and",
"has",
"built",
"partnerships",
"with",
"duty-free",
"shops",
"throughout",
"Asia",
",",
"enabling",
"it",
"to",
"install",
"prominent",
"counter",
"displays",
".",
"The",
"company",
"'s",
"I.W.",
"Harper",
"brand",
"is",
"the",
"leading",
"bourbon",
"in",
"Japan",
",",
"with",
"40",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"market",
".",
"Bourbon",
"exporters",
"have",
"succeeded",
"in",
"Japan",
"where",
"other",
"industries",
"have",
"failed",
",",
"avoiding",
"cultural",
"hitches",
"in",
"marketing",
"and",
"distribution",
"by",
"allying",
"themselves",
"with",
"local",
"agents",
".",
"Jim",
"Beam",
"Brands",
"has",
"a",
"distribution",
"partnership",
"with",
"Nikka",
"Whiskey",
"Co.",
",",
"a",
"distiller",
".",
"Seagram",
"Co.",
",",
"which",
"exports",
"Four",
"Roses",
"bourbon",
",",
"has",
"such",
"a",
"link",
"with",
"Kirin",
"Brewery",
"Co",
".",
"Some",
"bourbon",
"makers",
"advertise",
"abroad",
"as",
"they",
"do",
"at",
"home",
".",
"To",
"promote",
"Jack",
"Daniel",
"'s",
"overseas",
",",
"Brown-Forman",
"uses",
"the",
"same",
"photos",
"of",
"front",
"porches",
"from",
"Lynchburg",
",",
"Va.",
",",
"and",
"avuncular",
"old",
"men",
"in",
"overalls",
"and",
"hightops",
".",
"Jim",
"Beam",
"print",
"ads",
",",
"however",
",",
"strike",
"different",
"chords",
"in",
"different",
"countries",
".",
"In",
"Australia",
",",
"land",
"of",
"the",
"outback",
",",
"a",
"snapshot",
"of",
"Jim",
"Beam",
"lies",
"on",
"a",
"strip",
"of",
"hand-tooled",
"leather",
".",
"West",
"Germans",
"get",
"glitz",
",",
"with",
"bourbon",
"in",
"the",
"foreground",
"and",
"a",
"posh",
"Beverly",
"Hills",
"hotel",
"in",
"the",
"background",
".",
"Ads",
"for",
"England",
"are",
"artsy",
"and",
"irreverent",
".",
"One",
"ad",
"features",
"a",
"huge",
"robot",
"carrying",
"a",
"voluptuous",
"woman",
"in",
"a",
"faint",
".",
"The",
"tagline",
":",
"``",
"I",
"only",
"asked",
"if",
"she",
"wanted",
"a",
"Jim",
"Beam",
"."
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",",
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".",
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".",
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",",
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"York",
",",
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"Properties",
"Inc.",
",",
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",",
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".",
"``",
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".",
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"using",
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"acquisition",
"funds",
".",
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"you",
"beat",
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"brains",
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"fighting",
"the",
"environmentalists",
",",
"the",
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"groups",
",",
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",",
"sewers",
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"hall",
",",
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"a",
"lender",
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"money",
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"an",
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"market",
"when",
"you",
"can",
"get",
"pension",
"fund",
"money",
",",
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"a",
"portfolio",
",",
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"off",
"pieces",
"off",
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"play",
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"?",
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"Rodman",
",",
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"Angeles",
"office",
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"Leventhal",
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"a",
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"firm",
".",
"But",
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"when",
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"properties",
",",
"finding",
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".",
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"RTC",
"'s",
"properties",
"has",
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"expected",
",",
"and",
"has",
"come",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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"funds",
"and",
"other",
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".",
"Quips",
"David",
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",",
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"Brothers",
"Inc.",
":",
"``",
"A",
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"Land",
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"`",
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"Institute",
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"Many",
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"1987",
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"1988",
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".",
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"law",
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"55",
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"Asked",
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"Odds",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"services",
"'",
"van",
"just",
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".",
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",",
"six",
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",",
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",",
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"various",
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"the",
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".",
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",",
"the",
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",",
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"the",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"At",
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"Elias",
"Motsoaledi",
",",
"a",
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"wing",
",",
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"we",
"Sizwe",
",",
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"man",
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"on",
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"horn",
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"in",
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"ribbons",
".",
"``",
"I",
"am",
"happy",
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"the",
"spirit",
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"the",
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",",
"''",
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"Mr.",
"Sisulu",
",",
"looking",
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"in",
"a",
"new",
"gray",
"suit",
".",
"As",
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"crowd",
"outside",
"his",
"home",
"shouted",
"``",
"ANC",
",",
"ANC",
",",
"''",
"the",
"old",
"man",
"shot",
"his",
"fists",
"into",
"the",
"air",
".",
"``",
"I",
"'m",
"inspired",
"by",
"the",
"mood",
"of",
"the",
"people",
".",
"''",
"Under",
"the",
"laws",
"of",
"the",
"land",
",",
"the",
"ANC",
"remains",
"an",
"illegal",
"organization",
",",
"and",
"its",
"headquarters",
"are",
"still",
"in",
"Lusaka",
",",
"Zambia",
".",
"But",
"the",
"unconditional",
"release",
"of",
"the",
"seven",
"leaders",
",",
"who",
"once",
"formed",
"the",
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"and",
"organizational",
"core",
"of",
"the",
"ANC",
",",
"is",
"a",
"de",
"facto",
"unbanning",
"of",
"the",
"movement",
"and",
"the",
"rebirth",
"of",
"its",
"internal",
"wing",
".",
"``",
"The",
"government",
"can",
"never",
"put",
"the",
"ANC",
"back",
"into",
"the",
"bottle",
"again",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Cassim",
"Saloojee",
",",
"a",
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"anti-apartheid",
"activist",
"on",
"hand",
"to",
"welcome",
"Mr.",
"Sisulu",
".",
"``",
"Things",
"have",
"gone",
"too",
"far",
"for",
"the",
"government",
"to",
"stop",
"them",
"now",
".",
"There",
"'s",
"no",
"turning",
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".",
"''",
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"no",
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"the",
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",",
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"of",
"people",
"jammed",
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"Cross",
"Anglican",
"Church",
"in",
"Soweto",
"for",
"what",
"became",
"the",
"first",
"ANC",
"rally",
"in",
"the",
"country",
"in",
"30",
"years",
".",
"Deafening",
"chants",
"of",
"``",
"ANC",
"''",
"and",
"``",
"Umkhonto",
"we",
"Sizwe",
"''",
"shook",
"the",
"church",
"as",
"the",
"seven",
"aging",
"men",
"vowed",
"that",
"the",
"ANC",
"would",
"continue",
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"government",
"and",
"the",
"policies",
"of",
"racial",
"segregation",
"on",
"all",
"fronts",
",",
"including",
"the",
"armed",
"struggle",
".",
"And",
"they",
"called",
"on",
"the",
"government",
"to",
"release",
"Nelson",
"Mandela",
",",
"the",
"ANC",
"'s",
"leading",
"figure",
",",
"who",
"was",
"jailed",
"with",
"them",
"and",
"remains",
"in",
"prison",
".",
"Without",
"him",
",",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Sisulu",
",",
"the",
"freeing",
"of",
"the",
"others",
"``",
"is",
"only",
"a",
"half-measure",
".",
"''",
"President",
"F.W.",
"de",
"Klerk",
"released",
"the",
"ANC",
"men",
"--",
"along",
"with",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"founding",
"members",
"of",
"the",
"Pan",
"Africanist",
"Congress",
",",
"a",
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"liberation",
"group",
"--",
"as",
"part",
"of",
"his",
"efforts",
"to",
"create",
"a",
"climate",
"of",
"trust",
"and",
"peace",
"in",
"which",
"his",
"government",
"can",
"begin",
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"leaders",
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"constitution",
"aimed",
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"giving",
"blacks",
"a",
"voice",
"in",
"national",
"government",
".",
"But",
"Pretoria",
"may",
"instead",
"be",
"creating",
"a",
"climate",
"for",
"more",
"turmoil",
"and",
"uncertainty",
"in",
"this",
"racially",
"divided",
"country",
".",
"As",
"other",
"repressive",
"governments",
",",
"particularly",
"Poland",
"and",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
",",
"have",
"recently",
"discovered",
",",
"initial",
"steps",
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"open",
"up",
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"can",
"create",
"a",
"momentum",
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"change",
"that",
"becomes",
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",",
"if",
"not",
"impossible",
",",
"to",
"control",
".",
"As",
"the",
"days",
"go",
"by",
",",
"the",
"South",
"African",
"government",
"will",
"be",
"ever",
"more",
"hard",
"pressed",
"to",
"justify",
"the",
"continued",
"imprisonment",
"of",
"Mr.",
"Mandela",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"the",
"continued",
"banning",
"of",
"the",
"ANC",
"and",
"enforcement",
"of",
"the",
"state",
"of",
"emergency",
".",
"If",
"it",
"does",
"n't",
"yield",
"on",
"these",
"matters",
",",
"and",
"eventually",
"begin",
"talking",
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"the",
"ANC",
",",
"the",
"expectations",
"and",
"promise",
"raised",
"by",
"yesterday",
"'s",
"releases",
"will",
"turn",
"to",
"disillusionment",
"and",
"unrest",
".",
"If",
"it",
"does",
",",
"the",
"large",
"number",
"of",
"right-wing",
"whites",
",",
"who",
"oppose",
"any",
"concessions",
"to",
"the",
"black",
"majority",
",",
"will",
"step",
"up",
"their",
"agitation",
"and",
"threats",
"to",
"take",
"matters",
"into",
"their",
"own",
"hands",
".",
"The",
"newly",
"released",
"ANC",
"leaders",
"also",
"will",
"be",
"under",
"enormous",
"pressure",
".",
"The",
"government",
"is",
"watching",
"closely",
"to",
"see",
"if",
"their",
"presence",
"in",
"the",
"townships",
"leads",
"to",
"increased",
"anti-government",
"protests",
"and",
"violence",
";",
"if",
"it",
"does",
",",
"Pretoria",
"will",
"use",
"this",
"as",
"a",
"reason",
"to",
"keep",
"Mr.",
"Mandela",
"behind",
"bars",
".",
"Pretoria",
"has",
"n't",
"forgotten",
"why",
"they",
"were",
"all",
"sentenced",
"to",
"life",
"imprisonment",
"in",
"the",
"first",
"place",
":",
"for",
"sabotage",
"and",
"conspiracy",
"to",
"overthrow",
"the",
"government",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"the",
"government",
"is",
"figuring",
"that",
"the",
"releases",
"could",
"create",
"a",
"split",
"between",
"the",
"internal",
"and",
"external",
"wings",
"of",
"the",
"ANC",
"and",
"between",
"the",
"newly",
"freed",
"leaders",
"and",
"those",
"activists",
"who",
"have",
"emerged",
"as",
"leaders",
"inside",
"the",
"country",
"during",
"their",
"imprisonment",
".",
"In",
"order",
"to",
"head",
"off",
"any",
"divisions",
",",
"Mr.",
"Mandela",
",",
"in",
"a",
"meeting",
"with",
"his",
"colleagues",
"before",
"they",
"were",
"released",
",",
"instructed",
"them",
"to",
"report",
"to",
"the",
"ANC",
"headquarters",
"in",
"Lusaka",
"as",
"soon",
"as",
"possible",
".",
"The",
"men",
"also",
"will",
"be",
"faced",
"with",
"bridging",
"the",
"generation",
"gap",
"between",
"themselves",
"and",
"the",
"country",
"'s",
"many",
"militant",
"black",
"youths",
",",
"the",
"so-called",
"young",
"lions",
"who",
"are",
"anxious",
"to",
"see",
"the",
"old",
"lions",
"in",
"action",
".",
"Says",
"Peter",
"Mokaba",
",",
"president",
"of",
"the",
"South",
"African",
"Youth",
"Congress",
":",
"``",
"We",
"will",
"be",
"expecting",
"them",
"to",
"act",
"like",
"leaders",
"of",
"the",
"ANC",
".",
"''",
"They",
"never",
"considered",
"themselves",
"to",
"be",
"anything",
"else",
".",
"At",
"last",
"night",
"'s",
"rally",
",",
"they",
"called",
"on",
"their",
"followers",
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"be",
"firm",
",",
"yet",
"disciplined",
",",
"in",
"their",
"opposition",
"to",
"apartheid",
".",
"``",
"We",
"emphasize",
"discipline",
"because",
"we",
"know",
"that",
"the",
"government",
"is",
"very",
",",
"very",
"sensitive",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Andrew",
"Mlangeni",
",",
"another",
"early",
"Umkhonto",
"leader",
"who",
"is",
"now",
"63",
".",
"``",
"We",
"want",
"to",
"see",
"Nelson",
"Mandela",
"and",
"all",
"our",
"comrades",
"out",
"of",
"prison",
",",
"and",
"if",
"we",
"are",
"n't",
"disciplined",
"we",
"may",
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"them",
"here",
"with",
"us",
"."
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] |
[
"British",
"Airways",
"PLC",
",",
"a",
"crucial",
"participant",
"in",
"the",
"proposed",
"buy-out",
"of",
"UAL",
"Corp.",
",",
"washed",
"its",
"hands",
"of",
"the",
"current",
"efforts",
"to",
"revive",
"a",
"bid",
"for",
"the",
"parent",
"of",
"United",
"Airlines",
".",
"Specifically",
",",
"the",
"British",
"carrier",
"said",
"it",
"currently",
"has",
"no",
"plans",
"to",
"participate",
"in",
"any",
"new",
"offer",
"for",
"UAL",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"British",
"Air",
"officially",
"withdrew",
"its",
"support",
"for",
"the",
"previous",
"$",
"300-a-share",
"bid",
"in",
"a",
"terse",
"statement",
"that",
"said",
"``",
"the",
"original",
"deal",
"is",
"closed",
".",
"''",
"Company",
"officials",
"said",
"later",
"that",
"British",
"Airways",
"believes",
"its",
"involvement",
"in",
"the",
"UAL",
"buy-out",
"ended",
"last",
"Friday",
"when",
"the",
"buy-out",
"group",
",",
"which",
"also",
"includes",
"UAL",
"'s",
"management",
"and",
"pilot",
"union",
",",
"failed",
"to",
"obtain",
"financing",
"for",
"the",
"$",
"6.79",
"billion",
"transaction",
".",
"The",
"carrier",
"stopped",
"short",
"of",
"saying",
"it",
"would",
"n't",
"at",
"some",
"point",
"reconsider",
"participating",
"in",
"any",
"new",
"bid",
"for",
"UAL",
".",
"However",
",",
"company",
"officials",
"said",
"they",
"plan",
"to",
"take",
"``",
"no",
"initiatives",
"''",
"to",
"resurrect",
"the",
"transaction",
",",
"and",
"``",
"are",
"n't",
"aware",
"''",
"of",
"any",
"restructured",
"bid",
"in",
"the",
"making",
".",
"Collectively",
",",
"the",
"statements",
"raised",
"questions",
"about",
"whether",
"a",
"new",
"bid",
"for",
"UAL",
"will",
"ever",
"get",
"off",
"the",
"ground",
".",
"The",
"transaction",
"has",
"had",
"a",
"series",
"of",
"setbacks",
"since",
"the",
"financing",
"problems",
"became",
"known",
"last",
"Friday",
",",
"with",
"no",
"signs",
"or",
"statements",
"from",
"the",
"buy-out",
"group",
"to",
"indicate",
"that",
"any",
"progress",
"has",
"taken",
"place",
".",
"However",
",",
"in",
"response",
"to",
"the",
"British",
"Air",
"decision",
",",
"United",
"'s",
"pilot",
"union",
"vowed",
"to",
"continue",
"efforts",
"to",
"revive",
"the",
"buy-out",
".",
"Pilot",
"union",
"Chairman",
"Frederick",
"C.",
"Dubinsky",
"said",
"advisers",
"to",
"UAL",
"management",
"and",
"the",
"union",
"will",
"begin",
"meeting",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"today",
"and",
"will",
"work",
"through",
"the",
"weekend",
"to",
"devise",
"a",
"new",
"proposal",
"to",
"present",
"to",
"UAL",
"'s",
"board",
"``",
"at",
"the",
"earliest",
"time",
"possible",
".",
"''",
"Pilot",
"union",
"advisers",
"appeared",
"confident",
"that",
"a",
"new",
"bid",
"could",
"go",
"forward",
"even",
"without",
"British",
"Air",
"'s",
"participation",
".",
"UAL",
"declined",
"to",
"comment",
"on",
"British",
"Air",
"'s",
"statement",
".",
"UAL",
"Chairman",
"Stephen",
"M.",
"Wolf",
",",
"who",
"is",
"leading",
"the",
"management",
"end",
"of",
"the",
"buy-out",
",",
"has",
"n't",
"provided",
"investors",
"with",
"any",
"assurances",
"about",
"the",
"prospect",
"of",
"a",
"new",
"deal",
".",
"In",
"another",
"setback",
"yesterday",
",",
"United",
"'s",
"machinist",
"union",
"asked",
"the",
"Treasury",
"Department",
"to",
"investigate",
"whether",
"certain",
"aspects",
"of",
"the",
"original",
"buy-out",
"proposal",
"violated",
"tax",
"laws",
".",
"In",
"an",
"effort",
"to",
"derail",
"the",
"buy-out",
",",
"the",
"union",
"has",
"already",
"called",
"for",
"investigations",
"by",
"the",
"Securities",
"and",
"Exchange",
"Commission",
",",
"Transportation",
"Department",
"and",
"Labor",
"Department",
".",
"But",
"there",
"was",
"one",
"bright",
"spot",
"yesterday",
".",
"The",
"United",
"flight-attendants",
"union",
"agreed",
"to",
"negotiations",
"that",
"could",
"lead",
"to",
"the",
"flight",
"attendants",
"contributing",
"concessions",
"to",
"a",
"revived",
"bid",
"in",
"exchange",
"for",
"an",
"ownership",
"stake",
".",
"The",
"pilot",
"union",
",",
"the",
"only",
"one",
"to",
"support",
"the",
"buy-out",
"thus",
"far",
",",
"said",
"the",
"flight",
"attendants",
"'",
"decision",
"``",
"enforces",
"our",
"belief",
"that",
"an",
"all-employee",
"owned",
"airline",
"is",
"practical",
"and",
"achievable",
".",
"''",
"Still",
",",
"without",
"the",
"assurance",
"of",
"British",
"Airways",
"'",
"financial",
"backing",
",",
"it",
"will",
"be",
"tougher",
"for",
"the",
"buy-out",
"group",
"to",
"convince",
"already-reluctant",
"banks",
"to",
"make",
"loan",
"commitments",
"for",
"a",
"revised",
"bid",
",",
"especially",
"since",
"British",
"Air",
"'s",
"original",
"investment",
"represented",
"78",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"cash",
"equity",
"contribution",
"for",
"the",
"bid",
".",
"Under",
"the",
"previous",
"plan",
",",
"British",
"Air",
"would",
"have",
"received",
"a",
"15",
"%",
"stake",
"in",
"UAL",
"in",
"exchange",
"for",
"a",
"$",
"750",
"million",
"equity",
"investment",
",",
"with",
"a",
"75",
"%",
"stake",
"going",
"to",
"UAL",
"employees",
"and",
"10",
"%",
"to",
"UAL",
"management",
".",
"British",
"Air",
"officials",
"said",
"the",
"airline",
"'s",
"chairman",
",",
"Lord",
"King",
",",
"was",
"concerned",
"about",
"news",
"reports",
"indicating",
"that",
"British",
"Air",
"might",
"be",
"willing",
"to",
"participate",
"in",
"a",
"bid",
"that",
"included",
"a",
"lower",
"purchase",
"price",
"and",
"better",
"investment",
"terms",
"for",
"the",
"British",
"carrier",
".",
"The",
"previous",
"reports",
"were",
"based",
"on",
"remarks",
"by",
"British",
"Air",
"'s",
"chief",
"financial",
"officer",
",",
"Derek",
"Stevens",
",",
"who",
"said",
"any",
"revised",
"bid",
"would",
"have",
"to",
"include",
"a",
"lower",
"purchase",
"price",
"to",
"reflect",
"the",
"sharp",
"drop",
"in",
"UAL",
"'s",
"stock",
"in",
"the",
"past",
"week",
".",
"UAL",
"stock",
"dropped",
"$",
"1.625",
"yesterday",
"to",
"$",
"190.125",
"on",
"volume",
"of",
"923,500",
"shares",
"in",
"composite",
"trading",
"on",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
".",
"UAL",
"declined",
"to",
"comment",
"on",
"British",
"Air",
"'s",
"statement",
".",
"In",
"an",
"interview",
"Wednesday",
"with",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Professional",
"Investor",
"Report",
",",
"Mr.",
"Stevens",
"said",
",",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"in",
"no",
"way",
"committed",
"to",
"a",
"deal",
"going",
"through",
"at",
"all",
".",
"We",
"'re",
"not",
"rushing",
"into",
"anything",
".",
"We",
"do",
"n't",
"want",
"to",
"be",
"party",
"to",
"a",
"second",
"rejection",
".",
"''",
"Indeed",
",",
"British",
"Air",
"seemed",
"to",
"be",
"distancing",
"itself",
"from",
"the",
"troubled",
"transaction",
"early",
"in",
"an",
"effort",
"to",
"avoid",
"any",
"further",
"embarrassment",
".",
"The",
"original",
"transaction",
"fell",
"through",
"on",
"the",
"same",
"day",
"British",
"Air",
"shareholders",
"approved",
"the",
"plan",
"at",
"a",
"special",
"meeting",
"after",
"the",
"British",
"succeeded",
"in",
"arranging",
"the",
"financing",
"for",
"its",
"equity",
"contribution",
".",
"The",
"carrier",
"also",
"seemed",
"eager",
"to",
"place",
"blame",
"on",
"its",
"American",
"counterparts",
".",
"``",
"The",
"-LCB-",
"buy-out",
"-RCB-",
"consortium",
"ceased",
"to",
"exist",
"because",
"our",
"American",
"partners",
"were",
"not",
"capable",
"of",
"organizing",
"the",
"financing",
",",
"''",
"a",
"British",
"Air",
"spokesman",
"said",
".",
"British",
"Airways",
"may",
"have",
"begun",
"to",
"have",
"second",
"thoughts",
"about",
"the",
"transaction",
"after",
"the",
"Transportation",
"Department",
"forced",
"Northwest",
"'s",
"Airlines",
"'",
"new",
"owners",
"to",
"restructure",
"the",
"equity",
"contribution",
"of",
"KLM",
"Royal",
"Dutch",
"Airlines",
"in",
"that",
"carrier",
".",
"Most",
"of",
"the",
"department",
"'s",
"statements",
"since",
"the",
"Northwest",
"transaction",
"indicated",
"it",
"planned",
"to",
"curtail",
"foreign",
"ownership",
"stakes",
"in",
"U.S.",
"carriers",
".",
"Even",
"before",
"British",
"Air",
"'s",
"announcement",
",",
"pilot",
"union",
"leaders",
"had",
"been",
"meeting",
"in",
"Chicago",
"yesterday",
"to",
"consider",
"their",
"options",
".",
"The",
"leaders",
"expressed",
"support",
"for",
"trying",
"to",
"revive",
"the",
"bid",
"following",
"a",
"briefing",
"Wednesday",
"by",
"the",
"union",
"'s",
"advisers",
",",
"Lazard",
"Freres",
"&",
"Co.",
"and",
"Paul",
",",
"Weiss",
",",
"Rifkind",
"Wharton",
"&",
"Garrison",
".",
"They",
"also",
"unanimously",
"re-elected",
"Mr.",
"Dubinsky",
",",
"the",
"union",
"chairman",
"who",
"has",
"led",
"the",
"pilots",
"'",
"2",
"1/2-year",
"fight",
"to",
"take",
"control",
"of",
"the",
"airline",
".",
"UAL",
"'s",
"advisers",
"have",
"indicated",
"previously",
"that",
"it",
"may",
"take",
"a",
"while",
"to",
"come",
"forward",
"with",
"a",
"revised",
"plan",
"since",
"they",
"want",
"to",
"have",
"firm",
"bank",
"commitments",
"before",
"launching",
"a",
"new",
"bid",
".",
"They",
"have",
"maintained",
"that",
"banks",
"remain",
"interested",
"in",
"financing",
"the",
"transaction",
".",
"The",
"buy-out",
"fell",
"through",
"after",
"Citicorp",
"and",
"Chase",
"Manhattan",
"Corp.",
",",
"the",
"lead",
"banks",
"in",
"the",
"transaction",
",",
"failed",
"to",
"obtain",
"$",
"7.2",
"billion",
"in",
"financing",
"needed",
"for",
"the",
"plan",
"."
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
"earnings",
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"47",
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[
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",",
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".",
"The",
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",",
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"transplants",
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".",
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"111",
"transplants",
"have",
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"rejected",
".",
"The",
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",",
"discovered",
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"1984",
",",
"is",
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"found",
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"Japan",
".",
"The",
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"patients",
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"the",
"first",
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",",
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"by",
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".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"shocked",
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"it",
",",
"because",
"it",
"'s",
"worked",
"so",
"fast",
",",
"''",
"said",
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"Thomas",
"E.",
"Starzl",
",",
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"the",
"University",
"of",
"Pittsburgh",
"Transplantation",
"Program",
",",
"at",
"a",
"news",
"conference",
"here",
"yesterday",
".",
"``",
"We",
"consider",
"it",
"a",
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",",
"like",
"one",
"for",
"AIDS",
",",
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"Fung",
",",
"an",
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"the",
"University",
"of",
"Pittsburgh",
".",
"Researchers",
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"effective",
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"the",
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",",
"cyclosporine",
",",
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"by",
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"giant",
"Sandoz",
"Ltd",
".",
"They",
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"the",
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"effects",
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"FK-506",
",",
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"cyclosporine",
",",
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"failure",
",",
"morbidity",
",",
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"other",
"problems",
".",
"``",
"The",
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"of",
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"-RCB-",
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"made",
"the",
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"rather",
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",",
"''",
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"Starzl",
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".",
"Dr.",
"Fung",
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"least",
"a",
"year",
",",
"and",
"that",
"the",
"FDA",
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"process",
"usually",
"takes",
"three",
"years",
"to",
"five",
"years",
".",
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"are",
"no",
"firm",
"plans",
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"the",
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"program",
"beyond",
"the",
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"of",
"Pittsburgh",
",",
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"the",
"most",
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"in",
"the",
"world",
".",
"Researchers",
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".",
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"by",
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",",
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"the",
"research",
"team",
"had",
"no",
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"stake",
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"the",
"drug",
".",
"``",
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"'ve",
"known",
"for",
"six",
"months",
"the",
"effect",
"of",
"this",
"drug",
",",
"and",
"our",
"advice",
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"our",
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"the",
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"'s",
"stock",
",",
"''",
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"said",
",",
"adding",
"that",
"profiting",
"from",
"FK-506",
"would",
"n't",
"be",
"ethical",
"."
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[
"Growth",
"is",
"good",
".",
"At",
"least",
",",
"that",
"'s",
"a",
"theme",
"emerging",
"among",
"many",
"money",
"managers",
"who",
"are",
"anxious",
"both",
"to",
"preserve",
"the",
"handsome",
"stock-market",
"gains",
"they",
"have",
"already",
"achieved",
"this",
"year",
"and",
"to",
"catch",
"the",
"next",
"wave",
"of",
"above-average",
"performers",
".",
"They",
"are",
"starting",
"to",
"buy",
"growth",
"stocks",
".",
"Remember",
"them",
"?",
"The",
"upper",
"echelon",
"of",
"this",
"group",
"were",
"shares",
"of",
"the",
"``",
"nifty",
"50",
"''",
"companies",
"whose",
"profits",
"of",
"the",
"1960s",
"and",
"early",
"1970s",
"grew",
"steadily",
",",
"if",
"not",
"spectacularly",
",",
"through",
"thick",
"and",
"thin",
".",
"That",
"sort",
"of",
"workhorse",
"performance",
"sounds",
"made",
"to",
"order",
"for",
"a",
"time",
"when",
"corporate",
"profits",
"overall",
"have",
"been",
"weakening",
"from",
"the",
"brisk",
"increases",
"of",
"recent",
"years",
".",
"The",
"current",
"flood",
"of",
"third-quarter",
"reports",
"are",
"producing",
"many",
"more",
"negative",
"surprises",
"than",
"positive",
"ones",
".",
"Those",
"are",
"unwelcome",
"trends",
"in",
"a",
"year",
"that",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Industrial",
"Average",
"has",
"risen",
"23",
"%",
"so",
"far",
",",
"even",
"with",
"the",
"190.58-point",
"plunge",
"on",
"Oct.",
"13",
";",
"broader",
"market",
"measures",
"are",
"in",
"the",
"same",
"neighborhood",
".",
"The",
"question",
"for",
"investors",
"is",
",",
"how",
"to",
"protect",
"these",
"returns",
"and",
"yet",
"reach",
"a",
"little",
"for",
"additional",
"gains",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"the",
"path",
"of",
"reasoning",
"leading",
"to",
"growth",
"stocks",
".",
"``",
"I",
"think",
"it",
"is",
"a",
"good",
"theme",
"for",
"what",
"looks",
"to",
"be",
"an",
"uncertain",
"market",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Steven",
"Einhorn",
",",
"partner",
"at",
"Goldman",
"Sachs",
".",
"Growth",
"stocks",
"may",
"be",
"as",
"big",
"as",
"Philip",
"Morris",
"or",
"medium-sized",
"such",
"as",
"Circuit",
"City",
"Stores",
",",
"but",
"their",
"common",
"characteristic",
"is",
"a",
"history",
"of",
"increasing",
"profits",
"on",
"the",
"order",
"of",
"at",
"least",
"15",
"%",
"to",
"20",
"%",
"a",
"year",
",",
"money",
"managers",
"say",
".",
"``",
"The",
"period",
"when",
"growth",
"stocks",
"should",
"be",
"performing",
"well",
"is",
"when",
"their",
"earnings",
"are",
"growing",
"at",
"a",
"superior",
"rate",
"to",
"the",
"general",
"level",
"of",
"corporate",
"profits",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Stephen",
"Boesel",
",",
"president",
"of",
"T.",
"Rowe",
"Price",
"'s",
"Growth",
"and",
"Income",
"Fund",
".",
"Growth",
"stocks",
"also",
"are",
"attractive",
"in",
"periods",
"of",
"market",
"volatility",
",",
"which",
"many",
"investors",
"and",
"analysts",
"expect",
"in",
"the",
"weeks",
"ahead",
"as",
"everybody",
"tries",
"to",
"discern",
"where",
"the",
"economy",
"is",
"heading",
".",
"This",
"kind",
"of",
"jumpy",
"uncertainty",
"reminds",
"John",
"Calverley",
",",
"senior",
"economist",
"for",
"American",
"Express",
"Bank",
",",
"of",
"the",
"1969-72",
"period",
",",
"when",
"the",
"industrial",
"average",
"rolled",
"through",
"huge",
"ranges",
"and",
"investors",
"flocked",
"to",
"the",
"shares",
"of",
"companies",
"with",
"proven",
"earnings",
"records",
",",
"which",
"became",
"known",
"as",
"the",
"``",
"nifty",
"50",
".",
"''",
"And",
"they",
"will",
"again",
",",
"say",
"money-manager",
"proponents",
"of",
"the",
"growth-stock",
"theme",
".",
"Cabanne",
"Smith",
",",
"president",
"of",
"a",
"money",
"management",
"company",
"bearing",
"his",
"name",
",",
"predicts",
"that",
"investment",
"companies",
"using",
"computers",
"to",
"identify",
"companies",
"with",
"earnings",
"``",
"momentum",
"''",
"will",
"climb",
"on",
"the",
"growth-stock",
"bandwagon",
"as",
"the",
"overall",
"corporate",
"earnings",
"outlook",
"deteriorates",
"further",
".",
"He",
"also",
"thinks",
"foreign",
"investors",
",",
"who",
"are",
"showing",
"signs",
"of",
"more",
"discriminate",
"investing",
",",
"will",
"join",
"the",
"pursuit",
"and",
"pump",
"up",
"prices",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"just",
"seeing",
"the",
"beginning",
"of",
"a",
"shift",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Smith",
"says",
".",
"Mr.",
"Smith",
"recommends",
"Cypress",
"Semiconductor",
"that",
"is",
"currently",
"showing",
"a",
"robust",
"63",
"%",
"earnings",
"growth",
"rate",
".",
"Ronald",
"Sloan",
",",
"executive",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"Siebel",
"Capital",
"Management",
",",
"likes",
"Wellman",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"company",
"that",
"recycles",
"plastic",
"into",
"synthetic",
"fibers",
"for",
"carpeting",
".",
"Mr.",
"Sloan",
"praises",
"the",
"company",
"as",
"recession",
"resistant",
"and",
"notes",
"that",
"it",
"has",
"an",
"annual",
"earnings",
"growth",
"rate",
"of",
"32",
"%",
"a",
"year",
"over",
"the",
"past",
"five",
"years",
".",
"Wellman",
"stock",
"closed",
"Friday",
"at",
"39",
"3/8",
",",
"up",
"1/8",
";",
"Mr.",
"Sloan",
"thinks",
"that",
"in",
"a",
"year",
"it",
"could",
"hit",
"60",
".",
"Others",
"preach",
"the",
"gospel",
"of",
"buying",
"only",
"blue-chip",
"growth",
"stocks",
".",
"Carmine",
"Grigoli",
",",
"chief",
"market",
"strategist",
"for",
"First",
"Boston",
",",
"who",
"still",
"says",
",",
"``",
"We",
"expect",
"the",
"Dow",
"average",
"-LCB-",
"to",
"be",
"at",
"-RCB-",
"3000",
"by",
"mid-1990",
",",
"''",
"nonetheless",
"foresees",
"a",
"sluggish",
"economy",
"in",
"the",
"meantime",
".",
"He",
"recommends",
"such",
"blue-chip",
"growth",
"stalwarts",
"as",
"Philip",
"Morris",
",",
"PepsiCo",
",",
"CPC",
"International",
",",
"Reebok",
"International",
",",
"and",
"Limited",
"Inc",
".",
"All",
"have",
"a",
"fiveyear",
"earnings",
"growth",
"rate",
"of",
"more",
"than",
"20",
"%",
"a",
"year",
".",
"Some",
"money",
"managers",
"are",
"pursuing",
"growth",
"stocks",
"at",
"the",
"expense",
"of",
"those",
"that",
"rise",
"and",
"fall",
"along",
"with",
"the",
"economic",
"cycle",
".",
"``",
"One",
"of",
"the",
"stories",
"of",
"the",
"fourth",
"quarter",
"is",
"that",
"we",
"will",
"get",
"an",
"unusual",
"number",
"of",
"earnings",
"disappointments",
"from",
"companies",
"sensitive",
"to",
"the",
"economy",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Boesel",
"of",
"T.",
"Rowe",
"Price",
".",
"James",
"Wright",
",",
"chief",
"investment",
"officer",
"for",
"Banc",
"One",
"Asset",
"Management",
",",
"says",
",",
"``",
"We",
"'ve",
"been",
"selling",
"a",
"disproportionate",
"share",
"of",
"cyclical",
"companies",
"and",
"buying",
"a",
"disproportionate",
"share",
"of",
"high",
"earnings",
"stocks",
".",
"''",
"He",
"recently",
"trimmed",
"his",
"portfolio",
"of",
"International",
"Paper",
",",
"Dow",
"Chemical",
",",
"Quantum",
"Chemical",
",",
"International",
"Business",
"Machines",
"and",
"Digital",
"Equipment",
".",
"He",
"is",
"putting",
"money",
"in",
"Dress",
"Barn",
",",
"Circuit",
"City",
"Stores",
",",
"Bruno",
"'s",
",",
"and",
"Rubbermaid",
".",
"Big",
"cyclical",
"companies",
"are",
"using",
"``",
"all",
"the",
"tricks",
"they",
"can",
"to",
"stabilize",
"earnings",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Sloan",
".",
"He",
"cites",
"IBM",
",",
"which",
"reported",
"a",
"30",
"%",
"earnings",
"decline",
"in",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
",",
"and",
"which",
"last",
"week",
"announced",
"a",
"$",
"1",
"billion",
"buy-back",
"of",
"its",
"shares",
".",
"``",
"What",
"they",
"are",
"telling",
"you",
"is",
"that",
"they",
"do",
"n't",
"have",
"the",
"ability",
"to",
"generate",
"higher",
"returns",
"internally",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Sloan",
".",
"``",
"When",
"they",
"are",
"buying",
"back",
"stock",
"at",
"10",
"times",
"earnings",
",",
"they",
"are",
"suggesting",
"that",
"the",
"rate",
"of",
"return",
"on",
"competing",
"internal",
"projects",
"is",
"below",
"''",
"returns",
"on",
"the",
"stock",
".",
"IBM",
"says",
"it",
"considers",
"its",
"shares",
"a",
"good",
"investment",
".",
"But",
"not",
"all",
"strategists",
"or",
"money",
"managers",
"are",
"ready",
"to",
"throw",
"in",
"the",
"towel",
"completely",
"on",
"cyclicals",
".",
"Growth",
"stocks",
"may",
"underperform",
"cyclical",
"stocks",
"next",
"year",
"if",
"the",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"begins",
"to",
"let",
"interest",
"rates",
"drift",
"sufficiently",
"lower",
"to",
"boost",
"the",
"economy",
".",
"Goldman",
"Sachs",
"'s",
"Mr.",
"Einhorn",
",",
"for",
"one",
",",
"subscribes",
"to",
"that",
"scenario",
".",
"He",
"suggests",
"investors",
"think",
"about",
"buying",
"cyclical",
"shares",
"in",
"the",
"weeks",
"ahead",
",",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"growth",
"issues",
".",
"Friday",
"'s",
"Market",
"Activity",
"Stock",
"prices",
"finished",
"about",
"unchanged",
"Friday",
"in",
"quiet",
"expiration",
"trading",
".",
"Traders",
"anticipated",
"a",
"volatile",
"session",
"due",
"to",
"the",
"October",
"expiration",
"of",
"stock-index",
"futures",
"and",
"options",
",",
"and",
"options",
"on",
"individual",
"stocks",
".",
"But",
"there",
"were",
"fewer",
"price",
"swings",
"than",
"expected",
".",
"Buy",
"order",
"imbalances",
"on",
"several",
"big",
"stocks",
"were",
"posted",
"by",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
".",
"But",
"block",
"trading",
"desks",
"and",
"money",
"managers",
"made",
"a",
"concerted",
"effort",
"to",
"meet",
"the",
"imbalances",
"with",
"stock",
"to",
"sell",
",",
"one",
"trader",
"said",
".",
"As",
"a",
"result",
",",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Industrial",
"Average",
"drifted",
"in",
"narrow",
"ranges",
"in",
"the",
"final",
"hour",
"of",
"trading",
",",
"and",
"closed",
"5.94",
"higher",
"to",
"2689.14",
".",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"volume",
"was",
"164,830,000",
".",
"Advancers",
"on",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
"lagged",
"decliners",
"662",
"to",
"829",
".",
"For",
"the",
"week",
",",
"the",
"industrial",
"average",
"gained",
"119.88",
"points",
",",
"or",
"4.7",
"%",
",",
"the",
"biggest",
"weekly",
"point",
"advance",
"ever",
"and",
"a",
"better",
"than",
"50",
"%",
"rebound",
"from",
"the",
"190.58",
"point",
"loss",
"the",
"industrial",
"average",
"logged",
"Oct.",
"13",
".",
"Broader",
"market",
"averages",
"were",
"little",
"changed",
"in",
"the",
"latest",
"session",
".",
"Standard",
"&",
"Poor",
"'s",
"500-Stock",
"Index",
"gained",
"0.03",
"to",
"347.16",
",",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Equity",
"Market",
"Index",
"fell",
"0.02",
"to",
"325.50",
",",
"and",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"Composite",
"Index",
"fell",
"0.05",
"to",
"192.12",
".",
"Most",
"of",
"last",
"week",
"'s",
"surge",
"in",
"the",
"industrial",
"average",
"came",
"on",
"Monday",
",",
"when",
"the",
"average",
"rose",
"88.12",
"points",
"as",
"market",
"players",
"snapped",
"up",
"blue-chip",
"issues",
"and",
"shunned",
"the",
"broad",
"market",
".",
"That",
"contrast",
"was",
"reflected",
"in",
"the",
"smaller",
"weekly",
"percentage",
"gains",
"recorded",
"by",
"the",
"broader",
"averages",
".",
"The",
"S&P",
"500",
"rose",
"4",
"%",
",",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Equity",
"Market",
"index",
"gained",
"3.7",
"%",
"and",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"composite",
"index",
"added",
"3.5",
"%",
".",
"The",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Transportation",
"Average",
"fell",
"32.71",
"to",
"1230.80",
"amid",
"renewed",
"weakness",
"in",
"the",
"airline",
"sector",
".",
"UAL",
"skidded",
"21",
"5/8",
"to",
"168",
"1/2",
"on",
"2.2",
"million",
"shares",
".",
"On",
"the",
"week",
",",
"UAL",
"was",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"1",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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"51",
",",
"Georgia-Pacific",
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"1",
"3/4",
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"56",
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",",
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"1",
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"26",
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",",
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"38",
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"28",
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".",
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"Bradstreet",
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"3/4",
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"51",
"1/8",
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".",
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"earnings",
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",",
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"Lamson",
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",",
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",",
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"9",
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"5/8",
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"5",
"1/4",
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",",
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"26",
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"MassMutual",
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"3",
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"29",
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",",
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[
"Among",
"the",
"things",
"I",
"learned",
"covering",
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"these",
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"few",
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",",
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",",
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"one",
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"--",
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"A",
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",",
"and",
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"seven",
"''",
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"in",
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".",
"Think",
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"``",
"I",
"Survived",
"''",
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",",
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",",
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"Longest",
"Short",
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",",
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"11",
".",
"The",
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",",
"but",
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"certainly",
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"some",
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"things",
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".",
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"propelled",
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"confines",
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"Candlestick",
"Park",
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"wins",
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".",
"Combined",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"The",
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".",
"That",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
"trailing",
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",",
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"--",
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"Henderson",
"as",
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"``",
"I",
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",",
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",",
"''",
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",",
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".",
"``",
"I",
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"everything",
",",
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"''",
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",",
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"five",
",",
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",",
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"The",
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"Series",
",",
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"Baseball",
"ai",
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"football",
",",
"where",
"the",
"good",
"teams",
"beat",
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"ones",
".",
"The",
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"baseball",
"teams",
"win",
"six",
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"10",
"games",
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"the",
"worst",
"win",
"four",
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".",
"Without",
"becoming",
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",",
"allow",
"me",
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"several",
"recent",
"champions",
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"according",
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"(",
"as",
"in",
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")",
"might",
"not",
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"ranked",
"No.",
"1",
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"polls",
".",
"That",
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"'s",
"champs",
",",
"the",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"Dodgers",
",",
"who",
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"a",
"miracle",
"home",
"run",
"by",
"Kirk",
"Gibson",
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"two",
"faultless",
"pitching",
"performances",
"by",
"Orel",
"Hershiser",
"to",
"a",
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"triumph",
"over",
"a",
"bewitched",
",",
"bothered",
"Oakland",
"crew",
".",
"These",
"A",
"'s",
",",
"however",
",",
"got",
"few",
"grades",
"as",
"low",
"as",
"B",
"on",
"their",
"1989",
"report",
"card",
".",
"They",
"led",
"the",
"Major",
"Leagues",
"in",
"regular-season",
"wins",
"with",
"99",
"and",
"flattened",
"the",
"Toronto",
"Blue",
"Jays",
"four",
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"to",
"one",
"for",
"the",
"American",
"League",
"pennant",
"before",
"stomping",
"their",
"cross-bay",
"rivals",
".",
"The",
"pithiest",
"testimony",
"to",
"their",
"domination",
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"the",
"just-concluded",
"tournament",
"came",
"from",
"Giants",
"'",
"manager",
"Roger",
"Craig",
"after",
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"team",
"had",
"fallen",
"in",
"Game",
"Three",
"to",
"a",
"five-home-run",
"barrage",
"that",
"tied",
"a",
"61-year-old",
"Series",
"record",
".",
"Asked",
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"would",
"do",
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"morrow",
",",
"Craig",
"allowed",
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"play",
"his",
"outfielders",
"deeper",
",",
"``",
"maybe",
"on",
"the",
"other",
"side",
"of",
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"fence",
".",
"''",
"The",
"A",
"'s",
"offensive",
"showing",
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"Series",
"got",
"an",
"A",
",",
"as",
"in",
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".",
"Their",
"85",
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"broke",
"a",
"record",
"for",
"a",
"four-game",
"set",
",",
"and",
"their",
"nine",
"home",
"runs",
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"one",
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"players",
"hit",
"homers",
",",
"with",
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"Dave",
"Henderson",
"getting",
"two",
",",
"both",
"on",
"Friday",
".",
"Rickey",
"Henderson",
",",
"the",
"do-everything",
"leadoff",
"man",
",",
"had",
"nine",
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"and",
"set",
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"marks",
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"triples",
"(",
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"(",
"3",
")",
".",
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"cleanup",
"hitter",
"Mark",
"McGwire",
",",
"their",
"regular-season",
"leader",
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"33",
",",
"and",
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"diving",
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"Three",
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".",
"``",
"Think",
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"show",
",",
"though",
",",
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"star",
",",
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",",
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",",
"Dave",
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".",
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"shut",
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"One",
",",
"and",
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"One",
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"Land",
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".",
"``",
"Give",
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"57",
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"80.3",
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",",
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".",
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[
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[
"Bank",
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"England",
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"with",
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".",
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",",
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"1991",
".",
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",",
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",",
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"Bank",
"of",
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"England",
"'s",
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"are",
",",
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"England",
".",
"Richard",
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",",
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"Bank",
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"England",
",",
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"Dow",
"Jones",
"Professional",
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"Report",
",",
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"Certainly",
",",
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"the",
"region",
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"us",
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"a",
"good",
"partner",
".",
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"have",
",",
"and",
"I",
"'m",
"sure",
"others",
"have",
",",
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"our",
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"are",
",",
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"'ve",
"had",
"conversations",
"with",
"people",
"who",
"in",
"the",
"future",
"might",
"prove",
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"interesting",
"partners",
".",
"''",
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"added",
",",
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"'s",
"nothing",
"very",
"hot",
".",
"''",
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"who",
"the",
"potential",
"partners",
"were",
"or",
"when",
"the",
"talks",
"were",
"held",
".",
"A",
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"also",
"declined",
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"comment",
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"any",
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"matters",
",",
"but",
"said",
"the",
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"decided",
"to",
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"opposition",
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"the",
"interstate",
"banking",
"legislation",
"because",
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"prevailing",
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"is",
"in",
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"of",
"passage",
".",
"''",
"Bank",
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"England",
"has",
"been",
"hit",
"hard",
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"the",
"region",
"'s",
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"slump",
",",
"with",
"its",
"net",
"income",
"declining",
"42",
"%",
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"$",
"121.6",
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",",
"or",
"61",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
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"the",
"first",
"nine",
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"1989",
"from",
"the",
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"period",
".",
"The",
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"recently",
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"some",
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"and",
"lay",
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"force",
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"16,000",
"from",
"about",
"18,000",
".",
"It",
"recently",
"signed",
"a",
"preliminary",
"agreement",
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"with",
"the",
"Bank",
"of",
"Tokyo",
"Ltd.",
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"the",
"sale",
"of",
"part",
"of",
"its",
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"to",
"the",
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"bank",
"."
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[
"Unisys",
"Corp.",
"'s",
"announcement",
"Friday",
"of",
"a",
"$",
"648.2",
"million",
"loss",
"for",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"showed",
"that",
"the",
"company",
"is",
"moving",
"even",
"faster",
"than",
"expected",
"to",
"take",
"write-offs",
"on",
"its",
"various",
"problems",
"and",
"prepare",
"for",
"a",
"turnaround",
"next",
"year",
".",
"At",
"the",
"same",
"time",
",",
"the",
"sheer",
"size",
"of",
"the",
"loss",
",",
"coupled",
"with",
"a",
"slowing",
"of",
"orders",
",",
"made",
"some",
"securities",
"analysts",
"wonder",
"just",
"how",
"strong",
"that",
"turnaround",
"will",
"be",
"at",
"the",
"computer",
"maker",
"and",
"defense-electronics",
"concern",
".",
"``",
"Unisys",
"is",
"getting",
"clobbered",
".",
"Just",
"clobbered",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Ulric",
"Weil",
",",
"an",
"analyst",
"at",
"Weil",
"&",
"Associates",
"who",
"had",
"once",
"been",
"high",
"on",
"the",
"company",
".",
"``",
"The",
"quarter",
"was",
"terrible",
",",
"and",
"the",
"future",
"looks",
"anything",
"but",
"encouraging",
".",
"''",
"Unisys",
",",
"whose",
"revenue",
"inched",
"up",
"3.7",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"quarter",
"to",
"$",
"2.35",
"billion",
"from",
"$",
"2.27",
"billion",
"in",
"the",
"year-earlier",
"quarter",
",",
"had",
"an",
"operating",
"loss",
"of",
"about",
"$",
"30",
"million",
".",
"On",
"top",
"of",
"that",
",",
"the",
"Blue",
"Bell",
",",
"Pa.",
",",
"concern",
"took",
"a",
"$",
"230",
"million",
"charge",
"related",
"to",
"the",
"layoffs",
"of",
"8,000",
"employees",
".",
"That",
"is",
"at",
"the",
"high",
"end",
"of",
"the",
"range",
"of",
"7,000",
"to",
"8,000",
"employees",
"that",
"Unisys",
"said",
"a",
"month",
"ago",
"would",
"be",
"laid",
"off",
".",
"Unisys",
"said",
"that",
"should",
"help",
"it",
"save",
"$",
"500",
"million",
"a",
"year",
"in",
"costs",
",",
"again",
"at",
"the",
"high",
"end",
"of",
"the",
"previously",
"reported",
"range",
"of",
"$",
"400",
"million",
"to",
"$",
"500",
"million",
".",
"The",
"company",
"also",
"took",
"a",
"write-off",
"of",
"$",
"150",
"million",
"to",
"cover",
"losses",
"on",
"some",
"fixed-price",
"defense",
"contracts",
",",
"as",
"some",
"new",
"managers",
"took",
"a",
"hard",
"look",
"at",
"the",
"prospects",
"for",
"that",
"slow-growing",
"business",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"Unisys",
"set",
"up",
"an",
"unspecified",
"reserve",
"--",
"apparently",
"$",
"60",
"million",
"to",
"$",
"70",
"million",
"--",
"to",
"cover",
"the",
"minimum",
"amount",
"it",
"will",
"have",
"to",
"pay",
"the",
"government",
"because",
"of",
"its",
"involvement",
"in",
"the",
"defense-procurement",
"scandal",
".",
"Unisys",
"also",
"noted",
"that",
"it",
"paid",
"$",
"78.8",
"million",
"in",
"taxes",
"during",
"the",
"quarter",
",",
"even",
"though",
"tax",
"payments",
"normally",
"would",
"be",
"minimal",
"in",
"a",
"quarter",
"that",
"produced",
"such",
"a",
"big",
"loss",
".",
"The",
"tax",
"payments",
"will",
"leave",
"Unisys",
"with",
"$",
"225",
"million",
"in",
"loss",
"carry-forwards",
"that",
"will",
"cut",
"tax",
"payments",
"in",
"future",
"quarters",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"Unisys",
"said",
"it",
"reduced",
"computer",
"inventories",
"a",
"further",
"$",
"100",
"million",
"during",
"the",
"quarter",
",",
"leaving",
"it",
"within",
"$",
"100",
"million",
"of",
"its",
"goal",
"of",
"a",
"reduction",
"of",
"$",
"500",
"million",
"by",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"the",
"year",
".",
"Still",
",",
"Unisys",
"said",
"its",
"European",
"business",
"was",
"weak",
"during",
"the",
"quarter",
",",
"a",
"worrisome",
"sign",
"given",
"that",
"the",
"company",
"has",
"relied",
"on",
"solid",
"results",
"overseas",
"to",
"overcome",
"weakness",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"over",
"the",
"past",
"several",
"quarters",
".",
"The",
"company",
"also",
"reported",
"slower",
"growth",
"in",
"another",
"important",
"business",
":",
"systems",
"that",
"use",
"the",
"Unix",
"operating",
"system",
".",
"That",
"would",
"be",
"a",
"huge",
"problem",
"if",
"it",
"were",
"to",
"continue",
",",
"because",
"Unisys",
"is",
"betting",
"its",
"business",
"on",
"the",
"assumption",
"that",
"customers",
"want",
"to",
"move",
"away",
"from",
"using",
"operating",
"systems",
"that",
"run",
"on",
"only",
"one",
"manufacturer",
"'s",
"equipment",
"and",
"toward",
"systems",
"--",
"mainly",
"Unix",
"--",
"that",
"work",
"on",
"almost",
"anyone",
"'s",
"machines",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"Unisys",
"must",
"deal",
"with",
"its",
"increasingly",
"oppressive",
"debt",
"load",
".",
"Debt",
"has",
"risen",
"to",
"around",
"$",
"4",
"billion",
",",
"or",
"about",
"50",
"%",
"of",
"total",
"capitalization",
".",
"That",
"means",
"Unisys",
"must",
"pay",
"about",
"$",
"100",
"million",
"in",
"interest",
"every",
"quarter",
",",
"on",
"top",
"of",
"$",
"27",
"million",
"in",
"dividends",
"on",
"preferred",
"stock",
".",
"Jim",
"Unruh",
",",
"Unisys",
"'s",
"president",
",",
"said",
"he",
"is",
"approaching",
"next",
"year",
"with",
"caution",
".",
"He",
"said",
"the",
"strength",
"of",
"the",
"world-wide",
"economy",
"is",
"suspect",
",",
"and",
"does",
"n't",
"see",
"much",
"revenue",
"growth",
"in",
"the",
"cards",
".",
"He",
"also",
"said",
"that",
"the",
"price",
"wars",
"flaring",
"up",
"in",
"parts",
"of",
"the",
"computer",
"industry",
"will",
"continue",
"through",
"next",
"year",
".",
"He",
"said",
"the",
"move",
"toward",
"standard",
"operating",
"systems",
"means",
"customers",
"are",
"n't",
"locked",
"into",
"buying",
"from",
"their",
"traditional",
"computer",
"supplier",
"and",
"can",
"force",
"prices",
"down",
".",
"That",
",",
"he",
"said",
",",
"is",
"why",
"Unisys",
"is",
"overhauling",
"its",
"whole",
"business",
":",
"It",
"needs",
"to",
"prepare",
"for",
"a",
"world",
"in",
"which",
"profit",
"margins",
"will",
"be",
"lower",
"than",
"computer",
"companies",
"have",
"been",
"used",
"to",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'ve",
"approached",
"this",
"not",
"as",
"a",
"response",
"to",
"a",
"temporary",
"condition",
"in",
"the",
"industry",
"but",
"as",
"a",
"fundamental",
"change",
"the",
"industry",
"is",
"going",
"through",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Unruh",
"said",
".",
"``",
"The",
"information-systems",
"industry",
"is",
"still",
"going",
"to",
"be",
"a",
"high-growth",
"business",
",",
"and",
"we",
"'re",
"confident",
"that",
"we",
"have",
"tremendous",
"assets",
"as",
"a",
"company",
".",
"But",
"we",
"do",
"n't",
"minimize",
"the",
"challenges",
"of",
"the",
"near",
"term",
".",
"''",
"Securities",
"analysts",
"were",
"even",
"more",
"cautious",
",",
"having",
"been",
"burned",
"repeatedly",
"on",
"Unisys",
"this",
"year",
".",
"Some",
"had",
"predicted",
"earnings",
"of",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"4",
"a",
"share",
"for",
"this",
"year",
",",
"up",
"from",
"last",
"year",
"'s",
"fully",
"diluted",
"$",
"3.27",
"a",
"share",
"on",
"earnings",
"of",
"$",
"680.6",
"million",
".",
"But",
"the",
"company",
"said",
"Friday",
"that",
"it",
"had",
"losses",
"of",
"$",
"673.3",
"million",
"through",
"the",
"first",
"nine",
"months",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"earnings",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
"of",
"$",
"382.2",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"2.22",
"a",
"share",
"fully",
"diluted",
",",
"as",
"revenue",
"inched",
"up",
"1.4",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"7.13",
"billion",
"from",
"$",
"7.03",
"billion",
".",
"And",
"Unisys",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"do",
"little",
"better",
"than",
"break",
"even",
"in",
"the",
"fourth",
"quarter",
".",
"So",
"Steve",
"Milunovich",
"at",
"First",
"Boston",
"said",
"he",
"is",
"cutting",
"his",
"earnings",
"estimate",
"for",
"next",
"year",
"to",
"$",
"2",
"a",
"share",
"from",
"$",
"3",
".",
"``",
"I",
"was",
"feeling",
"like",
"I",
"was",
"too",
"high",
"to",
"begin",
"with",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"Mr.",
"Weil",
"of",
"Weil",
"&",
"Associates",
"said",
"he",
"will",
"remain",
"at",
"$",
"1",
"a",
"share",
"for",
"next",
"year",
"but",
"said",
"he",
"wonders",
"whether",
"even",
"that",
"low",
"target",
"is",
"at",
"risk",
".",
"``",
"The",
"break-even",
"point",
"for",
"next",
"year",
"is",
"much",
"lower",
",",
"but",
"is",
"it",
"low",
"enough",
"?",
"''",
"he",
"asked",
".",
"Reflecting",
"the",
"concern",
",",
"Unisys",
"stock",
"fell",
"a",
"further",
"75",
"cents",
"to",
"$",
"16.25",
"in",
"composite",
"trading",
"Friday",
"on",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"."
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"1988",
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".",
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"23",
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",",
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",",
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"partnerships",
"have",
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"laws",
"and",
"said",
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"save",
"$",
"2",
"million",
"a",
"year",
"in",
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"costs",
"from",
"the",
"change",
".",
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"the",
"plan",
",",
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"stock",
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"Resources",
"Corp.",
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"Holders",
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"23",
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"conditions",
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"unitholders",
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"on",
"the",
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"at",
"a",
"meeting",
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"15",
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[
"Coastal",
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"gasolines",
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"other",
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"Exxon",
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"would",
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"be",
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"minister",
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"feedstock",
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[
"The",
"estimates",
"of",
"real",
"gross",
"national",
"product",
"prepared",
"by",
"the",
"Bureau",
"of",
"Economic",
"Analysis",
"in",
"the",
"Department",
"of",
"Commerce",
"significantly",
"understate",
"the",
"rate",
"of",
"economic",
"growth",
".",
"Since",
"the",
"bureau",
"'s",
"estimates",
"for",
"the",
"business",
"sector",
"provide",
"the",
"numerator",
"for",
"the",
"productivity",
"ratios",
"calculated",
"by",
"the",
"Department",
"of",
"Labor",
",",
"underestimated",
"growth",
"rates",
"artificially",
"depress",
"official",
"productivity",
"statistics",
".",
"If",
"this",
"thesis",
"is",
"correct",
",",
"it",
"has",
"important",
"implications",
"for",
"macroeconomic",
"policies",
":",
"It",
"may",
"lower",
"the",
"sense",
"of",
"urgency",
"behind",
"efforts",
"to",
"enact",
"tax",
"incentives",
"and",
"other",
"measures",
"to",
"increase",
"the",
"rate",
"of",
"growth",
"in",
"productivity",
"and",
"real",
"GNP",
".",
"It",
"would",
"also",
"affect",
"the",
"perceptions",
"of",
"the",
"board",
"of",
"governors",
"of",
"the",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"System",
",",
"and",
"the",
"informed",
"public",
"generally",
",",
"as",
"to",
"what",
"constitutes",
"a",
"reasonable",
"degree",
"of",
"price",
"stability",
".",
"In",
"the",
"early",
"1980s",
",",
"I",
"predicted",
"a",
"significant",
"acceleration",
"in",
"productivity",
"growth",
"over",
"the",
"rest",
"of",
"the",
"decade",
".",
"This",
"forecast",
"was",
"based",
"on",
"the",
"apparent",
"reversal",
"of",
"most",
"of",
"the",
"negative",
"forces",
"--",
"such",
"as",
"demographic",
"changes",
",",
"the",
"oil",
"shock",
"and",
"accelerating",
"inflation",
"--",
"that",
"had",
"reduced",
"productivity",
"gains",
"in",
"the",
"1970s",
".",
"There",
"has",
"indeed",
"been",
"more",
"than",
"a",
"one",
"percentage",
"point",
"improvement",
"in",
"productivity",
"growth",
"since",
"1981",
".",
"But",
"I",
"had",
"expected",
"more",
",",
"which",
"is",
"one",
"reason",
"I",
"began",
"looking",
"at",
"evidence",
"suggesting",
"defects",
"in",
"the",
"official",
"output",
"estimates",
".",
"The",
"evidence",
"does",
"not",
"clearly",
"support",
"the",
"view",
"that",
"the",
"downward",
"bias",
"in",
"output",
"growth",
"has",
"become",
"greater",
"during",
"the",
"1948-89",
"period",
",",
"but",
"all",
"I",
"am",
"claiming",
"is",
"that",
"the",
"growth",
"trend",
"is",
"understated",
".",
"(",
"It",
"is",
",",
"however",
",",
"possible",
",",
"that",
"further",
"study",
"will",
"reveal",
"increasing",
"bias",
".",
")",
"This",
"bias",
"is",
"in",
"no",
"way",
"deliberate",
".",
"The",
"understatement",
"of",
"growth",
"is",
"due",
"largely",
"to",
"the",
"conservative",
"expedients",
"adopted",
"to",
"deal",
"with",
"deficiencies",
"in",
"basic",
"economic",
"data",
".",
"The",
"first",
"of",
"three",
"major",
"sources",
"of",
"error",
"is",
"the",
"use",
"of",
"labor",
"input",
"estimates",
"(",
"mainly",
"employment",
"or",
"hours",
")",
"instead",
"of",
"output",
"estimates",
"for",
"those",
"sectors",
",",
"such",
"as",
"governments",
",",
"paid",
"household",
"services",
"and",
"private",
"non-profit",
"institutions",
",",
"where",
"there",
"are",
"difficulties",
"in",
"assembling",
"output",
"data",
".",
"This",
"means",
"that",
"no",
"allowance",
"is",
"made",
"for",
"possible",
"increases",
"in",
"output",
"per",
"unit",
"of",
"labor",
".",
"In",
"an",
"unrelated",
"program",
"in",
"which",
"the",
"Labor",
"Department",
"does",
"estimate",
"output",
"per",
"employee",
"for",
"more",
"than",
"two-thirds",
"of",
"federal",
"civilian",
"employees",
",",
"it",
"found",
"an",
"average",
"annual",
"rate",
"of",
"productivity",
"improvement",
"of",
"1.7",
"%",
"during",
"the",
"1980s",
".",
"Even",
"if",
"it",
"is",
"assumed",
"that",
"productivity",
"rose",
"no",
"more",
"than",
"half",
"as",
"quickly",
"in",
"the",
"rest",
"of",
"the",
"nonbusiness",
"sector",
",",
"this",
"Labor",
"Department",
"estimate",
"indicates",
"a",
"downward",
"bias",
"in",
"the",
"real",
"GNP",
"estimates",
"of",
"0.2",
"percentage",
"point",
"a",
"year",
",",
"on",
"average",
".",
"The",
"federal",
"productivity",
"estimators",
"use",
"labor",
"input",
",",
"rather",
"than",
"output",
",",
"data",
"for",
"their",
"calculations",
"of",
"half",
"of",
"private",
"financial",
"and",
"service",
"industries",
"as",
"well",
".",
"Independent",
"estimates",
"of",
"output",
"in",
"those",
"industries",
",",
"including",
"one",
"by",
"the",
"Department",
"of",
"Labor",
"for",
"banking",
",",
"suggests",
"that",
"productivity",
"in",
"finance",
"and",
"services",
"appears",
"to",
"have",
"risen",
"by",
"an",
"average",
"of",
"at",
"least",
"1.5",
"%",
"a",
"year",
"between",
"1948",
"and",
"1988",
".",
"Because",
"finance",
"and",
"services",
"contribute",
"10",
"%",
"to",
"final",
"business",
"product",
",",
"missing",
"these",
"productivity",
"improvements",
"depresses",
"the",
"overall",
"growth",
"rate",
"by",
"0.15",
"%",
"a",
"year",
".",
"The",
"second",
"source",
"of",
"error",
"in",
"growth",
"statistics",
"is",
"the",
"use",
"of",
"inappropriate",
"deflators",
"to",
"adjust",
"for",
"price",
"changes",
".",
"I",
"estimate",
"that",
"these",
"mismeasurements",
"as",
"detailed",
"by",
"Martin",
"N.",
"Baily",
"and",
"Robert",
"J.",
"Gordon",
"add",
"a",
"further",
"0.12",
"percentage",
"point",
"to",
"the",
"downward",
"bias",
"in",
"the",
"growth",
"rate",
"of",
"real",
"business",
"product",
".",
"Finally",
",",
"the",
"official",
"estimates",
"understate",
"growth",
"because",
"they",
"make",
"inadequate",
"allowance",
"for",
"improvements",
"in",
"quality",
"of",
"goods",
"and",
"services",
".",
"In",
"1985",
",",
"a",
"new",
"price",
"index",
"for",
"computers",
"adjusted",
"for",
"changes",
"in",
"performance",
"characteristics",
"was",
"introduced",
",",
"and",
"that",
"resulted",
"in",
"a",
"significantly",
"larger",
"increase",
"in",
"real",
"outlays",
"for",
"durable",
"goods",
"than",
"the",
"earlier",
"estimates",
"had",
"showed",
".",
"Since",
"then",
",",
"further",
"research",
"argues",
"that",
"failure",
"to",
"take",
"account",
"of",
"quality",
"improvements",
"has",
"contributed",
"a",
"total",
"of",
"at",
"least",
"0.26",
"percentage",
"point",
"to",
"the",
"downward",
"bias",
"in",
"the",
"growth",
"rate",
".",
"In",
"sum",
",",
"the",
"biases",
"ennumerated",
"above",
"indicate",
"a",
"0.7",
"percentage",
"point",
"understatement",
"in",
"growth",
"of",
"total",
"real",
"GNP",
".",
"For",
"the",
"private",
"domestic",
"business",
"economy",
",",
"the",
"bias",
"was",
"a",
"bit",
"over",
"0.5",
"percentage",
"point",
".",
"In",
"other",
"words",
",",
"the",
"growth",
"rates",
"of",
"both",
"total",
"GNP",
"and",
"real",
"private",
"business",
"product",
"per",
"labor",
"hour",
"have",
"been",
"underestimated",
"by",
"about",
"20",
"%",
".",
"Mr.",
"Kendrick",
"is",
"professor",
"emeritus",
"of",
"economics",
"at",
"George",
"Washington",
"University",
".",
"He",
"is",
"co-author",
"of",
"``",
"Personal",
"Productivity",
":",
"How",
"to",
"Increase",
"Your",
"Satisfaction",
"in",
"Living",
"''",
"(",
"M.E.",
"Sharp",
",",
"1988",
")",
"."
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[
"Northeast",
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",",
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".",
"Northeast",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
"a",
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"a",
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"A",
"hearing",
"is",
"set",
"for",
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"15",
",",
"but",
"participants",
"do",
"n't",
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"a",
"resolution",
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"1990",
".",
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",",
"it",
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"$",
"1.65",
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"in",
"cash",
"to",
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"and",
"assume",
"$",
"100",
"million",
"in",
"pollution",
"control",
"bonds",
".",
"Secured",
"creditors",
"would",
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"both",
"principal",
"and",
"interest",
",",
"while",
"unsecured",
"creditors",
"would",
"receive",
"only",
"principal",
"and",
"interest",
"accrued",
"before",
"PS",
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"filed",
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"in",
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"who",
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"given",
"short",
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".",
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"operation",
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"the",
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"nuclear",
"power",
"plant",
",",
"which",
"is",
"completed",
"but",
"is",
"n't",
"yet",
"operating",
",",
"equity",
"holders",
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"$",
"500",
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"in",
"cash",
",",
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"and",
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"10-year",
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"bonds",
".",
"Northeast",
"'s",
"previous",
"offer",
"had",
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"that",
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"holders",
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"$",
"165",
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".",
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",",
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"that",
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"would",
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"limited",
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".",
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"had",
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"rate",
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"and",
"other",
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".",
"Wilbur",
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",",
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",",
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"...",
"we",
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".",
"Officials",
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"comment",
".",
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"it",
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".",
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"with",
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"a",
"41",
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"give",
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"shareholders",
"as",
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"13",
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".",
"New",
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"Electric",
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",",
"Westborough",
",",
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".",
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".",
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",",
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[
"The",
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"'s",
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"could",
"persist",
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"the",
"rest",
"of",
"the",
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".",
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"the",
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"few",
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"are",
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"much",
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",",
"largely",
"reflecting",
"deteriorating",
"chemical",
"prices",
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"profitability",
".",
"The",
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"picture",
"may",
"improve",
"this",
"quarter",
",",
"but",
"chemicals",
"are",
"likely",
"to",
"remain",
"weak",
",",
"industry",
"executives",
"and",
"analysts",
"say",
",",
"reducing",
"chances",
"that",
"profits",
"could",
"equal",
"their",
"year-earlier",
"performance",
".",
"The",
"industry",
"is",
"``",
"seeing",
"a",
"softening",
"somewhat",
"in",
"volume",
"and",
"certainly",
"in",
"price",
"in",
"petrochemicals",
",",
"''",
"Glenn",
"Cox",
",",
"president",
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"Phillips",
"Petroleum",
"Co.",
",",
"said",
"in",
"an",
"interview",
".",
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"That",
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"will",
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"impact",
"third",
"and",
"fourth",
"quarter",
"earnings",
"''",
"for",
"the",
"industry",
"in",
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",",
"he",
"added",
".",
"He",
"did",
"n't",
"forecast",
"Phillips",
"'s",
"results",
".",
"But",
"securities",
"analysts",
"say",
"Phillips",
"will",
"be",
"among",
"the",
"companies",
"hard-hit",
"by",
"weak",
"chemical",
"prices",
"and",
"will",
"probably",
"post",
"a",
"drop",
"in",
"third-quarter",
"earnings",
".",
"So",
",",
"too",
",",
"many",
"analysts",
"predict",
",",
"will",
"Exxon",
"Corp.",
",",
"Chevron",
"Corp.",
"and",
"Amoco",
"Corp",
".",
"Typical",
"is",
"what",
"happened",
"to",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"ethylene",
",",
"a",
"major",
"commodity",
"chemical",
"produced",
"in",
"vast",
"amounts",
"by",
"many",
"oil",
"companies",
".",
"It",
"has",
"plunged",
"13",
"%",
"since",
"July",
"to",
"around",
"26",
"cents",
"a",
"pound",
".",
"A",
"year",
"ago",
"ethylene",
"sold",
"for",
"33",
"cents",
",",
"peaking",
"at",
"about",
"34",
"cents",
"last",
"December",
".",
"A",
"big",
"reason",
"for",
"the",
"chemical",
"price",
"retreat",
"is",
"overexpansion",
".",
"Beginning",
"in",
"mid-1987",
",",
"prices",
"began",
"accelerating",
"as",
"a",
"growing",
"U.S.",
"economy",
"and",
"the",
"weak",
"dollar",
"spurred",
"demand",
".",
"Companies",
"added",
"capacity",
"furiously",
".",
"Now",
",",
"greatly",
"increased",
"supplies",
"are",
"on",
"the",
"market",
",",
"while",
"the",
"dollar",
"is",
"stronger",
",",
"and",
"domestic",
"economic",
"growth",
"is",
"slower",
".",
"Third-quarter",
"profits",
"from",
"gasoline",
"were",
"weaker",
".",
"``",
"Refining",
"margins",
"were",
"so",
"good",
"in",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"of",
"last",
"year",
"and",
"generally",
"not",
"very",
"good",
"this",
"year",
",",
"''",
"said",
"William",
"Randol",
",",
"a",
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"analyst",
"at",
"First",
"Boston",
"Corp",
".",
"Oil",
"company",
"refineries",
"ran",
"flat",
"out",
"to",
"prepare",
"for",
"a",
"robust",
"holiday",
"driving",
"season",
"in",
"July",
"and",
"August",
"that",
"did",
"n't",
"materialize",
".",
"The",
"excess",
"supply",
"pushed",
"gasoline",
"prices",
"down",
"in",
"that",
"period",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"crude",
"oil",
"prices",
"were",
"up",
"some",
"from",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
",",
"further",
"pressuring",
"profitability",
".",
"Refiners",
"say",
"margins",
"picked",
"up",
"in",
"September",
",",
"and",
"many",
"industry",
"officials",
"believe",
"gasoline",
"profits",
"will",
"rebound",
"this",
"quarter",
",",
"though",
"still",
"not",
"to",
"the",
"level",
"of",
"1988",
"'s",
"fourth",
"quarter",
".",
"During",
"the",
"1988",
"second",
"half",
",",
"many",
"companies",
"posted",
"record",
"gasoline",
"and",
"chemical",
"profits",
".",
"Crude",
"oil",
"production",
"may",
"turn",
"out",
"to",
"be",
"the",
"most",
"surprising",
"element",
"of",
"companies",
"'",
"earnings",
"this",
"year",
".",
"Prices",
"--",
"averaging",
"roughly",
"$",
"2",
"a",
"barrel",
"higher",
"in",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"than",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
"--",
"have",
"stayed",
"well",
"above",
"most",
"companies",
"'",
"expectations",
".",
"Demand",
"has",
"been",
"much",
"stronger",
"than",
"anticipated",
",",
"and",
"it",
"typically",
"accelerates",
"in",
"the",
"fourth",
"quarter",
".",
"``",
"We",
"could",
"see",
"higher",
"oil",
"prices",
"this",
"year",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Bryan",
"Jacoboski",
",",
"an",
"analyst",
"at",
"PaineWebber",
"Inc",
".",
"That",
"will",
"translate",
"into",
"sharply",
"higher",
"production",
"profits",
",",
"particularly",
"compared",
"with",
"last",
"year",
"when",
"oil",
"prices",
"steadily",
"fell",
"to",
"below",
"$",
"13",
"a",
"barrel",
"in",
"the",
"fourth",
"quarter",
".",
"While",
"oil",
"prices",
"have",
"been",
"better",
"than",
"expected",
",",
"natural",
"gas",
"prices",
"have",
"been",
"worse",
".",
"In",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
",",
"they",
"averaged",
"about",
"5",
"%",
"less",
"than",
"they",
"were",
"in",
"1988",
".",
"The",
"main",
"reason",
"remains",
"weather",
".",
"Last",
"summer",
"was",
"notable",
"for",
"a",
"heat",
"wave",
"and",
"drought",
"that",
"caused",
"utilities",
"to",
"burn",
"more",
"natural",
"gas",
"to",
"feed",
"increased",
"electrical",
"demand",
"from",
"air",
"conditioning",
"use",
".",
"This",
"summer",
",",
"on",
"the",
"other",
"hand",
",",
"had",
"milder",
"weather",
"than",
"usual",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'ve",
"been",
"very",
"disappointed",
"in",
"the",
"performance",
"of",
"natural",
"gas",
"prices",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Cox",
",",
"Phillips",
"'s",
"president",
".",
"``",
"The",
"lagging",
"gas",
"price",
"is",
"not",
"going",
"to",
"assist",
"fourth",
"quarter",
"performance",
"as",
"many",
"had",
"expected",
".",
"''",
"Going",
"into",
"the",
"fourth",
"quarter",
",",
"natural",
"gas",
"prices",
"are",
"anywhere",
"from",
"8",
"%",
"to",
"17",
"%",
"lower",
"than",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"For",
"instance",
",",
"natural",
"gas",
"currently",
"produced",
"along",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"People",
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",",
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"And",
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"Fed",
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"A",
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18,
18,
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20,
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20,
18,
25,
23,
27,
23,
27,
31,
31,
27,
3,
2,
5,
5,
5,
0,
8,
8,
5,
5,
3,
3,
8,
5,
3,
8,
8,
0,
10,
8,
10,
13,
8,
13,
16,
13,
18,
16,
8,
6,
4,
4,
5,
6,
0,
8,
11,
11,
11,
6,
11,
14,
11,
18,
18,
18,
11,
18,
21,
19,
21,
24,
21,
6,
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4,
4,
19,
7,
7,
4,
7,
11,
11,
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13,
11,
19,
17,
17,
19,
19,
0,
21,
19,
24,
24,
21,
26,
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2,
0,
4,
2,
6,
4,
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2,
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5,
0,
8,
8,
5,
10,
8,
15,
14,
14,
15,
8,
5,
2,
15,
6,
6,
6,
2,
15,
9,
15,
9,
13,
13,
9,
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18,
18,
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21,
18,
24,
24,
21,
26,
24,
26,
15
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[
"Diversification",
"pays",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"a",
"fundamental",
"lesson",
"for",
"investors",
",",
"but",
"its",
"truth",
"was",
"demonstrated",
"once",
"again",
"in",
"the",
"performance",
"of",
"mutual",
"funds",
"during",
"and",
"after",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"'s",
"Friday-the-13th",
"plunge",
".",
"Stock",
"funds",
",",
"like",
"the",
"market",
"as",
"a",
"whole",
",",
"generally",
"dropped",
"more",
"than",
"2",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"week",
"through",
"last",
"Thursday",
",",
"according",
"to",
"figures",
"compiled",
"by",
"Lipper",
"Analytical",
"Services",
"Inc",
".",
"That",
"reflects",
"the",
"huge",
"drop",
"a",
"week",
"ago",
"Friday",
",",
"last",
"Monday",
"'s",
"rebound",
"and",
"the",
"dips",
"and",
"blips",
"that",
"followed",
".",
"But",
"several",
"other",
"types",
"of",
"funds",
"shielded",
"investors",
"from",
"the",
"worst",
"of",
"the",
"market",
"'s",
"slide",
".",
"Funds",
"that",
"invest",
"internationally",
"were",
"the",
"top-performing",
"stock",
"and",
"fixed-income",
"funds",
".",
"``",
"More",
"than",
"ever",
",",
"people",
"should",
"realize",
"they",
"should",
"have",
"a",
"diversified",
"portfolio",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Jeremy",
"Duffield",
",",
"a",
"senior",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"Vanguard",
"Group",
".",
"``",
"That",
"means",
"stocks",
",",
"bonds",
",",
"money",
"market",
"instruments",
"and",
"real",
"estate",
".",
"''",
"One",
"week",
"'s",
"performance",
"should",
"n't",
"be",
"the",
"basis",
"for",
"any",
"investment",
"decision",
".",
"But",
"the",
"latest",
"mutual",
"fund",
"performance",
"figures",
"do",
"show",
"what",
"can",
"happen",
"when",
"the",
"going",
"gets",
"rough",
".",
"``",
"You",
"want",
"to",
"know",
"how",
"a",
"fund",
"did",
"when",
"the",
"market",
"got",
"hammered",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Kurt",
"Brouwer",
",",
"an",
"investment",
"adviser",
"with",
"Brouwer",
"&",
"Janachowski",
"in",
"San",
"Francisco",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"like",
"kicking",
"the",
"tires",
"of",
"a",
"car",
"...",
".",
"What",
"you",
"want",
"to",
"know",
"is",
"when",
"the",
"road",
"'s",
"rough",
",",
"when",
"there",
"'s",
"snow",
"and",
"ice",
",",
"how",
"'s",
"this",
"car",
"going",
"to",
"perform",
"?",
"''",
"General",
"equity",
"funds",
"fell",
"an",
"average",
"of",
"2.35",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"week",
"ended",
"Thursday",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"a",
"2.32",
"%",
"slide",
"for",
"the",
"Standard",
"&",
"Poor",
"'s",
"500-stock",
"index",
".",
"But",
"Lipper",
"Analytical",
"'s",
"figures",
"show",
"that",
"there",
"were",
"a",
"number",
"of",
"ways",
"investors",
"could",
"have",
"cushioned",
"themselves",
"from",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"'s",
"gyrations",
".",
"Gold-oriented",
"funds",
",",
"for",
"instance",
",",
"which",
"invest",
"in",
"companies",
"that",
"mine",
"and",
"process",
"the",
"precious",
"metal",
",",
"posted",
"an",
"average",
"decline",
"of",
"1.15",
"%",
".",
"Flexible",
"portfolio",
"funds",
",",
"which",
"allocate",
"investments",
"among",
"stocks",
",",
"bonds",
"and",
"money-market",
"instruments",
"and",
"other",
"investments",
",",
"declined",
"at",
"about",
"half",
"the",
"rate",
"of",
"stock",
"funds",
"--",
"an",
"average",
"drop",
"of",
"1.27",
"%",
",",
"according",
"to",
"Lipper",
".",
"Global",
"allocation",
"funds",
"take",
"the",
"asset-allocation",
"concept",
"one",
"step",
"further",
"by",
"investing",
"at",
"least",
"25",
"%",
"of",
"their",
"portfolios",
"outside",
"the",
"U.S.",
".",
"This",
"gives",
"them",
"the",
"added",
"benefits",
"of",
"international",
"diversification",
"--",
"including",
"a",
"foreign-exchange",
"boost",
"during",
"periods",
",",
"like",
"the",
"past",
"week",
",",
"when",
"the",
"dollar",
"declines",
"against",
"other",
"major",
"currencies",
".",
"With",
"all",
"that",
"going",
"for",
"them",
",",
"global",
"flexible",
"portfolio",
"funds",
"declined",
"only",
"1.07",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"week",
"through",
"last",
"Thursday",
".",
"But",
"while",
"the",
"merits",
"of",
"diversification",
"shine",
"through",
"when",
"times",
"are",
"tough",
",",
"there",
"'s",
"also",
"a",
"price",
"to",
"pay",
":",
"A",
"diversified",
"portfolio",
"always",
"underperforms",
"an",
"undiversified",
"portfolio",
"during",
"those",
"times",
"when",
"the",
"investment",
"in",
"the",
"undiversified",
"portfolio",
"is",
"truly",
"hot",
".",
"And",
"Friday",
"the",
"13th",
"notwithstanding",
",",
"stocks",
"have",
"been",
"this",
"year",
"'s",
"hot",
"investment",
".",
"Thus",
",",
"even",
"including",
"the",
"latest",
"week",
",",
"the",
"average",
"general",
"stock",
"fund",
"has",
"soared",
"more",
"than",
"24",
"%",
"so",
"far",
"this",
"year",
",",
"the",
"Lipper",
"Analytical",
"figures",
"show",
".",
"By",
"comparison",
",",
"global",
"asset",
"allocation",
"funds",
"have",
"turned",
"in",
"an",
"average",
"total",
"return",
"of",
"about",
"19",
"%",
",",
"while",
"domestic",
"flexible",
"portfolios",
"are",
"up",
"about",
"17",
"%",
".",
"Fixed-income",
"funds",
"have",
"returned",
"8.2",
"%",
",",
"while",
"gold",
"funds",
",",
"which",
"tend",
"to",
"be",
"volatile",
",",
"have",
"risen",
"just",
"4.55",
"%",
",",
"on",
"average",
".",
"``",
"That",
"'s",
"the",
"problem",
"with",
"trying",
"to",
"hedge",
"too",
"much",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Brouwer",
".",
"``",
"You",
"do",
"n't",
"make",
"any",
"real",
"money",
".",
"''",
"Over",
"the",
"last",
"20",
"years",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"Mr.",
"Brouwer",
"says",
",",
"an",
"investor",
"putting",
"$",
"5,000",
"a",
"year",
"in",
"the",
"S&P",
"500",
"would",
"have",
"made",
"nearly",
"twice",
"as",
"much",
"than",
"if",
"it",
"were",
"invested",
"in",
"Treasury",
"bills",
".",
"Some",
"equity",
"funds",
"did",
"better",
"than",
"others",
"in",
"the",
"week",
"that",
"began",
"on",
"Friday",
"the",
"13th",
".",
"The",
"$",
"4",
"million",
"Monetta",
"Fund",
",",
"for",
"instance",
",",
"was",
"the",
"seventh",
"top",
"performing",
"fund",
"for",
"the",
"week",
",",
"with",
"a",
"2.65",
"%",
"return",
".",
"Its",
"return",
"so",
"far",
"this",
"year",
"has",
"been",
"a",
"credible",
"21.71",
"%",
".",
"The",
"fund",
"'s",
"strategy",
"is",
"to",
"sell",
"when",
"a",
"stock",
"appreciates",
"30",
"%",
"over",
"its",
"cost",
".",
"By",
"the",
"time",
"the",
"market",
"plummeted",
"10",
"days",
"ago",
",",
"Monetta",
"was",
"55",
"%",
"in",
"cash",
",",
"said",
"Robert",
"Bacarella",
",",
"president",
"and",
"portfolio",
"manager",
".",
"Last",
"Monday",
",",
"he",
"started",
"``",
"buying",
"the",
"high-quality",
"growth",
"companies",
"that",
"people",
"were",
"throwing",
"away",
"at",
"discount",
"prices",
".",
"''",
"Among",
"Mr.",
"Bacarella",
"'s",
"picks",
":",
"Oracle",
"Systems",
",",
"Reebok",
"International",
"Ltd.",
"and",
"Digital",
"Microwave",
"Corp",
".",
"The",
"fund",
"'s",
"cash",
"position",
"is",
"now",
"about",
"22",
"%",
",",
"which",
"Mr.",
"Bacarella",
"calls",
"``",
"still",
"bearish",
".",
"''",
"Among",
"the",
"big",
"stock",
"funds",
",",
"Dreyfus",
"Fund",
",",
"with",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"2",
"billion",
"in",
"assets",
",",
"had",
"a",
"decline",
"of",
"just",
"1.49",
"%",
"for",
"the",
"week",
"and",
"a",
"return",
"of",
"21.42",
"%",
"for",
"the",
"year",
".",
"Howard",
"Stein",
",",
"chairman",
"of",
"Dreyfus",
"Corp.",
",",
"said",
"the",
"fund",
"was",
"about",
"half",
"invested",
"in",
"government",
"bonds",
"on",
"Oct.",
"13",
",",
"and",
"about",
"10",
"%",
"in",
"cash",
".",
"``",
"In",
"a",
"downward",
"market",
",",
"bonds",
"act",
"better",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"``",
"We",
"still",
"think",
"there",
"'s",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"unsettlement",
"in",
"this",
"market",
".",
"We",
"believe",
"interest",
"rates",
"will",
"continue",
"to",
"trend",
"lower",
",",
"and",
"the",
"economy",
"will",
"slow",
"around",
"the",
"world",
".",
"''",
"Many",
"of",
"the",
"funds",
"that",
"did",
"best",
"in",
"the",
"last",
"week",
"are",
"heavily",
"invested",
"overseas",
",",
"giving",
"them",
"the",
"benefit",
"of",
"foreign",
"currency",
"translations",
"when",
"the",
"dollar",
"is",
"weak",
".",
"From",
"its",
"high",
"point",
"on",
"Thursday",
",",
"Oct.",
"12",
",",
"to",
"where",
"it",
"traded",
"late",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"a",
"week",
"later",
",",
"the",
"dollar",
"fell",
"3.6",
"%",
"against",
"the",
"West",
"German",
"mark",
",",
"3.4",
"%",
"against",
"the",
"British",
"pound",
"and",
"2.1",
"%",
"against",
"the",
"Japanese",
"yen",
".",
"Three",
"International",
"Cash",
"Portfolios",
"funds",
",",
"which",
"invest",
"almost",
"exclusively",
"in",
"bonds",
"and",
"money-market",
"instruments",
"overseas",
",",
"were",
"among",
"the",
"four",
"top-performing",
"funds",
"in",
"the",
"latest",
"week",
".",
"Because",
"the",
"funds",
"'",
"investments",
"are",
"denominated",
"in",
"foreign",
"currencies",
",",
"their",
"value",
"expressed",
"in",
"dollars",
"goes",
"up",
"when",
"those",
"currencies",
"rise",
"against",
"the",
"dollar",
".",
"But",
"when",
"the",
"dollar",
"rises",
"against",
"major",
"foreign",
"currencies",
",",
"as",
"it",
"did",
"for",
"much",
"of",
"this",
"year",
",",
"the",
"dollar",
"value",
"of",
"these",
"funds",
"declines",
".",
"All",
"three",
"funds",
"posted",
"negative",
"returns",
"for",
"the",
"year",
"to",
"date",
".",
"Of",
"the",
"funds",
"that",
"fared",
"the",
"worst",
"in",
"the",
"post-Oct",
".",
"13",
"week",
",",
"two",
"are",
"heavily",
"invested",
"in",
"airlines",
"stocks",
",",
"which",
"led",
"the",
"market",
"slide",
"following",
"problems",
"with",
"financing",
"for",
"the",
"UAL",
"Corp",
".",
"buy-out",
"plan",
".",
"Reflecting",
"airline",
"takeover",
"activity",
",",
"however",
",",
"both",
"the",
"Fidelity",
"Select",
"Air",
"Transportation",
"Portfolio",
"and",
"the",
"National",
"Aviation",
"&",
"Technology",
"fund",
"posted",
"better-than-average",
"returns",
"for",
"the",
"the",
"year",
"to",
"date",
":",
"30.09",
"%",
"for",
"the",
"Fidelity",
"Air",
"Transportation",
"fund",
"and",
"a",
"whopping",
"47.24",
"%",
"for",
"National",
"Aviation",
"&",
"Technology",
".",
"The",
"small",
"drop",
"in",
"equity",
"funds",
"in",
"general",
"in",
"the",
"latest",
"week",
"may",
"not",
"necessarily",
"be",
"a",
"good",
"sign",
",",
"said",
"A.",
"Michael",
"Lipper",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Lipper",
"Analytical",
".",
"Noting",
"that",
"equity",
"funds",
"are",
"up",
"nearly",
"60",
"%",
"from",
"their",
"post-crash",
"low",
"on",
"Dec.",
"3",
",",
"1987",
",",
"he",
"said",
"that",
"what",
"happened",
"last",
"week",
"``",
"may",
"not",
"be",
"enough",
"of",
"an",
"adjustment",
".",
"There",
"'s",
"either",
"more",
"to",
"come",
"or",
"an",
"extremely",
"long",
"period",
"of",
"dullness",
".",
"''",
"But",
"investors",
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[
"Investor",
"Harold",
"Simmons",
"and",
"NL",
"Industries",
"Inc.",
"offered",
"to",
"acquire",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"Corp.",
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"$",
"50",
"a",
"share",
",",
"or",
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",",
"stepping",
"up",
"the",
"pressure",
"on",
"the",
"commodity",
"chemicals",
"concern",
".",
"The",
"offer",
"follows",
"an",
"earlier",
"proposal",
"by",
"NL",
"and",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
"to",
"help",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"restructure",
"or",
"go",
"private",
"in",
"a",
"transaction",
"that",
"would",
"pay",
"shareholders",
"$",
"55",
"a",
"share",
".",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"rebuffed",
"that",
"offer",
"in",
"September",
"and",
"said",
"it",
"would",
"study",
"other",
"alternatives",
".",
"However",
",",
"it",
"has",
"n't",
"yet",
"made",
"any",
"proposals",
"to",
"shareholders",
".",
"Late",
"yesterday",
",",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"said",
"it",
"reviewed",
"the",
"NL",
"proposal",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"interests",
"from",
"``",
"third",
"parties",
"''",
"regarding",
"business",
"combinations",
".",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"said",
"it",
"has",
"n't",
"eliminated",
"any",
"alternatives",
"and",
"that",
"``",
"discussions",
"are",
"being",
"held",
"with",
"interested",
"parties",
",",
"and",
"work",
"is",
"also",
"continuing",
"on",
"other",
"various",
"transactions",
".",
"''",
"It",
"did",
"n't",
"elaborate",
".",
"Analysts",
"saw",
"the",
"latest",
"offer",
"as",
"proof",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
",",
"an",
"aggressive",
"and",
"persistent",
"investor",
",",
"wo",
"n't",
"leave",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"alone",
"until",
"some",
"kind",
"of",
"transaction",
"is",
"completed",
".",
"``",
"He",
"has",
"clamped",
"on",
"their",
"ankle",
"like",
"a",
"pit",
"bull",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Paul",
"Leming",
",",
"a",
"vice",
"president",
"with",
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"Stanley",
"&",
"Co",
".",
"``",
"He",
"appears",
"to",
"be",
"in",
"it",
"for",
"the",
"long",
"haul",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
"and",
"NL",
"already",
"own",
"a",
"9.9",
"%",
"stake",
"in",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
".",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
"owns",
"88",
"%",
"of",
"Valhi",
"Inc.",
",",
"which",
"in",
"turn",
"owns",
"two-thirds",
"of",
"NL",
".",
"NL",
"is",
"officially",
"making",
"the",
"offer",
".",
"Mr.",
"Leming",
"was",
"n't",
"surprised",
"by",
"the",
"lower",
"price",
"cited",
"by",
"NL",
",",
"saying",
"he",
"believes",
"that",
"$",
"55",
"a",
"share",
"is",
"``",
"the",
"most",
"you",
"can",
"pay",
"for",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"before",
"it",
"becomes",
"a",
"bad",
"acquisition",
".",
"''",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"stock",
"rose",
"$",
"1.75",
"a",
"share",
"yesterday",
"to",
"close",
"at",
"$",
"51.25",
"a",
"share",
",",
"while",
"NL",
"shares",
"closed",
"unchanged",
"at",
"$",
"22.75",
"and",
"Valhi",
"rose",
"62.5",
"cents",
"to",
"$",
"15",
",",
"all",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"composite",
"trading",
".",
"J.",
"Landis",
"Martin",
",",
"NL",
"president",
"and",
"chief",
"executive",
"officer",
",",
"said",
"NL",
"and",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
"cut",
"the",
"price",
"they",
"were",
"proposing",
"for",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"because",
"they",
"initially",
"planned",
"a",
"transaction",
"that",
"included",
"about",
"$",
"250",
"million",
"in",
"equity",
"and",
"a",
"substantial",
"amount",
"of",
"high-yield",
"subordinated",
"debt",
".",
"However",
",",
"the",
"junk-bond",
"market",
"has",
"collapsed",
"in",
"recent",
"weeks",
",",
"lessening",
"the",
"likelihood",
"that",
"such",
"a",
"transaction",
"would",
"succeed",
".",
"Now",
",",
"he",
"said",
",",
"the",
"group",
"plans",
"to",
"put",
"in",
"``",
"several",
"hundred",
"million",
"''",
"dollars",
"in",
"equity",
"and",
"finance",
"the",
"remainder",
"with",
"bank",
"debt",
".",
"He",
"also",
"said",
"that",
"the",
"group",
"reduced",
"its",
"offer",
"because",
"it",
"was",
"n't",
"allowed",
"to",
"see",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"'s",
"confidential",
"financial",
"information",
"without",
"agreeing",
"that",
"it",
"would",
"n't",
"make",
"an",
"offer",
"unless",
"it",
"had",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"'s",
"consent",
".",
"In",
"a",
"letter",
"to",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"President",
"Jerry",
"R.",
"Satrum",
",",
"Mr.",
"Martin",
"asked",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"to",
"answer",
"its",
"offer",
"by",
"Tuesday",
".",
"It",
"was",
"n't",
"clear",
"how",
"NL",
"and",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
"would",
"respond",
"if",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"spurns",
"them",
"again",
".",
"Mr.",
"Martin",
"said",
"they",
"have",
"n't",
"yet",
"decided",
"what",
"their",
"next",
"move",
"would",
"be",
",",
"but",
"he",
"did",
"n't",
"rule",
"out",
"the",
"possibility",
"of",
"a",
"consent",
"solicitation",
"aimed",
"at",
"replacing",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"'s",
"board",
".",
"In",
"other",
"transactions",
",",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
"has",
"followed",
"friendly",
"offers",
"with",
"a",
"hostile",
"tender",
"offer",
".",
"Although",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"has",
"n't",
"been",
"eager",
"to",
"negotiate",
"with",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
"and",
"NL",
",",
"a",
"specialty",
"chemicals",
"concern",
",",
"the",
"group",
"apparently",
"believes",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"management",
"is",
"interested",
"in",
"some",
"kind",
"of",
"transaction",
".",
"The",
"management",
"group",
"owns",
"about",
"18",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"stock",
",",
"most",
"purchased",
"at",
"nominal",
"prices",
",",
"and",
"would",
"stand",
"to",
"gain",
"millions",
"of",
"dollars",
"if",
"the",
"company",
"were",
"sold",
".",
"In",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
",",
"Georgia",
"Gulf",
"earned",
"$",
"46.1",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"1.85",
"a",
"share",
",",
"down",
"from",
"$",
"53",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"1.85",
"a",
"share",
"on",
"fewer",
"shares",
"outstanding",
".",
"Sales",
"fell",
"to",
"$",
"251.2",
"million",
"from",
"$",
"278.7",
"million",
"."
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[
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"Louis-based",
"A.G.",
"Edwards",
"&",
"Sons",
".",
"``",
"Most",
"people",
"do",
"just",
"the",
"opposite",
":",
"They",
"sell",
"their",
"winners",
"and",
"keep",
"their",
"losers",
".",
"''",
"Which",
"types",
"of",
"stocks",
"are",
"most",
"likely",
"to",
"qualify",
"?",
"Technology",
"stocks",
",",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Goldman",
".",
"WATCH",
"FOR",
"EARNINGS",
"DISAPPOINTMENTS",
".",
"A",
"company",
"does",
"n't",
"have",
"to",
"post",
"a",
"loss",
"to",
"be",
"a",
"candidate",
"for",
"sale",
",",
"says",
"Charles",
"I.",
"Clough",
"Jr.",
",",
"chief",
"market",
"strategist",
"at",
"Merrill",
"Lynch",
"&",
"Co",
".",
"If",
"earnings",
"do",
"n't",
"live",
"up",
"to",
"analysts",
"'",
"expectations",
",",
"he",
"says",
",",
"that",
"'s",
"enough",
"to",
"dump",
"the",
"stock",
".",
"John",
"Markese",
",",
"director",
"of",
"research",
"for",
"the",
"American",
"Association",
"of",
"Individual",
"Investors",
",",
"raises",
"a",
"cautionary",
"note",
".",
"``",
"Substituting",
"a",
"rule",
"of",
"thumb",
"for",
"your",
"own",
"judgment",
"''",
"can",
"be",
"a",
"mistake",
",",
"he",
"says",
".",
"An",
"earnings",
"disappointment",
"may",
"reflect",
"a",
"situation",
"that",
"'s",
"short-term",
".",
"But",
"Mr.",
"Clough",
"says",
",",
"``",
"The",
"risk",
"is",
"that",
"earnings",
"disappointments",
"will",
"continue",
".",
"''",
"The",
"economy",
"is",
"decelerating",
"after",
"six",
"good",
"years",
",",
"and",
"``",
"right",
"now",
"it",
"'s",
"better",
"to",
"shoot",
"first",
"and",
"ask",
"questions",
"later",
".",
"''",
"Which",
"types",
"of",
"stocks",
"currently",
"have",
"the",
"greatest",
"earnings",
"risks",
"?",
"Computer",
"companies",
";",
"commodity",
"cyclical",
"stocks",
",",
"like",
"autos",
";",
"and",
"retailing",
"stocks",
",",
"he",
"says",
".",
"BEWARE",
"OF",
"HEAVY",
"DEBT",
".",
"The",
"companies",
"apt",
"to",
"run",
"into",
"earnings",
"problems",
"soonest",
"are",
"the",
"ones",
"with",
"heavy",
"debt",
"loads",
",",
"says",
"Larry",
"Biehl",
",",
"partner",
"in",
"the",
"San",
"Mateo",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"money-management",
"firm",
"of",
"Bailard",
",",
"Biehl",
"&",
"Kaiser",
".",
"Mr.",
"Canelo",
"of",
"Bear",
"Stearns",
"agrees",
":",
"``",
"If",
"we",
"do",
"have",
"an",
"economic",
"slowdown",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
",",
"``",
"companies",
"with",
"high",
"debt",
"ratios",
"will",
"be",
"dumped",
"en",
"masse",
".",
"''",
"The",
"best",
"course",
"for",
"individual",
"investors",
"is",
"to",
"sell",
"these",
"stocks",
"now",
",",
"the",
"two",
"advisers",
"say",
".",
"SELL",
"`",
"WHISPER",
"'",
"STOCKS",
".",
"UAL",
"Corp.",
"'s",
"difficulty",
"in",
"obtaining",
"bank",
"financing",
"for",
"its",
"leveraged",
"buy-out",
"and",
"its",
"resulting",
"price",
"plunge",
"is",
"a",
"tip-off",
"to",
"what",
"'s",
"going",
"to",
"happen",
"to",
"``",
"takeover",
"stocks",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Canelo",
".",
"Takeover",
"activity",
"will",
"slow",
"down",
"as",
"more",
"and",
"more",
"banks",
"tighten",
"their",
"lending",
"requirements",
",",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"There",
"'ll",
"be",
"fewer",
"and",
"fewer",
"deals",
".",
"''",
"Moreover",
",",
"many",
"financial",
"advisers",
"say",
"individuals",
"should",
"be",
"in",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"as",
"long-term",
"investors",
",",
"not",
"as",
"traders",
"trying",
"to",
"catch",
"the",
"next",
"hot",
"stock",
".",
"In",
"general",
",",
"they",
"say",
",",
"avoid",
"takeover",
"stocks",
".",
"COMPARE",
"P/E",
"RATIOS",
"WITH",
"PROSPECTS",
".",
"Mr.",
"Canelo",
"suggests",
"that",
"investors",
"compare",
"price/earnings",
"ratios",
"(",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"a",
"share",
"of",
"stock",
"divided",
"by",
"a",
"company",
"'s",
"per-share",
"earnings",
"for",
"a",
"12-month",
"period",
")",
"with",
"projected",
"growth",
"rates",
".",
"``",
"If",
"you",
"think",
"earnings",
"will",
"grow",
"at",
"20",
"%",
"a",
"year",
",",
"it",
"'s",
"all",
"right",
"to",
"pay",
"20",
"times",
"earnings",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"But",
"do",
"n't",
"pay",
"30",
"times",
"earnings",
"for",
"a",
"company",
"that",
"'s",
"expected",
"to",
"grow",
"at",
"15",
"%",
"a",
"year",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Canelo",
"thinks",
"the",
"market",
"will",
"probably",
"go",
"higher",
",",
"but",
"``",
"will",
"be",
"ruthless",
"with",
"stocks",
"if",
"the",
"earnings",
"are",
"n't",
"there",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Markese",
"cautions",
"that",
"investors",
"should",
"n't",
"slavishly",
"follow",
"any",
"specific",
"price/earnings",
"sell",
"trigger",
".",
"``",
"If",
"you",
"say",
"sell",
"anytime",
"a",
"company",
"'s",
"price/earnings",
"ratio",
"exceeds",
"15",
",",
"that",
"knocks",
"out",
"all",
"your",
"growth",
"stocks",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"You",
"eliminate",
"companies",
"with",
"substantial",
"prospects",
"that",
"are",
"moving",
"up",
"in",
"price",
".",
"''",
"EXAMINE",
"WHAT",
"HAS",
"CHANGED",
".",
"Tom",
"Schlesinger",
",",
"market",
"analyst",
"at",
"A.G.",
"Edwards",
"&",
"Sons",
"Inc.",
",",
"says",
"investors",
"should",
"consider",
"selling",
"if",
"there",
"has",
"been",
"a",
"fundamental",
"change",
"in",
"a",
"company",
"since",
"they",
"bought",
"its",
"stock",
".",
"Say",
"you",
"purchased",
"a",
"stock",
"because",
"of",
"a",
"new",
"product",
"that",
"was",
"in",
"the",
"works",
".",
"Now",
",",
"because",
"of",
"various",
"difficulties",
",",
"the",
"product",
"has",
"been",
"scrapped",
".",
"Time",
"to",
"sell",
",",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Schlesinger",
".",
"Similarly",
",",
"he",
"says",
",",
"suppose",
"you",
"were",
"attracted",
"to",
"a",
"company",
"because",
"of",
"expectations",
"that",
"sales",
"would",
"hit",
"$",
"200",
"million",
"by",
"1990",
".",
"If",
"things",
"have",
"n't",
"worked",
"out",
"that",
"well",
",",
"and",
"sales",
"wo",
"n't",
"hit",
"$",
"200",
"million",
"until",
"1992",
",",
"it",
"'s",
"time",
"to",
"consider",
"selling",
",",
"he",
"says",
"."
] | [
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] | [
"discourse",
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"aux",
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"obj",
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"cc",
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[
"In",
"a",
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",",
"human",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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"prepare",
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"by",
"predicting",
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".",
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",",
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"Sciences",
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".",
"Little",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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"Inc",
".",
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"Football",
"League",
".",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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".",
"Its",
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"25",
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".",
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",",
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"--",
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"--",
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"200",
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".",
"In",
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",",
"you",
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"one",
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"--",
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".",
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",",
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"'",
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",",
"''",
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",",
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",",
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"not",
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".",
"Litigation",
"consulting",
"is",
",",
"as",
"New",
"York",
"trial",
"attorney",
"Donald",
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",",
"``",
"highly",
"manipulative",
".",
"''",
"He",
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",",
"``",
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"notion",
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"try",
"to",
"sell",
"is",
"that",
"juries",
"do",
"n't",
"make",
"decisions",
"rationally",
".",
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"the",
"effort",
"is",
"also",
"being",
"made",
"to",
"try",
"and",
"cause",
"jurors",
"not",
"to",
"decide",
"things",
"rationally",
".",
"I",
"find",
"it",
"troubling",
".",
"''",
"But",
"Mr.",
"Zoeller",
"also",
"acknowledges",
"that",
"consultants",
"can",
"be",
"very",
"effective",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"gotten",
"to",
"the",
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"the",
"case",
"is",
"large",
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",",
"it",
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"not",
"to",
"use",
"them",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
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"'",
"growing",
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"exacerbates",
"the",
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"litigants",
"wealthy",
"enough",
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"afford",
"such",
"pricey",
"services",
".",
"``",
"The",
"affluent",
"people",
"and",
"the",
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"can",
"buy",
"it",
",",
"the",
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"radicals",
"-LCB-",
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"-RCB-",
"get",
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",",
"and",
"everybody",
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",",
"and",
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"'s",
"not",
"the",
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"of",
"system",
"we",
"want",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Amitai",
"Etzioni",
",",
"a",
"prominent",
"sociologist",
"who",
"teaches",
"at",
"George",
"Washington",
"University",
".",
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"trial",
"consulting",
"grew",
",",
"ironically",
",",
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"movements",
"of",
"the",
"1960s",
"and",
"1970s",
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"finding",
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"more",
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"calling",
"in",
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".",
"The",
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"7",
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",",
"in",
"which",
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"others",
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"violence",
",",
"was",
"a",
"landmark",
".",
"In",
"that",
"case",
",",
"a",
"group",
"of",
"left-leaning",
"sociologists",
"interviewed",
"252",
"registered",
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"around",
"Harrisburg",
".",
"The",
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"Episcopalians",
",",
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",",
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"and",
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"were",
"nearly",
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";",
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"resolved",
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"try",
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".",
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"learned",
"that",
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"uncharacteristically",
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"the",
"Vietnam",
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".",
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".",
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",",
"that",
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"picked",
"jury",
"deadlocked",
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",",
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"not",
"to",
"retry",
"the",
"case",
".",
"Litigation",
"consulting",
"had",
"arrived",
".",
"The",
"fledgling",
"science",
"went",
"corporate",
"in",
"1977",
"when",
"International",
"Business",
"Machines",
"Corp.",
"hired",
"a",
"marketing",
"professor",
"to",
"help",
"defend",
"a",
"complex",
"antitrust",
"case",
".",
"The",
"problem",
"for",
"IBM",
"trial",
"lawyers",
"Thomas",
"Barr",
"and",
"David",
"Boies",
"was",
"how",
"to",
"make",
"such",
"a",
"highly",
"technical",
"case",
"understandable",
".",
"As",
"the",
"trial",
"progressed",
",",
"they",
"were",
"eager",
"to",
"know",
"if",
"the",
"jury",
"was",
"keeping",
"up",
"with",
"them",
".",
"The",
"solution",
"devised",
"by",
"the",
"professor",
"was",
"to",
"hire",
"six",
"people",
"who",
"would",
"mirror",
"the",
"actual",
"jury",
"demographically",
",",
"sit",
"in",
"on",
"the",
"trial",
"and",
"report",
"their",
"reactions",
"to",
"him",
".",
"He",
"then",
"briefed",
"Messrs.",
"Boies",
"and",
"Barr",
",",
"who",
"had",
"the",
"chance",
"to",
"tilt",
"their",
"next",
"day",
"'s",
"presentation",
"accordingly",
".",
"Thus",
",",
"the",
"``",
"shadow",
"''",
"jury",
"was",
"born",
".",
"Mr.",
"Vinson",
",",
"the",
"professor",
",",
"got",
"the",
"law",
"bug",
"and",
"formed",
"Litigation",
"Sciences",
".",
"(",
"IBM",
"won",
"the",
"case",
".",
")",
"``",
"The",
"hardest",
"thing",
"in",
"any",
"complex",
"case",
"is",
"to",
"retain",
"objectivity",
"and",
",",
"in",
"some",
"sense",
",",
"your",
"ignorance",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Boies",
"of",
"Cravath",
",",
"Swaine",
"&",
"Moore",
".",
"``",
"What",
"you",
"look",
"for",
"in",
"a",
"shadow",
"jury",
"is",
"very",
"much",
"what",
"you",
"do",
"when",
"you",
"give",
"an",
"opening",
"argument",
"to",
"your",
"wife",
"or",
"a",
"friend",
"and",
"get",
"some",
"response",
"to",
"it",
".",
"A",
"shadow",
"jury",
"is",
"a",
"way",
"to",
"do",
"that",
"in",
"a",
"more",
"systematic",
"and",
"organized",
"way",
".",
"''",
"The",
"approach",
"worked",
"well",
"in",
"the",
"recent",
"antitrust",
"case",
"in",
"which",
"Energy",
"Transportation",
"Systems",
"Inc.",
"sued",
"Santa",
"Fe",
"Pacific",
"Corp.",
"over",
"the",
"transport",
"of",
"semi-liquefied",
"coal",
"--",
"the",
"kind",
"of",
"case",
"likely",
"to",
"make",
"almost",
"anyone",
"'s",
"eyes",
"glaze",
"over",
".",
"Energy",
"Transportation",
"retained",
"Litigation",
"Sciences",
",",
"at",
"a",
"cost",
"of",
"several",
"hundred",
"thousand",
"dollars",
",",
"to",
"poll",
",",
"pre-try",
",",
"profile",
"and",
"shadow",
".",
"Just",
"before",
"the",
"actual",
"closing",
"arguments",
",",
"the",
"firm",
"put",
"the",
"case",
"to",
"a",
"vote",
"of",
"the",
"five",
"shadow",
"jurors",
",",
"each",
"of",
"whom",
"was",
"being",
"paid",
"$",
"150",
"a",
"day",
".",
"The",
"jurors",
",",
"who",
"did",
"n't",
"know",
"which",
"side",
"had",
"retained",
"them",
",",
"decided",
"for",
"Energy",
"Transportation",
",",
"and",
"awarded",
"$",
"500",
"million",
"in",
"damages",
".",
"The",
"real",
"jury",
"returned",
"days",
"later",
"with",
"a",
"$",
"345",
"million",
"victory",
"for",
"Energy",
"Transportation",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"just",
"like",
"weather",
"forecasting",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Energy",
"Transportation",
"trial",
"attorney",
"Harry",
"Reasoner",
"of",
"Vinson",
"&",
"Elkins",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"often",
"wrong",
",",
"but",
"it",
"'s",
"better",
"than",
"consulting",
"an",
"Indian",
"rain",
"dancer",
".",
"''",
"Forecasting",
"is",
"only",
"one",
"part",
"of",
"Litigation",
"Sciences",
"'",
"work",
".",
"Changing",
"the",
"outcome",
"of",
"the",
"trial",
"is",
"what",
"really",
"matters",
".",
"And",
"to",
"the",
"uninitiated",
",",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"firm",
"'s",
"approaches",
"may",
"seem",
"chillingly",
"manipulative",
".",
"Theoretically",
",",
"jurors",
"are",
"supposed",
"to",
"weigh",
"the",
"evidence",
"in",
"a",
"case",
"logically",
"and",
"objectively",
".",
"Instead",
",",
"Mr.",
"Vinson",
"says",
",",
"interviews",
"with",
"thousands",
"of",
"jurors",
"reveal",
"that",
"they",
"start",
"with",
"firmly",
"entrenched",
"attitudes",
"and",
"try",
"to",
"shoe-horn",
"the",
"facts",
"of",
"the",
"case",
"to",
"fit",
"their",
"views",
".",
"Pre-trial",
"polling",
"helps",
"the",
"consultants",
"develop",
"a",
"profile",
"of",
"the",
"right",
"type",
"of",
"juror",
".",
"If",
"it",
"is",
"a",
"case",
"in",
"which",
"the",
"client",
"seeks",
"punitive",
"damages",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"depressed",
",",
"underemployed",
"people",
"are",
"far",
"more",
"likely",
"to",
"grant",
"them",
".",
"Someone",
"with",
"a",
"master",
"'s",
"degree",
"in",
"classical",
"arts",
"who",
"works",
"in",
"a",
"deli",
"would",
"be",
"ideal",
",",
"Litigation",
"Sciences",
"advises",
".",
"So",
"would",
"someone",
"recently",
"divorced",
"or",
"widowed",
".",
"(",
"Since",
"Litigation",
"Sciences",
"generally",
"represents",
"the",
"defense",
",",
"its",
"job",
"is",
"usually",
"to",
"help",
"the",
"lawyers",
"identify",
"and",
"remove",
"such",
"people",
"from",
"the",
"jury",
".",
")",
"For",
"personal-injury",
"cases",
",",
"Litigation",
"Sciences",
"seeks",
"defense",
"jurors",
"who",
"believe",
"that",
"most",
"people",
",",
"including",
"victims",
",",
"get",
"what",
"they",
"deserve",
".",
"Such",
"people",
"also",
"typically",
"hold",
"negative",
"attitudes",
"toward",
"the",
"physically",
"handicapped",
",",
"the",
"poor",
",",
"blacks",
"and",
"women",
".",
"The",
"consultants",
"help",
"the",
"defense",
"lawyers",
"find",
"such",
"jurors",
"by",
"asking",
"questions",
"about",
"potential",
"jurors",
"'",
"attitudes",
"toward",
"volunteer",
"work",
",",
"or",
"toward",
"particular",
"movies",
"or",
"books",
".",
"Litigation",
"Sciences",
"does",
"n't",
"make",
"moral",
"distinctions",
".",
"If",
"a",
"client",
"needs",
"prejudiced",
"jurors",
",",
"the",
"firm",
"will",
"help",
"find",
"them",
".",
"As",
"Mr.",
"Vinson",
"explains",
"it",
",",
"``",
"We",
"do",
"n't",
"control",
"the",
"facts",
".",
"They",
"are",
"what",
"they",
"are",
".",
"But",
"any",
"lawyer",
"will",
"select",
"the",
"facts",
"and",
"the",
"strategy",
"to",
"employ",
".",
"In",
"our",
"system",
"of",
"advocacy",
",",
"the",
"trial",
"lawyer",
"is",
"duty",
"bound",
"to",
"present",
"the",
"best",
"case",
"he",
"possibly",
"can",
".",
"''",
"Once",
"a",
"jury",
"is",
"selected",
",",
"the",
"consultants",
"often",
"continue",
"to",
"determine",
"what",
"the",
"jurors",
"'",
"attitudes",
"are",
"likely",
"to",
"be",
"and",
"help",
"shape",
"the",
"lawyers",
"'",
"presentation",
"accordingly",
".",
"Logic",
"plays",
"a",
"minimal",
"role",
"here",
".",
"More",
"important",
"are",
"what",
"LSI",
"calls",
"``",
"psychological",
"anchors",
"''",
"--",
"a",
"few",
"focal",
"points",
"calculated",
"to",
"appeal",
"to",
"the",
"jury",
"on",
"a",
"gut",
"level",
".",
"In",
"one",
"personal-injury",
"case",
",",
"a",
"woman",
"claimed",
"she",
"had",
"been",
"injured",
"when",
"she",
"slipped",
"in",
"a",
"pool",
",",
"but",
"the",
"fall",
"did",
"n't",
"explain",
"why",
"one",
"of",
"her",
"arms",
"was",
"discolored",
"bluish",
".",
"By",
"repeatedly",
"drawing",
"the",
"jury",
"'s",
"attention",
"to",
"the",
"arm",
",",
"the",
"defense",
"lawyers",
"planted",
"doubt",
"about",
"the",
"origin",
"of",
"the",
"woman",
"'s",
"injuries",
".",
"The",
"ploy",
"worked",
".",
"The",
"defense",
"won",
".",
"In",
"a",
"classic",
"defense",
"of",
"a",
"personal-injury",
"case",
",",
"the",
"consultants",
"concentrate",
"on",
"encouraging",
"the",
"jury",
"to",
"shift",
"the",
"blame",
".",
"``",
"The",
"ideal",
"defense",
"in",
"a",
"case",
"involving",
"an",
"accident",
"is",
"to",
"persuade",
"the",
"jurors",
"to",
"hold",
"the",
"accident",
"victim",
"responsible",
"for",
"his",
"or",
"her",
"plight",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Vinson",
"has",
"written",
".",
"Slick",
"graphics",
",",
"pre-tested",
"for",
"effectiveness",
",",
"also",
"play",
"a",
"major",
"role",
"in",
"Litigation",
"Sciences",
"'",
"operation",
".",
"Studies",
"show",
",",
"the",
"consultants",
"say",
",",
"that",
"people",
"absorb",
"information",
"better",
"and",
"remember",
"it",
"longer",
"if",
"they",
"receive",
"it",
"visually",
".",
"Computer-generated",
"videos",
"help",
".",
"``",
"The",
"average",
"American",
"watches",
"seven",
"hours",
"of",
"TV",
"a",
"day",
".",
"They",
"are",
"very",
"visually",
"sophisticated",
",",
"''",
"explains",
"LSI",
"graphics",
"specialist",
"Robert",
"Seltzer",
".",
"Lawyers",
"remain",
"divided",
"about",
"whether",
"anything",
"is",
"wrong",
"with",
"all",
"this",
".",
"Supporters",
"acknowledge",
"that",
"the",
"process",
"aims",
"to",
"manipulate",
",",
"but",
"they",
"insist",
"that",
"the",
"best",
"trial",
"lawyers",
"have",
"always",
"employed",
"similar",
"tactics",
".",
"``",
"They",
"may",
"not",
"have",
"been",
"able",
"to",
"articulate",
"it",
"all",
",",
"but",
"they",
"did",
"it",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Stephen",
"Gillers",
",",
"a",
"legal",
"ethics",
"expert",
"at",
"New",
"York",
"University",
"law",
"school",
".",
"``",
"What",
"you",
"have",
"here",
"is",
"intuition",
"made",
"manifest",
".",
"''",
"Many",
"lawyers",
"maintain",
"that",
"all",
"'s",
"fair",
"in",
"the",
"adversary",
"system",
"as",
"long",
"as",
"no",
"one",
"tampers",
"with",
"the",
"evidence",
".",
"Others",
"point",
"out",
"that",
"lawyers",
"in",
"small",
"communities",
"have",
"always",
"had",
"a",
"feel",
"for",
"public",
"sentiment",
"--",
"and",
"used",
"that",
"to",
"advantage",
".",
"Litigation",
"consulting",
"is",
"n't",
"a",
"guarantee",
"of",
"a",
"favorable",
"outcome",
".",
"Litigation",
"Sciences",
"concedes",
"that",
"in",
"one",
"in",
"20",
"cases",
"it",
"was",
"flatout",
"wrong",
"in",
"its",
"predictions",
".",
"A",
"few",
"attorneys",
"offer",
"horror",
"stories",
"of",
"jobs",
"botched",
"by",
"consultants",
"or",
"of",
"overpriced",
"services",
"--",
"as",
"when",
"one",
"lawyer",
"paid",
"a",
"consultant",
"(",
"not",
"at",
"Litigation",
"Sciences",
")",
"$",
"70,000",
"to",
"interview",
"a",
"jury",
"after",
"a",
"big",
"trial",
"and",
"later",
"read",
"more",
"informative",
"interviews",
"with",
"the",
"same",
"jurors",
"in",
"The",
"American",
"Lawyer",
"magazine",
".",
"Some",
"litigators",
"scoff",
"at",
"the",
"notion",
"that",
"a",
"sociologist",
"knows",
"more",
"than",
"they",
"do",
"about",
"what",
"makes",
"a",
"jury",
"tick",
".",
"``",
"The",
"essence",
"of",
"being",
"a",
"trial",
"lawyer",
"is",
"understanding",
"how",
"people",
"of",
"diverse",
"backgrounds",
"react",
"to",
"you",
"and",
"your",
"presentation",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Barry",
"Ostrager",
"of",
"Simpson",
"Thacher",
"&",
"Bartlett",
",",
"who",
"recently",
"won",
"a",
"huge",
"case",
"on",
"behalf",
"of",
"insurers",
"against",
"Shell",
"Oil",
"Co",
".",
"He",
"says",
"he",
"used",
"consultants",
"in",
"the",
"case",
"but",
"``",
"found",
"them",
"to",
"be",
"virtually",
"useless",
".",
"''",
"But",
"most",
"lawyers",
"accept",
"that",
"the",
"marketplace",
"has",
"spoken",
".",
"And",
"the",
"question",
"remains",
"whether",
"the",
"jury",
"system",
"can",
"maintain",
"its",
"integrity",
"while",
"undergoing",
"such",
"a",
"skillful",
"massage",
".",
"For",
"more",
"than",
"a",
"decade",
",",
"Mr.",
"Etzioni",
",",
"the",
"sociologist",
",",
"has",
"been",
"a",
"leading",
"critic",
"of",
"the",
"masseurs",
".",
"``",
"There",
"'s",
"no",
"reason",
"to",
"believe",
"that",
"juries",
"rule",
"inappropriately",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"But",
"the",
"last",
"thing",
"you",
"want",
"to",
"do",
"is",
"manipulate",
"the",
"subconscious",
"to",
"make",
"them",
"think",
"better",
".",
"What",
"you",
"then",
"do",
"is",
"you",
"make",
"them",
"think",
"inappropriately",
".",
"''",
"To",
"hamper",
"the",
"work",
"of",
"litigation",
"scientists",
",",
"he",
"suggests",
"that",
"courts",
"sharply",
"limit",
"the",
"number",
"of",
"jurors",
"that",
"lawyers",
"can",
"remove",
"from",
"the",
"jury",
"panel",
"through",
"so-called",
"peremptory",
"challenges",
"--",
"exclusions",
"that",
"do",
"n't",
"require",
"explanations",
".",
"In",
"most",
"civil",
"cases",
",",
"judges",
"allow",
"each",
"side",
"three",
"such",
"challenges",
".",
"For",
"complex",
"cases",
",",
"judges",
"sometimes",
"allow",
"many",
"more",
".",
"Mr.",
"Etzioni",
"also",
"suggests",
"forbidding",
"anyone",
"from",
"gathering",
"background",
"information",
"about",
"the",
"jurors",
".",
"(",
"Some",
"courts",
"release",
"names",
"and",
"addresses",
",",
"and",
"researchers",
"can",
"drive",
"by",
"houses",
",",
"look",
"up",
"credit",
"ratings",
",",
"and",
"even",
"question",
"neighbors",
".",
")",
"Furthermore",
",",
"he",
"says",
",",
"psychologists",
"should",
"not",
"be",
"allowed",
"to",
"analyze",
"jurors",
"'",
"personalities",
".",
"Even",
"some",
"lawyers",
"who",
"have",
"used",
"consultants",
"to",
"their",
"advantage",
"see",
"a",
"need",
"to",
"limit",
"their",
"impact",
".",
"Mr.",
"Boies",
",",
"the",
"first",
"lawyer",
"to",
"use",
"Mr.",
"Vinson",
"'s",
"services",
",",
"cautions",
"against",
"courts",
"'",
"allowing",
"extensive",
"jury",
"questioning",
"(",
"known",
"as",
"voir",
"dire",
")",
"or",
"giving",
"out",
"personal",
"information",
"about",
"the",
"jurors",
".",
"``",
"The",
"more",
"extensive",
"the",
"voir",
"dire",
",",
"the",
"easier",
"you",
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"Tuesday",
",",
"October",
"24",
",",
"1989",
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".",
"FEDERAL",
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":",
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",",
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",",
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".",
")",
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[
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",",
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".",
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",",
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[
"Trinity",
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[
"Canadian",
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"Commerce",
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",",
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"Exchange",
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",",
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",",
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"20.25",
",",
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"could",
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"Canadian",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"estate",
",",
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"``",
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",",
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".",
"Canadian",
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"Line",
"tracks",
"connect",
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"West",
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",",
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",",
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"reported",
"a",
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"398,000",
",",
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",",
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"12.5",
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",",
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"1.32",
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"407.9",
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"$",
"433.2",
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".",
"The",
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"had",
"a",
"loss",
"from",
"operations",
"of",
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"1.7",
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"."
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[
"The",
"disarray",
"in",
"the",
"junk-bond",
"market",
"that",
"began",
"last",
"month",
"with",
"a",
"credit",
"crunch",
"at",
"Campeau",
"Corp.",
"has",
"offered",
"commercial",
"banks",
"a",
"golden",
"opportunity",
"to",
"play",
"a",
"greater",
"role",
"in",
"financing",
"billion-dollar",
"takeovers",
".",
"But",
"two",
"big",
"New",
"York",
"banks",
"seem",
"to",
"have",
"kicked",
"those",
"chances",
"away",
",",
"for",
"the",
"moment",
",",
"with",
"the",
"embarrassing",
"failure",
"of",
"Citicorp",
"and",
"Chase",
"Manhattan",
"Corp.",
"to",
"deliver",
"$",
"7.2",
"billion",
"in",
"bank",
"financing",
"for",
"a",
"leveraged",
"buy-out",
"of",
"United",
"Airlines",
"parent",
"UAL",
"Corp",
".",
"For",
"more",
"than",
"a",
"decade",
",",
"banks",
"have",
"been",
"pressing",
"Congress",
"and",
"banking",
"regulators",
"for",
"expanded",
"powers",
"to",
"act",
"like",
"securities",
"firms",
"in",
"playing",
"Wall",
"Street",
"'s",
"lucrative",
"takeover",
"game",
",",
"from",
"giving",
"mergers",
"advice",
"all",
"the",
"way",
"to",
"selling",
"and",
"trading",
"high-yield",
"junk",
"bonds",
".",
"Those",
"expanded",
"powers",
"reached",
"their",
"zenith",
"in",
"July",
"when",
"Bankers",
"Trust",
"New",
"York",
"Corp.",
"provided",
"mergers",
"advice",
",",
"an",
"equity",
"investment",
"and",
"bank",
"loans",
"for",
"the",
"$",
"3.65",
"billion",
"leveraged",
"buy-out",
"of",
"Northwest",
"Airlines",
"parent",
"NWA",
"Inc",
".",
"One",
"of",
"the",
"major",
"selling",
"points",
"used",
"by",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"financier",
"Alfred",
"Checchi",
"in",
"getting",
"the",
"takeover",
"approved",
"was",
"that",
"the",
"deal",
"did",
"n't",
"include",
"any",
"junk",
"bonds",
".",
"That",
"was",
"seen",
"as",
"an",
"advantage",
"in",
"lobbying",
"airline",
"employees",
"and",
"Washington",
"regulators",
"for",
"approval",
"of",
"the",
"contested",
"takeover",
".",
"All",
"$",
"3.35",
"billion",
"in",
"debt",
"for",
"the",
"deal",
"was",
"supplied",
"by",
"banks",
".",
"Charles",
"Nathan",
",",
"co-head",
"of",
"mergers",
"and",
"acquisitions",
"at",
"Salomon",
"Brothers",
"Inc.",
",",
"says",
"it",
"is",
"natural",
"for",
"banks",
"to",
"try",
"to",
"expand",
"beyond",
"their",
"bread-and-butter",
"business",
"of",
"providing",
"senior",
"debt",
"for",
"buy-outs",
".",
"But",
"the",
"UAL",
"collapse",
",",
"he",
"says",
",",
"``",
"may",
"tell",
"you",
"it",
"'s",
"not",
"going",
"to",
"work",
"that",
"easily",
".",
"''",
"David",
"Batchelder",
",",
"a",
"mergers",
"adviser",
"in",
"La",
"Jolla",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"who",
"aided",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"investor",
"Marvin",
"Davis",
"on",
"the",
"bids",
"which",
"put",
"both",
"UAL",
"and",
"NWA",
"in",
"play",
"as",
"takeover",
"candidates",
"this",
"year",
",",
"says",
"that",
"banks",
"have",
"been",
"``",
"preparing",
"to",
"play",
"a",
"larger",
"and",
"larger",
"role",
"in",
"acquisition",
"financing",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Batchelder",
"says",
"that",
"in",
"the",
"past",
",",
"banks",
"would",
"normally",
"have",
"loaned",
"65",
"%",
"of",
"a",
"total",
"buy-out",
"price",
",",
"with",
"the",
"loans",
"secured",
"by",
"the",
"target",
"company",
"'s",
"assets",
".",
"Another",
"20",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"borrowed",
"funds",
"would",
"come",
"from",
"the",
"sale",
"to",
"investors",
"of",
"junk",
"bonds",
",",
"which",
"offer",
"less",
"security",
"and",
"typically",
"carry",
"higher",
"yields",
"than",
"bank",
"loans",
".",
"Mr.",
"Checchi",
"'s",
"purchase",
"of",
"NWA",
",",
"Mr.",
"Batchelder",
"notes",
",",
"``",
"was",
"probably",
"the",
"most",
"aggressive",
"to",
"date",
",",
"''",
"with",
"bank",
"debt",
"at",
"85",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"purchase",
"price",
".",
"But",
"Mr.",
"Batchelder",
"says",
"that",
"Citicorp",
"'s",
"``",
"failure",
"to",
"deliver",
"''",
"on",
"its",
"promise",
"to",
"raise",
"the",
"UAL",
"bank",
"debt",
"for",
"a",
"labor-management",
"buy-out",
"group",
"``",
"is",
"very",
"distressing",
"to",
"potential",
"users",
"of",
"a",
"`",
"highly-confident",
"'",
"letter",
"from",
"commercial",
"banks",
".",
"''",
"His",
"client",
",",
"Mr.",
"Davis",
",",
"used",
"just",
"such",
"a",
"letter",
"from",
"Citicorp",
"in",
"pursuing",
"UAL",
";",
"Citicorp",
"later",
"agreed",
"to",
"work",
"with",
"a",
"competing",
"UAL",
"buy-out",
"group",
".",
"Executives",
"of",
"Citicorp",
"and",
"Chase",
"Manhattan",
"declined",
"to",
"comment",
"on",
"either",
"the",
"UAL",
"situation",
",",
"or",
"on",
"the",
"changing",
"nature",
"of",
"banks",
"'",
"role",
"in",
"financing",
"takeovers",
".",
"In",
"the",
"wake",
"of",
"Campeau",
"'s",
"problems",
",",
"prices",
"of",
"junk",
"bonds",
"tumbled",
",",
"throwing",
"into",
"doubt",
"the",
"ability",
"of",
"corporate",
"acquirers",
"to",
"finance",
"large",
"takeovers",
"with",
"the",
"help",
"of",
"junk",
"bond",
"sales",
".",
"Mark",
"Solow",
",",
"senior",
"managing",
"director",
"at",
"Manufacturers",
"Hanover",
"Trust",
"Co.",
",",
"says",
"the",
"falloff",
"in",
"junk",
"bonds",
"may",
"yet",
"open",
"new",
"business",
"opportunities",
"to",
"banks",
"in",
"structuring",
"takeovers",
".",
"But",
"he",
"warns",
"that",
"banks",
"will",
"have",
"``",
"to",
"have",
"enough",
"discipline",
"''",
"not",
"to",
"make",
"loans",
"that",
"are",
"too",
"risky",
".",
"In",
"fact",
",",
"Manufacturers",
"Hanover",
"said",
"in",
"its",
"third-quarter",
"earnings",
"report",
"that",
"fees",
"from",
"syndicating",
"loans",
"to",
"other",
"banks",
"dropped",
"48",
"%",
",",
"to",
"$",
"21",
"million",
".",
"``",
"We",
"did",
"n't",
"take",
"part",
"in",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"deals",
"because",
"their",
"credit",
"quality",
"was",
"poor",
",",
"''",
"says",
"a",
"bank",
"spokesman",
".",
"James",
"B.",
"Lee",
",",
"head",
"of",
"syndications",
"and",
"private",
"placements",
"at",
"Chemical",
"Banking",
"Corp.",
",",
"said",
"he",
"believes",
"banks",
"can",
"still",
"make",
"a",
"credible",
"offer",
"of",
"one-stop",
"shopping",
"for",
"takeover",
"finance",
".",
"As",
"evidence",
",",
"he",
"cites",
"yesterday",
"'s",
"arrangement",
"for",
"the",
"final",
"financing",
"of",
"a",
"$",
"3",
"billion",
"bid",
"for",
"American",
"Medical",
"International",
"Inc.",
"in",
"which",
"Chemical",
"served",
"as",
"both",
"the",
"lead",
"bank",
"and",
"an",
"equity",
"investor",
".",
"Beyond",
"the",
"current",
"weakness",
"in",
"the",
"junk",
"bond",
"market",
",",
"banks",
"have",
"another",
"advantage",
"over",
"investment",
"banks",
"in",
"financing",
"contested",
"takeovers",
".",
"Arthur",
"Fleischer",
"Jr.",
",",
"a",
"takeover",
"lawyer",
"at",
"Fried",
"Frank",
"Harris",
"Shriver",
"&",
"Jacobson",
",",
"notes",
"that",
"``",
"a",
"political",
"and",
"emotional",
"bias",
"''",
"has",
"developed",
"against",
"junk",
"bonds",
".",
"One",
"hostile",
"bidder",
"who",
"deliberately",
"avoided",
"using",
"junk",
"bonds",
"was",
"Paramount",
"Communications",
"Inc.",
"in",
"its",
"initial",
"offer",
"to",
"acquire",
"Time",
"Inc.",
"for",
"$",
"10.7",
"billion",
",",
"or",
"$",
"175",
"a",
"share",
".",
"A",
"Paramount",
"spokesman",
"says",
"that",
"decision",
"was",
"based",
"on",
"the",
"financial",
",",
"not",
"political",
",",
"drawbacks",
"of",
"junk",
"bonds",
".",
"But",
"some",
"observers",
"believe",
"Paramount",
"Chairman",
"Martin",
"Davis",
"wanted",
"to",
"avoid",
"the",
"possible",
"taint",
"of",
"being",
"perceived",
"as",
"a",
"corporate",
"raider",
"in",
"his",
"controversial",
"bid",
"for",
"Time",
".",
"In",
"the",
"end",
",",
"Mr.",
"Davis",
"used",
"junk",
"bonds",
"so",
"that",
"he",
"could",
"raise",
"Paramount",
"'s",
"bid",
"to",
"$",
"200",
"a",
"share",
".",
"Some",
"Monday-morning",
"quarterbacks",
"said",
"the",
"initial",
"lower",
"bid",
",",
"without",
"junk",
"bonds",
",",
"was",
"a",
"factor",
"in",
"his",
"losing",
"the",
"company",
".",
"Time",
"eluded",
"Paramount",
"by",
"acquiring",
"Warner",
"Communications",
"Inc",
".",
"The",
"success",
"of",
"the",
"NWA",
"financing",
",",
"and",
"the",
"failure",
"of",
"the",
"UAL",
"deal",
",",
"also",
"seem",
"to",
"highlight",
"the",
"important",
"new",
"role",
"in",
"takeover",
"financing",
"being",
"played",
"by",
"Japanese",
"banks",
".",
"Japanese",
"banks",
"accounted",
"for",
"50",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"NWA",
"bank",
"debt",
",",
"according",
"to",
"a",
"report",
"by",
"Transportation",
"Secretary",
"Samuel",
"Skinner",
".",
"But",
"it",
"was",
"broad-scale",
"rejection",
"by",
"Japanese",
"banks",
"that",
"helped",
"seal",
"the",
"fate",
"of",
"the",
"attempt",
"to",
"buy",
"UAL",
".",
"Citicorp",
"and",
"Chase",
"are",
"attempting",
"to",
"put",
"together",
"a",
"new",
",",
"lower",
"bid",
".",
"Takanori",
"Mizuno",
",",
"chief",
"economist",
"of",
"the",
"Institute",
"for",
"Financial",
"Affairs",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"Tokyo",
"research",
"center",
"on",
"finance",
"and",
"economics",
",",
"says",
",",
"``",
"The",
"junk",
"bond",
"market",
"became",
"very",
"jittery",
",",
"and",
"there",
"'s",
"a",
"fear",
"of",
"a",
"coming",
"recession",
"and",
"the",
"possible",
"bankruptcy",
"of",
"LBO",
"companies",
"."
] | [
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[
"AMERICAN",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"called",
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"earnings",
"growth",
"''",
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".",
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"in",
"tobacco",
",",
"distilled",
"spirits",
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"life",
"insurance",
".",
"As",
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"30",
",",
"American",
"Brands",
"had",
"95.2",
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"shares",
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"."
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[
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"factor",
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",",
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"as",
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"as",
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"Oct.",
"25",
",",
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"and",
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".",
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",",
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"30",
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"We",
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"interest",
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"Tomsho",
"'s",
"Sept.",
"28",
"page-one",
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"on",
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"Redford",
"(",
"``",
"The",
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"Kid",
"Gets",
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"Sundance",
"''",
")",
".",
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"conversations",
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",",
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"argued",
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"Redford",
"'s",
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"views",
"are",
"at",
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"with",
"Utah",
"residents",
".",
"This",
"may",
"have",
"been",
"true",
"10",
"years",
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",",
"but",
"times",
"have",
"changed",
",",
"even",
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".",
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"Redford",
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"stands",
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"as",
"an",
"extremist",
".",
"He",
"has",
"not",
"changed",
",",
"but",
"those",
"around",
"him",
"have",
".",
"Many",
"of",
"his",
"views",
"on",
"the",
"protection",
"of",
"wilderness",
"areas",
",",
"rivers",
"and",
"canyons",
"are",
"now",
"embraced",
"by",
"mainstream",
",",
"conservative",
"Utahans",
".",
"Recently",
",",
"some",
"60",
"environmental",
"and",
"outdoor",
"groups",
"representing",
"such",
"divergent",
"points",
"of",
"view",
"as",
"the",
"Sierra",
"Club",
",",
"the",
"League",
"of",
"Women",
"Voters",
"and",
"the",
"National",
"Rifle",
"Association",
"joined",
"together",
"to",
"request",
"a",
"reassessment",
"of",
"the",
"environmentally",
"unsound",
"Central",
"Utah",
"Project",
".",
"While",
"Utah",
"is",
"not",
"yet",
"a",
"haven",
"for",
"environmentalism",
",",
"public",
"views",
"toward",
"the",
"environment",
"have",
"significantly",
"improved",
".",
"In",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"most",
"conservative",
",",
"Republican",
"states",
"in",
"the",
"entire",
"nation",
",",
"the",
"greening",
"of",
"Robert",
"Redford",
"'s",
"neighbors",
"is",
"the",
"real",
"story",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Tomsho",
"missed",
".",
"Sammye",
"Meadows",
"Sam",
"Rushforth",
"Gary",
"Bryner",
"Heber",
"City",
",",
"Utah",
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"Mr.",
"Redford",
"wanted",
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"be",
"accepted",
"by",
"the",
"people",
"of",
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",",
"he",
"should",
"have",
"taken",
"an",
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"personal",
"preferences",
".",
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",",
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"imply",
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"it",
"is",
"too",
"damaging",
"or",
"costly",
"for",
"society",
"to",
"provide",
"jobs",
"through",
"power-plant",
"construction",
",",
"coal",
"mining",
"or",
"to",
"build",
"roads",
"for",
"public",
"safety",
"because",
"of",
"the",
"adverse",
"impact",
"on",
"the",
"environment",
",",
"but",
"it",
"is",
"just",
"fine",
"and",
"dandy",
"for",
"him",
"to",
"transform",
"a",
"mountain",
"high",
"in",
"the",
"Wasatch",
"Range",
"into",
"a",
"ski",
"resort",
".",
"It",
"astounds",
"me",
"he",
"can",
"rationalize",
"his",
"self-righteous",
"and",
"greedy",
"actions",
"in",
"Utah",
".",
"An",
"excellent",
"environmental",
"actor",
"he",
"is",
".",
"David",
"Vranian",
"M.B.A.",
"Student",
"University",
"of",
"Colorado",
"Boulder",
",",
"Colo",
".",
"Mr.",
"Redford",
",",
"like",
"it",
"or",
"not",
",",
"is",
"like",
"a",
"braking",
"system",
"on",
"a",
"runaway",
"truck",
",",
"kind",
"of",
"slowing",
"it",
"down",
"into",
"control",
".",
"He",
"'s",
"rich",
",",
"famous",
"and",
"intelligent",
",",
"and",
"has",
"the",
"time",
"to",
"do",
"something",
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"the",
"federal",
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"Mr.",
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",",
"speeding",
"maniac",
"known",
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".",
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"in",
"the",
"immediate",
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",",
"not",
"caring",
"about",
"the",
"long-range",
"implications",
".",
"Ron",
"Dyer"
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[
"Whether",
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"``",
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"''",
"--",
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"?",
"Ethan",
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"``",
"Battle",
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":",
"How",
"the",
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"Shook",
"America",
"''",
"(",
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",",
"399",
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",",
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")",
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"a",
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"nastiest",
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",",
"done",
"with",
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",",
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"philosophy",
".",
"While",
"the",
"book",
"amply",
"justifies",
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",",
"the",
"title",
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"dubious",
".",
"What",
"shook",
"America",
"was",
"not",
"a",
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"for",
"justice",
"but",
"for",
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"power",
",",
"in",
"which",
"an",
"army",
"of",
"judicial",
"activists",
"rolled",
"over",
"a",
"judge",
"they",
"had",
"demonized",
".",
"In",
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"basic",
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"and",
"style",
"the",
"book",
"is",
"novelistic",
",",
"with",
"piquant",
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"portrayal",
",",
"hard-wire",
"action",
"and",
"devious",
"intrigue",
"of",
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"sort",
"more",
"likely",
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"be",
"encountered",
"in",
"a",
"Washington",
"docudrama",
"than",
"in",
"a",
"constitutional",
"history",
".",
"Mr.",
"Bronner",
"seems",
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"believe",
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"the",
"hearings",
"could",
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"gone",
"either",
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".",
"I",
"doubt",
"that",
".",
"Given",
"Democratic",
"frustration",
"with",
"the",
"Reagan",
"victories",
"and",
"Court",
"appointments",
",",
"the",
"contingency",
"plans",
"in",
"place",
",",
"and",
"Mr.",
"Bork",
"'s",
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"trail",
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"writings",
",",
"it",
"was",
"pretty",
"clear",
"that",
"Judge",
"Bork",
"never",
"stood",
"much",
"chance",
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"being",
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".",
"As",
"Mr.",
"Bronner",
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",",
"the",
"smell",
"of",
"``",
"raw",
"meat",
"''",
"was",
"in",
"the",
"air",
".",
"Perhaps",
"because",
"they",
"won",
",",
"Mr.",
"Bork",
"'s",
"attackers",
"come",
"through",
"more",
"vividly",
"than",
"his",
"defenders",
".",
"Ralph",
"Neas",
"was",
"the",
"organizing",
"genius",
",",
"whipping",
"a",
"conglomerate",
"of",
"pressure",
"groups",
"into",
"an",
"irresistible",
"attacking",
"force",
".",
"Harvard",
"'s",
"Laurence",
"Tribe",
"was",
"the",
"constitutional",
"heavy",
",",
"laying",
"out",
"legal",
"strategies",
"for",
"the",
"senators",
"and",
"witnesses",
"to",
"follow",
".",
"But",
"it",
"was",
"Ted",
"Kennedy",
"who",
"scored",
"most",
"effectively",
"with",
"his",
"searing",
"portrayal",
"of",
"``",
"Robert",
"Bork",
"'s",
"America",
"''",
"--",
"the",
"parade",
"of",
"imaginary",
"horribles",
"that",
"would",
"follow",
"logically",
",",
"he",
"claimed",
",",
"from",
"the",
"positions",
"Mr.",
"Bork",
"had",
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"over",
"the",
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"two",
"decades",
".",
"Sen.",
"Kennedy",
",",
"never",
"mind",
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"for",
"the",
"moral",
"high",
"ground",
",",
"emoted",
"brilliantly",
".",
"I",
"add",
"two",
"others",
".",
"Republican",
"Sen.",
"Arlen",
"Specter",
"of",
"Pennsylvania",
"engaged",
"the",
"nominee",
"in",
"a",
"verbal",
"contest",
"aimed",
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"Mr.",
"Bork",
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"Constitution",
"in",
"one",
"area",
"(",
"free",
"speech",
")",
"while",
"remaining",
"rigid",
"in",
"all",
"the",
"others",
".",
"It",
"achieved",
"a",
"good",
"media",
"play",
",",
"and",
"enabled",
"Sen.",
"Specter",
"and",
"others",
"to",
"vote",
"against",
"Mr.",
"Bork",
"out",
"of",
"``",
"conscience",
".",
"''",
"Further",
"ammunition",
"came",
"from",
"left",
"legal",
"theorist",
"Ronald",
"Dworkin",
",",
"who",
"in",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Review",
"of",
"Books",
"painted",
"a",
"picture",
"of",
"a",
"constitutional",
"zombie",
"willfully",
"reading",
"his",
"personal",
"prejudices",
"into",
"the",
"Constitution",
",",
"particularly",
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"the",
"area",
"of",
"``",
"original",
"intent",
".",
"''",
"The",
"charge",
"of",
"being",
"``",
"outside",
"the",
"mainstream",
"''",
"of",
"legal",
"thought",
"gravely",
"undercut",
"Mr.",
"Bork",
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"standing",
",",
"leaving",
"him",
"bleeding",
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".",
"The",
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"still",
"might",
"have",
"been",
"salvaged",
"if",
"a",
"number",
"of",
"Democratic",
"moderates",
"in",
"the",
"South",
"and",
"Southwest",
"had",
"broken",
"party",
"lines",
".",
"But",
"Democratic",
"Sen.",
"Bennett",
"Johnson",
"of",
"Louisiana",
"reminded",
"the",
"little",
"band",
"that",
"anti-Bork",
"blacks",
"and",
"women",
"could",
"furnish",
"the",
"margin",
"to",
"punish",
"them",
"in",
"their",
"next",
"Senate",
"elections",
".",
"Demographics",
"converged",
"with",
"``",
"mainstream",
"''",
"and",
"demonizing",
"to",
"seal",
"Robert",
"Bork",
"'s",
"fate",
".",
"The",
"upshot",
"?",
"Mr.",
"Bork",
"'s",
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"chose",
"the",
"battlefield",
",",
"held",
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"and",
"kept",
"it",
".",
"Yet",
"with",
"the",
"smooth",
"confirmation",
"of",
"Anthony",
"Kennedy",
",",
"an",
"``",
"80",
"percenter",
"''",
"only",
"slightly",
"less",
"supportive",
"of",
"judicial",
"restraint",
"than",
"Mr.",
"Bork",
",",
"the",
"Democrats",
"may",
"have",
"won",
"the",
"battle",
"but",
"lost",
"the",
"war",
".",
"Another",
"upshot",
",",
"however",
",",
"was",
"the",
"chilling",
"message",
"the",
"Bork",
"hearings",
"sent",
"into",
"the",
"judicial",
"culture",
"from",
"which",
"the",
"Supreme",
"Court",
"draws",
"its",
"talent",
".",
"The",
"word",
"went",
"forth",
"to",
"every",
"law",
"school",
"that",
"those",
"with",
"federal",
"court",
"ambitions",
"must",
"travel",
"a",
"safe",
"constitutional",
"journey",
",",
"with",
"no",
"paper",
"trail",
"and",
"no",
"bite",
"to",
"their",
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"or",
"pen",
".",
"Unfortunately",
",",
"the",
"author",
"simply",
"does",
"n't",
"supply",
"the",
"philosophical",
"frame",
"to",
"sustain",
"his",
"reportorial",
"talents",
".",
"He",
"has",
"too",
"readily",
"swallowed",
"the",
"case",
"for",
"the",
"activist",
"law",
"school",
"culture",
".",
"Probing",
"more",
"deeply",
"into",
"the",
"doctrine",
"of",
"``",
"judicial",
"restraint",
",",
"''",
"he",
"would",
"have",
"found",
"a",
"long",
"history",
"going",
"back",
"to",
"the",
"great",
"decisions",
"of",
"Justice",
"Holmes",
".",
"He",
"would",
"discover",
"it",
"also",
"in",
"Alexander",
"Bickel",
",",
"a",
"subtle",
"constitutional",
"scholar",
",",
"Mr.",
"Bork",
"'s",
"closest",
"friend",
"at",
"Yale",
",",
"whose",
"influence",
"on",
"the",
"judge",
"goes",
"well",
"beyond",
"Mr.",
"Bronner",
"'s",
"reporting",
".",
"Still",
",",
"the",
"long",
"view",
"of",
"Robert",
"Bork",
"as",
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"thinker",
"must",
"be",
"a",
"spotty",
"one",
".",
"His",
"strength",
"lies",
"in",
"his",
"majoritarian",
"doctrine",
",",
"which",
"keeps",
"the",
"Court",
"clear",
"of",
"transient",
"group",
"pressures",
"and",
"leaves",
"most",
"decisions",
"in",
"a",
"democracy",
"to",
"elected",
"legislatures",
"and",
"executives",
".",
"Unfortunately",
",",
"Mr.",
"Bork",
"failed",
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"distinguish",
"between",
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"and",
"the",
"emergence",
"of",
"great",
"issues",
"critical",
"to",
"a",
"society",
"that",
"must",
"be",
"settled",
"judicially",
"if",
"it",
"is",
"to",
"cohere",
".",
"The",
"question",
"of",
"segregated",
"schools",
",",
"in",
"Brown",
"vs.",
"Board",
"of",
"Education",
",",
"was",
"such",
"an",
"issue",
".",
"In",
"our",
"time",
"abortion",
"has",
"become",
"another",
",",
"best",
"left",
"to",
"a",
"line",
"of",
"Supreme",
"Court",
"decisions",
"rather",
"than",
"to",
"the",
"chaos",
"of",
"50",
"state",
"legislatures",
".",
"A",
"reflective",
"and",
"growing",
"consensus",
"of",
"Americans",
"clearly",
"wishes",
"to",
"apply",
"the",
"right",
"to",
"privacy",
"in",
"contraceptive",
"matters",
"(",
"decided",
"in",
"the",
"Griswold",
"case",
")",
"to",
"abortion",
"as",
"well",
".",
"One",
"can",
"understand",
"Mr.",
"Bork",
"'s",
"fear",
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"the",
"new",
"right",
"to",
"privacy",
"will",
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"intolerably",
"stretched",
",",
"though",
"a",
"Supreme",
"Court",
"composed",
"of",
"men",
"and",
"women",
"with",
"realism",
",",
"guts",
"and",
"a",
"sense",
"of",
"limits",
"should",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"manage",
"it",
".",
"What",
"is",
"certain",
"is",
"that",
"if",
"Americans",
"allow",
"another",
"happening",
"like",
"the",
"degrading",
"Bork",
"confirmation",
"circus",
",",
"it",
"will",
"be",
"at",
"their",
"peril",
".",
"Mr.",
"Lerner",
"is",
"a",
"writer",
"and",
"historian",
"living",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"."
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"director",
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"``",
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",",
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"'s",
"New",
"York",
"operation",
"and",
"the",
"office",
"there",
"has",
"had",
"a",
"dismal",
"new-business",
"record",
"for",
"more",
"than",
"a",
"year",
".",
"And",
"while",
"last",
"week",
"the",
"agency",
"hired",
"a",
"top",
"Chiat/Day/Mojo",
"executive",
",",
"Bill",
"Hamilton",
",",
"to",
"try",
"to",
"bolster",
"its",
"work",
",",
"``",
"Graham",
"has",
"to",
"get",
"the",
"revenue",
"of",
"that",
"New",
"York",
"office",
"moving",
",",
"''",
"says",
"James",
"Dougherty",
",",
"an",
"analyst",
"with",
"County",
"NatWest",
"Securities",
".",
"The",
"one",
"thing",
"Mr.",
"Phillips",
"clearly",
"does",
"have",
"going",
"for",
"him",
"is",
"continuity",
",",
"although",
"it",
"is",
"n't",
"certain",
"if",
"that",
"will",
"be",
"enough",
".",
"As",
"Mr.",
"Dougherty",
"says",
",",
"``",
"The",
"last",
"thing",
"they",
"need",
"is",
"enormous",
"disruption",
"at",
"the",
"top",
"...",
"and",
"Graham",
"is",
"obviously",
"a",
"long-term",
"member",
"of",
"the",
"Ogilvy",
"Mafia",
",",
"as",
"we",
"call",
"it",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Phillips",
"and",
"Mr.",
"Roman",
"are",
"indeed",
"quite",
"similar",
"in",
"substance",
",",
"if",
"not",
"in",
"style",
".",
"While",
"Mr.",
"Roman",
"is",
"a",
"workaholic",
"detailsman",
",",
"Mr.",
"Phillips",
"would",
"rather",
"delegate",
",",
"leaving",
"him",
"time",
"for",
"his",
"interests",
"outside",
"the",
"office",
".",
"Mr.",
"Roman",
",",
"by",
"contrast",
",",
"seems",
"rarely",
"to",
"cut",
"loose",
"at",
"all",
",",
"although",
"he",
"did",
"appear",
"at",
"Ogilvy",
"'s",
"Halloween",
"party",
"Friday",
"decked",
"out",
"in",
"duck",
"feet",
"and",
"a",
"duck",
"hat",
",",
"costumed",
"as",
"a",
"``",
"lame",
"duck",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Phillips",
"said",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"expected",
"margin",
"improvement",
"will",
"be",
"all",
"but",
"inevitable",
",",
"given",
"that",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"profitability",
"was",
"dragged",
"down",
"this",
"year",
"by",
"an",
"expensive",
"move",
"to",
"luxurious",
",",
"oversized",
"new",
"New",
"York",
"headquarters",
".",
"The",
"move",
",",
"budgeted",
"at",
"about",
"$",
"7",
"million",
",",
"actually",
"came",
"in",
"at",
"about",
"$",
"10",
"million",
",",
"he",
"said",
".",
"But",
"margins",
"will",
"be",
"helped",
",",
"too",
",",
"by",
"some",
"other",
"cost-saving",
"steps",
".",
"Ogilvy",
"eliminated",
"the",
"mail",
"room",
"staff",
",",
"closed",
"the",
"executive",
"dining",
"room",
"and",
",",
"after",
"the",
"takeover",
",",
"let",
"go",
"half",
"a",
"dozen",
"financial",
"executives",
".",
"WPP",
",",
"which",
"assumes",
"financial",
"control",
"of",
"its",
"businesses",
"in",
"a",
"hands-on",
"way",
",",
"instituted",
"a",
"new",
"financial",
"system",
"and",
"plans",
"to",
"sublet",
"some",
"floors",
"in",
"Ogilvy",
"'s",
"new",
"headquarters",
"building",
"to",
"outsiders",
".",
"The",
"fact",
"that",
"the",
"agency",
"will",
"now",
"be",
"part",
"of",
"a",
"U.K.",
"company",
",",
"under",
"British",
"accounting",
"rules",
",",
"will",
"also",
"make",
"the",
"profit",
"picture",
"look",
"better",
".",
"Y&R",
"'s",
"Klein",
"Steps",
"Down",
"Arthur",
"Klein",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Young",
"&",
"Rubicam",
"'s",
"New",
"York",
"office",
",",
"stepped",
"down",
"``",
"temporarily",
"''",
"in",
"the",
"wake",
"of",
"charges",
"by",
"a",
"federal",
"grand",
"jury",
"in",
"New",
"Haven",
",",
"Conn.",
",",
"that",
"he",
",",
"the",
"agency",
"and",
"another",
"top",
"executive",
"bribed",
"Jamaican",
"tourist",
"officials",
"to",
"win",
"its",
"account",
"in",
"1981",
".",
"In",
"an",
"internal",
"memo",
",",
"Alex",
"Kroll",
",",
"the",
"agency",
"'s",
"chairman",
",",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Klein",
"decided",
"to",
"remove",
"himself",
"to",
"minimize",
"``",
"negative",
"reaction",
"''",
"from",
"prospective",
"clients",
"and",
"others",
"and",
"to",
"prepare",
"for",
"his",
"defense",
".",
"``",
"The",
"fact",
"that",
"he",
"is",
"in",
"the",
"process",
"of",
"defending",
"himself",
"against",
"the",
"present",
"charges",
"could",
"conceivably",
"have",
"an",
"adverse",
"impact",
"on",
"Y&R",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Kroll",
"wrote",
".",
"He",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Klein",
"will",
"return",
"to",
"his",
"post",
"at",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"the",
"trial",
"``",
"at",
"which",
"he",
"will",
"be",
"vindicated",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Klein",
"will",
"work",
"with",
"Mr.",
"Kroll",
"on",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"agency",
"'s",
"joint",
"venture",
"activities",
"and",
"acquisitions",
"while",
"the",
"case",
"is",
"pending",
".",
"Peter",
"Georgescu",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Y&R",
"'s",
"ad",
"operations",
",",
"will",
"assume",
"Mr.",
"Klein",
"'s",
"day-to-day",
"role",
".",
"Wells",
"Rich",
"'s",
"New",
"Partner",
"Wells",
",",
"Rich",
",",
"Greene",
"named",
"Cheryl",
"Heller",
"as",
"an",
"executive",
"vice",
"president",
"and",
"creative",
"partner",
"in",
"its",
"image",
"group",
",",
"which",
"concentrates",
"on",
"fashion",
"and",
"visually",
"oriented",
"advertising",
".",
"Ms.",
"Heller",
",",
"38",
",",
"had",
"headed",
"up",
"Boston",
"agency",
"Heller/Breene",
",",
"a",
"unit",
"of",
"WCRS",
".",
"The",
"agency",
",",
"with",
"about",
"$",
"35",
"million",
"in",
"billings",
",",
"will",
"be",
"dissolved",
",",
"with",
"some",
"of",
"its",
"staffers",
"absorbed",
"by",
"WCRS",
"'s",
"Della",
"Femina",
"McNamee",
"unit",
"in",
"Boston",
",",
"Ms.",
"Heller",
"said",
".",
"She",
"said",
"it",
"was",
"too",
"early",
"to",
"say",
"what",
"would",
"happen",
"to",
"its",
"clients",
",",
"including",
"Reebok",
"and",
"Apple",
".",
"At",
"Wells",
"Rich",
",",
"Ms.",
"Heller",
"will",
"concentrate",
"on",
"accounts",
"that",
"include",
"Philip",
"Morris",
"'s",
"Benson",
"&",
"Hedges",
"cigarette",
"brand",
",",
"which",
"relies",
"on",
"print",
"ads",
",",
"Ms.",
"Heller",
"'s",
"specialty",
".",
"As",
"previously",
"reported",
",",
"the",
"account",
"is",
"troubled",
",",
"with",
"Philip",
"Morris",
"asking",
"Backer",
"Spielvogel",
"Bates",
",",
"Ogilvy",
"&",
"Mather",
",",
"and",
"possibly",
"others",
"to",
"try",
"their",
"hand",
"at",
"developing",
"new",
"creative",
"work",
".",
"Wells",
"Rich",
"declined",
"to",
"comment",
"on",
"the",
"status",
"of",
"the",
"account",
",",
"as",
"did",
"the",
"other",
"agencies",
"."
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"punct",
"mark",
"compound",
"nsubj",
"advcl",
"compound",
"compound",
"obj",
"punct",
"conj",
"cc",
"conj",
"punct",
"cc",
"advmod",
"conj",
"mark",
"xcomp",
"nmod:poss",
"obj",
"mark",
"advcl",
"amod",
"amod",
"obj",
"punct",
"compound",
"nsubj",
"root",
"mark",
"xcomp",
"case",
"det",
"obl",
"case",
"det",
"nmod",
"punct",
"dep",
"advcl",
"det",
"amod",
"nsubj",
"punct"
] |
[
"It",
"was",
"supposed",
"to",
"be",
"a",
"routine",
"courtesy",
"call",
".",
"A",
"half-dozen",
"Soviet",
"space",
"officials",
",",
"in",
"Tokyo",
"in",
"July",
"for",
"an",
"exhibit",
",",
"stopped",
"by",
"to",
"see",
"their",
"counterparts",
"at",
"the",
"National",
"Space",
"Development",
"Agency",
"of",
"Japan",
".",
"But",
"after",
"a",
"few",
"pleasantries",
",",
"the",
"Soviets",
"unexpectedly",
"got",
"serious",
".",
"The",
"Soviets",
"have",
"a",
"world-leading",
"space",
"program",
",",
"the",
"guests",
"noted",
".",
"Would",
"n't",
"the",
"Japanese",
"like",
"a",
"piece",
"of",
"it",
"?",
"The",
"visitors",
"then",
"listed",
"technologies",
"up",
"for",
"sale",
",",
"including",
"launch",
"services",
"and",
"propulsion",
"hardware",
".",
"``",
"We",
"were",
"just",
"surprised",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Tad",
"Inada",
",",
"NASDA",
"'s",
"director",
"for",
"international",
"affairs",
".",
"``",
"Shocked",
".",
"''",
"That",
"Moscow",
",",
"with",
"its",
"dilapidated",
"economic",
"machine",
",",
"would",
"try",
"to",
"sell",
"high",
"technology",
"to",
"Japan",
",",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"world",
"'s",
"high-tech",
"leaders",
",",
"sounds",
"like",
"a",
"coals-to-Newcastle",
"notion",
".",
"But",
"``",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
"has",
"areas",
"where",
"it",
"is",
"n't",
"behind",
"Japan",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mikhail",
"Shapovalov",
"of",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Ministry",
"of",
"Foreign",
"Economic",
"Relations",
".",
"``",
"We",
"have",
"obtained",
"through",
"the",
"development",
"of",
"Cosmos",
"-LCB-",
"the",
"Soviet",
"space",
"program",
"-RCB-",
"technologies",
"you",
"do",
"n't",
"see",
"anywhere",
"else",
".",
"''",
"The",
"sales",
"pitch",
"might",
"n't",
"be",
"as",
"farfetched",
"as",
"it",
"seems",
".",
"Japan-U.S.",
"trade",
"relations",
"are",
"bumpy",
"these",
"days",
",",
"and",
"some",
"Japanese",
"favor",
"decreasing",
"their",
"reliance",
"on",
"U.S.",
"technology",
"in",
"light",
"of",
"the",
"FSX",
"fighter-plane",
"flap",
",",
"when",
"U.S.",
"officials",
"reversed",
"an",
"earlier",
"decision",
"and",
"refused",
"to",
"share",
"certain",
"crucial",
"fighter-plane",
"technology",
".",
"And",
",",
"despite",
"its",
"image",
"as",
"a",
"technology",
"superpower",
",",
"Japan",
"has",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"weaknesses",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"a",
"world",
"leader",
"in",
"semiconductors",
",",
"but",
"behind",
"the",
"U.S.",
"in",
"making",
"the",
"computers",
"that",
"use",
"those",
"chips",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"a",
"world",
"leader",
"in",
"auto",
"manufacturing",
",",
"but",
"its",
"aviation",
"industry",
"is",
"struggling",
",",
"and",
"its",
"space",
"program",
"is",
"years",
"behind",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"the",
"Europeans",
"and",
"the",
"Soviets",
".",
"One",
"question",
"being",
"debated",
"in",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
"is",
"how",
"to",
"use",
"the",
"defense",
"sector",
"'s",
"research-and-production",
"expertise",
"in",
"the",
"rest",
"of",
"the",
"economy",
".",
"Many",
"plants",
"that",
"used",
"to",
"make",
"military",
"equipment",
"are",
"now",
"being",
"ordered",
"to",
"produce",
"televisions",
",",
"videocassette",
"recorders",
",",
"small",
"tractors",
"and",
"food-processing",
"machinery",
".",
"The",
"Soviets",
"also",
"hope",
"to",
"make",
"better",
"use",
"of",
"their",
"considerable",
"expertise",
"in",
"theoretical",
"science",
",",
"which",
"has",
"helped",
"them",
"win",
"twice",
"as",
"many",
"Nobel",
"science",
"prizes",
"as",
"the",
"Japanese",
".",
"Where",
"they",
"lag",
"behind",
"the",
"Japanese",
"is",
"in",
"turning",
"the",
"scientific",
"inventiveness",
"into",
"improved",
"production",
".",
"By",
"contrast",
",",
"the",
"Japanese",
"have",
"proved",
"adept",
"at",
"making",
"use",
"of",
"Soviet",
"inventions",
".",
"Kobe",
"Steel",
"Ltd.",
"adopted",
"Soviet",
"casting",
"technology",
"in",
"1966",
"and",
"used",
"it",
"for",
"14",
"years",
"until",
"it",
"developed",
"its",
"own",
"system",
".",
"Kawasaki",
"Steel",
"Corp.",
"bought",
"a",
"Soviet",
"steel-casting",
"patent",
"two",
"years",
"ago",
"and",
"has",
"jointly",
"developed",
"the",
"system",
"with",
"the",
"Soviets",
".",
"In",
"1991",
",",
"the",
"Soviets",
"will",
"take",
"a",
"Japanese",
"journalist",
"into",
"space",
",",
"the",
"first",
"Japanese",
"to",
"go",
"into",
"orbit",
".",
"Soviet",
"efforts",
"to",
"sell",
"their",
"technology",
"abroad",
"do",
"n't",
"appear",
"to",
"worry",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"Japan",
"'s",
"principal",
"ally",
".",
"``",
"We",
"have",
"never",
"opposed",
"the",
"development",
"of",
"economic",
"relations",
"between",
"our",
"allies",
"and",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
",",
"''",
"says",
"a",
"State",
"Department",
"official",
".",
"``",
"Frankly",
",",
"I",
"would",
"n't",
"expect",
"the",
"Japanese",
"to",
"get",
"hooked",
"on",
"anybody",
"'s",
"technology",
",",
"least",
"of",
"all",
"the",
"Soviets",
".",
"''",
"Under",
"Mikhail",
"Gorbachev",
"'s",
"perestroika",
",",
"the",
"Soviets",
"have",
"sought",
"economic",
"ties",
"all",
"over",
"the",
"world",
",",
"including",
"new",
"export",
"markets",
".",
"They",
"believe",
"technology",
"is",
"one",
"of",
"their",
"best",
"bets",
",",
"and",
"some",
"Soviet",
"officials",
"say",
"Moscow",
"will",
"even",
"consider",
"declassifying",
"military",
"know-how",
"if",
"the",
"price",
"is",
"right",
".",
"The",
"Soviets",
"held",
"export",
"exhibitions",
"that",
"included",
"high-tech",
"items",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"and",
"West",
"Germany",
".",
"Last",
"week",
",",
"a",
"Soviet",
"delegation",
"came",
"to",
"Japan",
"to",
"push",
"more",
"space",
"technologies",
".",
"Japan",
"is",
"a",
"major",
"target",
"for",
"the",
"Soviets",
".",
"In",
"August",
",",
"representatives",
"of",
"Keidanren",
",",
"Japan",
"'s",
"largest",
"business",
"organization",
",",
"visited",
"Moscow",
"to",
"explore",
"exports",
"and",
"investments",
"that",
"would",
"help",
"the",
"Soviet",
"economy",
".",
"Out",
"of",
"the",
"blue",
",",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Chamber",
"of",
"Commerce",
"handed",
"over",
"details",
"on",
"59",
"technologies",
"that",
"the",
"Japanese",
"might",
"want",
"to",
"buy",
".",
"These",
"mainly",
"involved",
"such",
"areas",
"as",
"materials",
"--",
"advanced",
"soldering",
"machines",
",",
"for",
"example",
"--",
"and",
"medical",
"developments",
"derived",
"from",
"experimentation",
"in",
"space",
",",
"such",
"as",
"artificial",
"blood",
"vessels",
".",
"A",
"main",
"motive",
"is",
"hard",
"cash",
".",
"But",
",",
"while",
"the",
"Soviets",
"ca",
"n't",
"expect",
"direct",
"technology",
"flow",
"from",
"Japan",
",",
"they",
"also",
"hope",
"to",
"benefit",
"from",
"Japanese",
"manufacturing",
"expertise",
".",
"``",
"The",
"Soviet",
"Union",
"has",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"know-how",
",",
"but",
"it",
"has",
"been",
"difficult",
"to",
"put",
"that",
"into",
"actual",
"production",
"because",
"of",
"various",
"structural",
"problems",
"in",
"the",
"economy",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Shapovalov",
",",
"the",
"Foreign",
"Ministry",
"official",
".",
"The",
"Soviets",
"are",
"``",
"contemplating",
"a",
"flexible",
"system",
"under",
"which",
"it",
"would",
"be",
"possible",
"to",
"develop",
"-LCB-",
"technology",
"-RCB-",
"jointly",
"and",
"even",
"to",
"market",
"it",
"jointly",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"Even",
"if",
"the",
"Japanese",
"find",
"Soviet",
"technology",
"desirable",
",",
"such",
"discussions",
"would",
"be",
"fraught",
"with",
"political",
"complications",
".",
"Still",
"stinging",
"from",
"the",
"international",
"backlash",
"over",
"the",
"sale",
"two",
"years",
"ago",
"of",
"sensitive",
"military",
"technology",
"to",
"the",
"Soviets",
"by",
"a",
"subsidiary",
"of",
"Japan",
"'s",
"Toshiba",
"Corp.",
",",
"many",
"Japanese",
"are",
"eager",
"to",
"avoid",
"appearing",
"to",
"help",
"the",
"Soviets",
"in",
"any",
"way",
".",
"Another",
"hurdle",
"concerns",
"Japan",
"'s",
"attempts",
"to",
"persuade",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
"to",
"relinquish",
"its",
"post-World",
"War",
"II",
"control",
"of",
"four",
"islands",
"north",
"of",
"Japan",
".",
"So",
"far",
",",
"the",
"Soviets",
"have",
"provided",
"only",
"the",
"sketchiest",
"information",
"about",
"their",
"technology",
"and",
"business",
"plans",
".",
"And",
"what",
"they",
"have",
"shown",
"is",
"n't",
"impressive",
".",
"``",
"My",
"impression",
"is",
"that",
"there",
"is",
"n't",
"anything",
"which",
"arouses",
"our",
"interest",
"at",
"first",
"glance",
",",
"''",
"says",
"an",
"official",
"from",
"Japan",
"'s",
"Ministry",
"of",
"International",
"Trade",
"and",
"Industry",
".",
"Peter",
"Gumbel",
"in",
"Moscow",
"contributed",
"to",
"this",
"article",
"."
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"McDonald",
"'s",
"Corp.",
"said",
"third-quarter",
"earnings",
"rose",
"14",
"%",
"on",
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"hefty",
"sales",
"gain",
",",
"but",
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"franchisees",
"apparently",
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"of",
"the",
"improvement",
".",
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"'s",
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"income",
"rose",
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"217.9",
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",",
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"cents",
"a",
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",",
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"191.3",
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",",
"or",
"51",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"a",
"year",
"ago",
".",
"In",
"the",
"latest",
"period",
",",
"the",
"company",
"had",
"an",
"average",
"of",
"370.8",
"million",
"shares",
",",
"5.6",
"million",
"shares",
"below",
"last",
"year",
"'s",
"level",
".",
"Revenue",
"rose",
"12",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"1.63",
"billion",
"from",
"$",
"1.46",
"billion",
".",
"Systemwide",
"sales",
",",
"which",
"include",
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"at",
"franchisee",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"company-owned",
"stores",
",",
"totaled",
"$",
"4.59",
"billion",
"compared",
"with",
"$",
"4.2",
"billion",
".",
"But",
"sales",
"for",
"U.S.",
"franchisees",
"were",
"flat",
"at",
"best",
"on",
"a",
"per-store",
"basis",
"despite",
"weak",
"1988",
"figures",
".",
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"months",
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",",
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"store",
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"3,200",
",",
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"war",
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"chains",
".",
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"prices",
"rose",
"this",
"year",
",",
"the",
"actual",
"decline",
"may",
"have",
"been",
"more",
".",
"McDonald",
"'s",
"closed",
"at",
"$",
"31.375",
",",
"up",
"$",
"1",
",",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"composite",
"trading",
"yesterday",
".",
"While",
"franchisees",
"were",
"having",
"a",
"tough",
"time",
"holding",
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",",
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"'s",
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"gains",
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"the",
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"months",
",",
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"per",
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"unit",
"rising",
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"20,000",
".",
"One",
"analyst",
"noted",
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"the",
"company",
"often",
"has",
"better",
"store",
"locations",
"than",
"do",
"its",
"franchisees",
",",
"thus",
"aiding",
"promotional",
"efforts",
".",
"On",
"average",
"in",
"the",
"latest",
"nine",
"months",
",",
"company-operated",
"units",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"had",
"$",
"90,552",
"more",
"in",
"sales",
"than",
"did",
"franchised",
"outlets",
".",
"There",
"are",
"more",
"than",
"three",
"times",
"as",
"many",
"franchised",
"domestic",
"outlets",
"as",
"there",
"are",
"company",
"stores",
".",
"Profit",
"margins",
"at",
"U.S.",
"company-owned",
"stores",
"in",
"the",
"quarter",
"were",
"up",
"nearly",
"1",
"%",
",",
"which",
"the",
"company",
"attributed",
"in",
"part",
"to",
"lower",
"food",
"costs",
".",
"Prudential-Bache",
"Securities",
"analyst",
"Leslie",
"Steppel",
"said",
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"labor",
"costs",
"helped",
"boost",
"margins",
",",
"although",
"she",
"doubted",
"``",
"that",
"kind",
"of",
"performance",
"is",
"sustainable",
".",
"''",
"Calling",
"sales",
"``",
"still",
"relatively",
"soft",
",",
"''",
"Ms.",
"Steppel",
"believes",
"that",
"in",
"real",
"terms",
",",
"U.S.",
"sales",
"slipped",
"3",
"1/2",
"%",
"to",
"4",
"%",
"at",
"company-operated",
"stores",
"in",
"the",
"quarter",
".",
"Apparently",
"acknowledging",
"weaker",
"U.S.",
"sales",
"systemwide",
",",
"McDonald",
"'s",
"vowed",
"``",
"to",
"use",
"our",
"size",
"and",
"muscle",
"to",
"do",
"all",
"that",
"is",
"necessary",
"to",
"build",
"the",
"brand",
".",
"''",
"Overseas",
",",
"both",
"franchisees",
"and",
"the",
"company",
"performed",
"substantially",
"better",
"than",
"a",
"year",
"ago",
".",
"Third-quarter",
"sales",
"in",
"Europe",
"were",
"exceptionally",
"strong",
",",
"boosted",
"by",
"promotional",
"programs",
"and",
"new",
"products",
"--",
"although",
"weaker",
"foreign",
"currencies",
"reduced",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"earnings",
".",
"McDonald",
"'s",
"said",
"that",
"systemwide",
"sales",
"would",
"have",
"been",
"$",
"115",
"million",
"greater",
"had",
"1988",
"exchange",
"rates",
"remained",
"in",
"effect",
".",
"``",
"Going",
"into",
"the",
"fourth",
"quarter",
"the",
"sales",
"comparison",
"will",
"be",
"more",
"difficult",
",",
"''",
"predicted",
"restaurant",
"analyst",
"Howard",
"Hansen",
"of",
"Kidder",
",",
"Peabody",
"&",
"Co",
".",
"Reflecting",
"better",
"growth",
"prospects",
"abroad",
",",
"McDonald",
"'s",
"noted",
"that",
"as",
"of",
"Sept.",
"30",
"more",
"stores",
"were",
"under",
"construction",
"overseas",
"than",
"a",
"year",
"ago",
",",
"while",
"the",
"opposite",
"was",
"true",
"for",
"domestic",
"expansion",
".",
"At",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"McDonald",
"'s",
"had",
"10,873",
"units",
"operating",
"world-wide",
".",
"In",
"the",
"nine",
"months",
",",
"earnings",
"rose",
"12",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"555.6",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"1.49",
"a",
"share",
",",
"from",
"$",
"494.4",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"1.31",
"a",
"share",
",",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"Revenue",
"rose",
"11",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"4.56",
"billion",
"from",
"$",
"4.12",
"billion",
"."
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[
"Few",
"people",
"are",
"aware",
"that",
"the",
"federal",
"government",
"lends",
"almost",
"as",
"much",
"money",
"as",
"it",
"borrows",
".",
"From",
"1980",
"to",
"1988",
",",
"while",
"federal",
"budget",
"deficits",
"totaled",
"$",
"1.41",
"trillion",
",",
"the",
"government",
"issued",
"$",
"394",
"billion",
"of",
"new",
"direct",
"loans",
"and",
"an",
"additional",
"$",
"756",
"billion",
"of",
"new",
"primary",
"loan",
"guarantees",
".",
"These",
"figures",
"omit",
"secondary",
"guarantees",
",",
"deposit",
"insurance",
",",
"and",
"the",
"activities",
"of",
"Government-Sponsored",
"Enterprises",
"(",
"a",
"huge",
"concern",
"in",
"its",
"own",
"right",
",",
"as",
"detailed",
"on",
"this",
"page",
"May",
"3",
")",
".",
"Federal",
"credit",
"programs",
"date",
"back",
"to",
"the",
"New",
"Deal",
",",
"and",
"were",
"meant",
"to",
"break",
"even",
"financially",
".",
"Since",
"the",
"1950s",
",",
"federal",
"lending",
"has",
"experienced",
"extraordinary",
"growth",
"in",
"credit",
"volume",
",",
"subsidy",
"rates",
",",
"and",
"policy",
"applications",
",",
"spurred",
"on",
"by",
"the",
"growth",
"of",
"government",
"in",
"general",
"and",
"budget",
"gimmicks",
"and",
"deceptive",
"management",
"in",
"particular",
".",
"As",
"we",
"will",
"see",
",",
"many",
"of",
"these",
"obligations",
"do",
"n't",
"show",
"up",
"as",
"part",
"of",
"the",
"federal",
"deficit",
".",
"But",
"recent",
"events",
"indicate",
"that",
"federal",
"credit",
"is",
"out",
"of",
"control",
".",
"Student",
"loan",
"defaults",
"remain",
"high",
"at",
"about",
"12",
"%",
",",
"and",
"the",
"program",
"has",
"been",
"rocked",
"by",
"allegations",
"of",
"fraud",
"and",
"mismanagement",
".",
"Farmers",
"Home",
"Administration",
"(",
"FmHA",
")",
"loans",
"have",
"turned",
"into",
"de",
"facto",
"giveaway",
"programs",
";",
"losses",
"over",
"the",
"next",
"three",
"years",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"exceed",
"$",
"20",
"billion",
".",
"Defaults",
"on",
"Veterans",
"Affairs",
"loan",
"guarantees",
"have",
"quadrupled",
"in",
"the",
"past",
"eight",
"years",
".",
"Last",
"month",
",",
"the",
"General",
"Accounting",
"Office",
"reported",
"that",
"defaults",
"in",
"Federal",
"Housing",
"Administration",
"guarantees",
"were",
"five",
"times",
"as",
"high",
"as",
"previously",
"estimated",
",",
"and",
"that",
"FHA",
"'s",
"equity",
"fell",
"to",
"minus",
"$",
"2.9",
"billion",
".",
"GAO",
"'s",
"findings",
"are",
"particularly",
"troubling",
"because",
"the",
"FHA",
"has",
"about",
"$",
"300",
"billion",
"in",
"obligations",
"outstanding",
"and",
"had",
"previously",
"been",
"considered",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"most",
"financially",
"secure",
"credit",
"programs",
".",
"Scores",
"of",
"other",
"credit",
"programs",
",",
"subsidizing",
"agriculture",
",",
"small",
"business",
",",
"exporters",
",",
"defense",
",",
"energy",
",",
"transportation",
"and",
"others",
",",
"are",
"less",
"visible",
"but",
"in",
"no",
"better",
"shape",
".",
"If",
"the",
"programs",
"continue",
"their",
"present",
"path",
",",
"the",
"potential",
"government",
"losses",
"are",
"staggering",
":",
"The",
"federal",
"government",
"holds",
"$",
"222",
"billion",
"in",
"direct",
"loans",
"outstanding",
"and",
"backs",
"an",
"additional",
"$",
"550",
"billion",
"in",
"primary",
"guarantees",
".",
"(",
"Secondary",
"guarantees",
"of",
"pools",
"of",
"FHA",
"-",
"and",
"VA-backed",
"loans",
"by",
"the",
"agency",
"known",
"as",
"Ginnie",
"Mae",
"currently",
"exceed",
"$",
"330",
"billion",
".",
")",
"Although",
"external",
"events",
"have",
"contributed",
"to",
"the",
"morass",
",",
"the",
"principal",
"causes",
"of",
"the",
"current",
"crisis",
"are",
"internal",
"and",
"generic",
"to",
"all",
"programs",
".",
"To",
"reduce",
"the",
"risks",
"while",
"still",
"retaining",
"the",
"legitimate",
"benefits",
"these",
"programs",
"can",
"provide",
",",
"credit",
"policy",
"must",
":",
"1",
".",
"Use",
"credit",
"to",
"improve",
"the",
"operation",
"of",
"capital",
"markets",
",",
"not",
"to",
"provide",
"subsidies",
".",
"There",
"is",
"a",
"fundamental",
"conflict",
"between",
"providing",
"a",
"subsidy",
"and",
"maintaining",
"the",
"integrity",
"of",
"a",
"credit",
"program",
".",
"If",
"the",
"program",
"is",
"meant",
"to",
"provide",
"a",
"subsidy",
",",
"collecting",
"the",
"debt",
"defeats",
"the",
"original",
"goal",
".",
"Thus",
",",
"subsidized",
"loans",
"tend",
"to",
"turn",
"into",
"giveaway",
"programs",
",",
"with",
"increasing",
"subsidy",
"and",
"default",
"rates",
"over",
"time",
".",
"To",
"avoid",
"this",
"problem",
",",
"government",
"should",
"issue",
"credit",
"only",
"if",
"it",
"intends",
"to",
"use",
"every",
"legal",
"method",
"to",
"collect",
".",
"In",
"contrast",
",",
"credit",
"programs",
"can",
"be",
"appropriate",
"tools",
"to",
"improve",
"the",
"operation",
"of",
"capital",
"markets",
".",
"For",
"example",
",",
"legal",
"restrictions",
"on",
"interstate",
"banking",
"once",
"inhibited",
"the",
"supply",
"of",
"credit",
"to",
"the",
"agricultural",
"sector",
".",
"Farm",
"lending",
"was",
"enacted",
"to",
"correct",
"this",
"problem",
"by",
"providing",
"a",
"reliable",
"flow",
"of",
"lendable",
"funds",
".",
"However",
",",
"this",
"in",
"no",
"way",
"justifies",
"the",
"huge",
"government",
"subsidies",
"and",
"losses",
"on",
"such",
"loans",
".",
"Credit",
"policy",
"should",
"separate",
"these",
"two",
"competing",
"objectives",
"and",
"eliminate",
"aspects",
"that",
"provide",
"the",
"subsidy",
".",
"For",
"example",
",",
"student",
"loans",
"currently",
"attempt",
"to",
"subsidize",
"college",
"attendance",
"and",
"mitigate",
"problems",
"created",
"by",
"the",
"fact",
"that",
"students",
"'",
"future",
"earnings",
"are",
"not",
"accepted",
"as",
"collateral",
".",
"The",
"program",
"provides",
"highly",
"subsidized",
"loans",
"to",
"any",
"student",
"whose",
"family",
"earns",
"less",
"than",
"a",
"particular",
"amount",
".",
"High",
"default",
"rates",
",",
"a",
"low",
"interest",
"rate",
",",
"and",
"government",
"coverage",
"of",
"all",
"interest",
"costs",
"while",
"the",
"student",
"is",
"in",
"school",
"make",
"program",
"costs",
"extremely",
"high",
".",
"Families",
"that",
"do",
"not",
"need",
"the",
"loan",
"can",
"make",
"money",
"simply",
"by",
"putting",
"the",
"loan",
"in",
"the",
"bank",
"and",
"paying",
"it",
"back",
"when",
"the",
"student",
"graduates",
".",
"In",
"contrast",
",",
"a",
"student",
"loan",
"program",
"that",
"was",
"meant",
"solely",
"to",
"correct",
"capital-market",
"imperfections",
"would",
"allow",
"loans",
"for",
"any",
"student",
",",
"regardless",
"of",
"family",
"income",
",",
"at",
"market",
"or",
"near-market",
"rates",
".",
"While",
"the",
"student",
"was",
"in",
"school",
",",
"interest",
"costs",
"would",
"either",
"be",
"paid",
"by",
"the",
"student",
"or",
"added",
"to",
"the",
"loan",
"balance",
".",
"This",
"program",
",",
"combined",
"with",
"cash",
"grants",
"to",
"needy",
"students",
",",
"would",
"reduce",
"program",
"costs",
"and",
"much",
"more",
"effectively",
"target",
"the",
"intended",
"beneficiaries",
".",
"2",
".",
"Provide",
"better",
"incentives",
".",
"Given",
"the",
"structure",
"of",
"most",
"credit",
"programs",
",",
"it",
"is",
"surprising",
"that",
"default",
"rates",
"are",
"not",
"even",
"higher",
".",
"Guarantee",
"rates",
"are",
"typically",
"100",
"%",
",",
"giving",
"lenders",
"little",
"reason",
"to",
"screen",
"customers",
"carefully",
".",
"Reducing",
"those",
"rates",
"moderately",
"(",
"say",
",",
"to",
"75",
"%",
")",
"would",
"still",
"provide",
"substantial",
"assistance",
"to",
"borrowers",
".",
"But",
"it",
"would",
"also",
"encourage",
"lenders",
"to",
"choose",
"more",
"creditworthy",
"customers",
",",
"and",
"go",
"a",
"long",
"way",
"toward",
"reducing",
"defaults",
".",
"For",
"example",
",",
"the",
"Small",
"Business",
"Administration",
"has",
"had",
"reasonable",
"success",
"in",
"reducing",
"both",
"guarantee",
"rates",
"and",
"default",
"rates",
"in",
"its",
"Preferred",
"Lenders",
"'",
"Program",
".",
"Borrowers",
"'",
"incentives",
"are",
"equally",
"skewed",
".",
"Since",
"the",
"government",
"has",
"a",
"dismal",
"record",
"of",
"collecting",
"bad",
"debts",
",",
"the",
"costs",
"to",
"the",
"borrower",
"of",
"defaulting",
"are",
"usually",
"low",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"it",
"is",
"often",
"possible",
"to",
"obtain",
"a",
"new",
"government",
"loan",
"even",
"if",
"existing",
"debts",
"are",
"not",
"paid",
"off",
".",
"Simple",
"policy",
"prescriptions",
"in",
"this",
"case",
"would",
"be",
"to",
"improve",
"debt",
"collection",
"(",
"taking",
"the",
"gloves",
"off",
"contracted",
"collection",
"agencies",
")",
"and",
"to",
"deny",
"new",
"credit",
"to",
"defaulters",
".",
"These",
"provisions",
"would",
"be",
"difficult",
"to",
"enforce",
"for",
"a",
"program",
"intended",
"to",
"provide",
"a",
"subsidy",
",",
"but",
"would",
"be",
"reasonable",
"and",
"effective",
"devices",
"for",
"programs",
"that",
"attempt",
"to",
"offset",
"market",
"imperfections",
".",
"3",
".",
"Record",
"the",
"true",
"costs",
"of",
"credit",
"programs",
"in",
"the",
"federal",
"budget",
".",
"Since",
"the",
"budget",
"measures",
"cash",
"flow",
",",
"a",
"new",
"$",
"1",
"direct",
"loan",
"is",
"treated",
"as",
"a",
"$",
"1",
"expenditure",
",",
"even",
"though",
"at",
"least",
"part",
"of",
"the",
"loan",
"will",
"be",
"paid",
"back",
".",
"Loan",
"guarantees",
"do",
"n't",
"appear",
"at",
"all",
"until",
"the",
"borrower",
"defaults",
",",
"so",
"new",
"guarantees",
"do",
"not",
"raise",
"the",
"deficit",
",",
"even",
"though",
"they",
"create",
"future",
"liabilities",
"for",
"the",
"government",
".",
"By",
"converting",
"an",
"expenditure",
"or",
"loan",
"to",
"a",
"guarantee",
",",
"the",
"government",
"can",
"ensure",
"the",
"same",
"flow",
"of",
"resources",
"and",
"reduce",
"the",
"current",
"deficit",
".",
"Predictably",
",",
"guarantees",
"outstanding",
"have",
"risen",
"by",
"$",
"130",
"billion",
"since",
"1985",
",",
"while",
"direct",
"loans",
"outstanding",
"have",
"fallen",
"by",
"$",
"30",
"billion",
".",
"The",
"true",
"budgetary",
"cost",
"of",
"a",
"credit",
"subsidy",
"is",
"the",
"discounted",
"value",
"of",
"the",
"net",
"costs",
"to",
"government",
".",
"This",
"figure",
"could",
"be",
"estimated",
"using",
"techniques",
"employed",
"by",
"private",
"lenders",
"to",
"forecast",
"losses",
",",
"or",
"determined",
"by",
"selling",
"loans",
"to",
"private",
"owners",
"(",
"without",
"federal",
"guarantees",
")",
".",
"Neither",
"technique",
"is",
"perfect",
",",
"but",
"both",
"are",
"better",
"than",
"the",
"current",
"system",
",",
"which",
"misstates",
"the",
"costs",
"of",
"new",
"credit",
"programs",
"by",
"amounts",
"that",
"vary",
"substantially",
"and",
"average",
"about",
"$",
"20",
"billion",
"annually",
",",
"according",
"to",
"the",
"Congressional",
"Budget",
"Office",
".",
"A",
"budget",
"that",
"reflected",
"the",
"real",
"costs",
"of",
"lending",
"would",
"eliminate",
"incentives",
"to",
"convert",
"spending",
"or",
"lending",
"programs",
"to",
"guarantees",
"and",
"would",
"let",
"taxpayers",
"know",
"what",
"Congress",
"is",
"committing",
"them",
"to",
".",
"4",
".",
"Impose",
"standard",
"accounting",
"and",
"administrative",
"practices",
".",
"Creative",
"accounting",
"is",
"a",
"hallmark",
"of",
"federal",
"credit",
".",
"Many",
"agencies",
"roll",
"over",
"their",
"debt",
",",
"paying",
"off",
"delinquent",
"loans",
"by",
"issuing",
"new",
"loans",
",",
"or",
"converting",
"defaulted",
"loan",
"guarantees",
"into",
"direct",
"loans",
".",
"In",
"any",
"case",
",",
"they",
"avoid",
"having",
"to",
"write",
"off",
"the",
"loans",
".",
"Some",
"agencies",
"simply",
"keep",
"bad",
"loans",
"on",
"the",
"books",
";",
"as",
"late",
"as",
"1987",
",",
"the",
"Export-Import",
"Bank",
"held",
"in",
"its",
"portfolio",
"at",
"face",
"value",
"loans",
"made",
"to",
"Cuba",
"in",
"the",
"1950s",
".",
"More",
"seriously",
",",
"FmHA",
"has",
"carried",
"several",
"billion",
"dollars",
"of",
"defaulted",
"loans",
"at",
"face",
"value",
".",
"Until",
"GAO",
"'s",
"recent",
"audit",
",",
"FHA",
"books",
"had",
"not",
"been",
"subject",
"to",
"a",
"complete",
"external",
"audit",
"in",
"15",
"years",
".",
"The",
"administration",
"of",
"federal",
"credit",
"should",
"closely",
"parallel",
"private",
"lending",
"practices",
",",
"including",
"the",
"development",
"of",
"a",
"loan",
"loss",
"reserve",
"and",
"regular",
"outside",
"audits",
".",
"Establishing",
"these",
"practices",
"would",
"permit",
"earlier",
"identification",
"of",
"emerging",
"financial",
"crises",
",",
"provide",
"better",
"information",
"for",
"loan",
"sales",
"and",
"budgeting",
"decisions",
",",
"and",
"reduce",
"fraud",
".",
"Government",
"lending",
"was",
"not",
"intended",
"to",
"be",
"a",
"way",
"to",
"obfuscate",
"spending",
"figures",
",",
"hide",
"fraudulent",
"activity",
",",
"or",
"provide",
"large",
"subsidies",
".",
"The",
"reforms",
"described",
"above",
"would",
"provide",
"a",
"more",
"limited",
",",
"but",
"clearer",
",",
"safer",
"and",
"ultimately",
"more",
"useful",
"role",
"for",
"government",
"as",
"a",
"lender",
".",
"Without",
"such",
"reforms",
",",
"credit",
"programs",
"will",
"continue",
"to",
"be",
"a",
"large-scale",
",",
"high-risk",
"proposition",
"for",
"taxpayers",
".",
"Mr.",
"Gale",
"is",
"an",
"assistant",
"professor",
"of",
"economics",
"at",
"UCLA",
"."
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[
"Diversified",
"Investment",
"Group",
"Inc.",
"said",
"it",
"agreed",
"to",
"be",
"acquired",
"by",
"Star",
"States",
"Corp.",
"for",
"stock",
"valued",
"at",
"$",
"13.75",
"a",
"share",
",",
"or",
"about",
"$",
"24.4",
"million",
".",
"Diversified",
",",
"the",
"holding",
"company",
"for",
"Fidelity",
"Federal",
"Savings",
"&",
"Loan",
"Association",
",",
"said",
"the",
"agreement",
"also",
"gives",
"Star",
"States",
"the",
"option",
"to",
"acquire",
"588,300",
"of",
"Diversified",
"'s",
"1,774,326",
"shares",
"outstanding",
"``",
"under",
"certain",
"circumstances",
".",
"''",
"The",
"acquisition",
"would",
"give",
"Wilmington",
",",
"Del.-based",
"Star",
"States",
"access",
"to",
"the",
"Pennsylvania",
"market",
".",
"The",
"agreement",
"is",
"subject",
"to",
"regulatory",
"approval",
"and",
"resolution",
"of",
"lawsuits",
"brought",
"by",
"certain",
"Diversified",
"holders",
"in",
"connection",
"with",
"the",
"proposed",
"merger",
"."
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[
"CONCORDE",
"trans-Atlantic",
"flights",
"are",
"$",
"2,400",
"to",
"Paris",
"and",
"$",
"3,200",
"to",
"London",
".",
"In",
"a",
"Centennial",
"Journal",
"article",
"Oct.",
"5",
",",
"the",
"fares",
"were",
"reversed",
"."
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[
"London",
"shares",
"rallied",
"to",
"post",
"strong",
"gains",
"after",
"initial",
"fears",
"evaporated",
"that",
"the",
"California",
"earthquake",
"would",
"depress",
"Wall",
"Street",
"prices",
".",
"Tokyo",
"stocks",
",",
"which",
"rebounded",
"strongly",
"Tuesday",
",",
"extended",
"their",
"gains",
"yesterday",
",",
"but",
"most",
"other",
"Asian",
"and",
"Pacific",
"markets",
"closed",
"sharply",
"lower",
".",
"In",
"London",
",",
"the",
"Financial",
"Times-Stock",
"Exchange",
"100-share",
"index",
"jumped",
"34.6",
"points",
"to",
"close",
"at",
"its",
"intraday",
"high",
"of",
"2170.1",
".",
"The",
"index",
"was",
"under",
"pressure",
"for",
"most",
"of",
"the",
"morning",
"over",
"concerns",
"that",
"the",
"effects",
"of",
"Tuesday",
"night",
"'s",
"major",
"earthquake",
"in",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"area",
"would",
"undermine",
"the",
"U.S.",
"market",
".",
"The",
"mood",
"changed",
"after",
"dealers",
"reappraised",
"the",
"direct",
"impact",
"of",
"the",
"disaster",
"on",
"shares",
"and",
"Wall",
"Street",
"rebounded",
"from",
"early",
"losses",
".",
"The",
"Financial",
"Times",
"30-share",
"index",
"settled",
"27.8",
"points",
"higher",
"at",
"1758.5",
".",
"Volume",
"was",
"449.3",
"million",
"shares",
",",
"the",
"slowest",
"of",
"a",
"hectic",
"week",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"643.4",
"million",
"Tuesday",
".",
"U.K.",
"composite",
",",
"or",
"non-life",
",",
"insurers",
",",
"which",
"some",
"equity",
"analysts",
"said",
"might",
"be",
"heavily",
"hit",
"by",
"the",
"earthquake",
"disaster",
",",
"helped",
"support",
"the",
"London",
"market",
"by",
"showing",
"only",
"narrow",
"losses",
"in",
"early",
"trading",
".",
"The",
"insurers",
"'",
"relative",
"resilience",
"gave",
"the",
"market",
"time",
"to",
"reappraise",
"the",
"impact",
"of",
"the",
"California",
"disaster",
"on",
"U.K.",
"equities",
",",
"dealers",
"said",
".",
"Dealers",
"said",
"the",
"market",
"still",
"has",
"n't",
"shaken",
"off",
"its",
"nervousness",
"after",
"its",
"bumpy",
"ride",
"of",
"the",
"past",
"several",
"sessions",
",",
"caused",
"by",
"interest-rate",
"increases",
"last",
"week",
"and",
"Wall",
"Street",
"'s",
"6.9",
"%",
"plunge",
"Friday",
".",
"But",
"technical",
"factors",
",",
"including",
"modest",
"gains",
"in",
"the",
"value",
"of",
"the",
"pound",
",",
"helped",
"draw",
"buying",
"back",
"into",
"the",
"market",
"and",
"reverse",
"losses",
"posted",
"a",
"day",
"earlier",
".",
"Among",
"composite",
"insurers",
",",
"General",
"Accident",
"rose",
"10",
"pence",
"to",
"#",
"10.03",
"(",
"$",
"15.80",
")",
"a",
"share",
",",
"Guardian",
"Royal",
"climbed",
"5",
"to",
"217",
"pence",
",",
"Sun",
"Alliance",
"rose",
"3",
"to",
"290",
",",
"and",
"Royal",
"Insurance",
"jumped",
"12",
"to",
"450",
".",
"Life",
"insurers",
"fared",
"similarly",
",",
"with",
"Legal",
"&",
"General",
"advancing",
"3",
"to",
"344",
",",
"although",
"Prudential",
"fell",
"2",
"to",
"184",
"1/2",
".",
"Pearl",
"Group",
"rose",
"5",
"to",
"628",
",",
"and",
"Sun",
"Life",
"finished",
"unchanged",
"at",
"#",
"10.98",
".",
"Most",
"banking",
"issues",
"retreated",
"after",
"a",
"sector",
"downgrade",
"by",
"Warburg",
"Securities",
",",
"although",
"National",
"Westminister",
"showed",
"strength",
"on",
"positive",
"comments",
"from",
"brokerage",
"firms",
"about",
"its",
"long-term",
"prospects",
".",
"NatWest",
",",
"the",
"most",
"actively",
"traded",
"of",
"the",
"banks",
",",
"finished",
"at",
"300",
",",
"up",
"1",
".",
"B.A.T",
"Industries",
"fell",
"in",
"early",
"dealings",
"but",
"recovered",
"to",
"finish",
"at",
"754",
",",
"up",
"5",
".",
"Dealers",
"said",
"the",
"market",
"was",
"nervous",
"ahead",
"of",
"a",
"special",
"B.A.T",
"holders",
"'",
"meeting",
"today",
".",
"The",
"session",
"is",
"to",
"consider",
"a",
"defensive",
"plan",
"to",
"spin",
"off",
"assets",
"to",
"fend",
"off",
"Sir",
"James",
"Goldsmith",
"'s",
"#",
"13.4",
"billion",
"bid",
"for",
"B.A.T",
".",
"The",
"recent",
"stock",
"market",
"drop",
"has",
"shaken",
"confidence",
"in",
"the",
"plan",
",",
"but",
"dealers",
"said",
"the",
"shares",
"fell",
"initially",
"on",
"questions",
"about",
"whether",
"Mr.",
"Goldsmith",
"'s",
"highly",
"leveraged",
"bid",
"will",
"come",
"to",
"fruition",
".",
"Trading",
"was",
"suspended",
"in",
"WCRS",
"Group",
",",
"a",
"U.K.",
"advertising",
"concern",
",",
"pending",
"an",
"announcement",
"that",
"it",
"is",
"buying",
"the",
"remaining",
"50",
"%",
"of",
"France",
"'s",
"Carat",
"Holding",
"for",
"2.02",
"billion",
"French",
"francs",
"(",
"$",
"318.7",
"million",
")",
"and",
"expanding",
"commercial",
"and",
"equity",
"ties",
"with",
"advertising",
"group",
"Eurocom",
".",
"Merchant",
"banker",
"Morgan",
"Grenfell",
"climbed",
"14",
"to",
"406",
"on",
"renewed",
"takeover",
"speculation",
".",
"S.G.",
"Warburg",
",",
"also",
"mentioned",
"in",
"the",
"rumor",
"mill",
",",
"jumped",
"14",
"at",
"to",
"414",
".",
"Jaguar",
"advanced",
"19",
"to",
"673",
"as",
"traders",
"contemplated",
"a",
"potential",
"battle",
"between",
"General",
"Motors",
"and",
"Ford",
"Motor",
"for",
"control",
"of",
"the",
"U.K.",
"luxury",
"auto",
"maker",
".",
"Tokyo",
"'s",
"Nikkei",
"index",
"of",
"225",
"issues",
"rose",
"111.48",
"points",
",",
"or",
"0.32",
"%",
",",
"to",
"35107.56",
".",
"The",
"index",
"gained",
"527.39",
"Tuesday",
".",
"Volume",
"was",
"estimated",
"at",
"800",
"million",
"shares",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"678",
"million",
"Tuesday",
".",
"Declining",
"issues",
"outnumbered",
"advancers",
"505-455",
",",
"with",
"172",
"unchanged",
".",
"The",
"Tokyo",
"Stock",
"Price",
"Index",
"of",
"all",
"issues",
"listed",
"in",
"the",
"first",
"section",
",",
"which",
"gained",
"41.76",
"Tuesday",
",",
"was",
"up",
"0.24",
"points",
",",
"or",
"0.01",
"%",
",",
"at",
"2642.88",
".",
"In",
"early",
"trading",
"in",
"Tokyo",
"Thursday",
",",
"the",
"Nikkei",
"index",
"rose",
"135.09",
"points",
"to",
"35242.65",
".",
"On",
"Wednesday",
",",
"shares",
"were",
"pushed",
"up",
"by",
"index-related",
"buying",
"on",
"the",
"part",
"of",
"investment",
"trusts",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"small",
"orders",
"from",
"individuals",
"and",
"corporations",
",",
"traders",
"said",
".",
"Institutions",
",",
"meanwhile",
",",
"stepped",
"back",
"to",
"the",
"sidelines",
"as",
"the",
"direction",
"of",
"U.S.",
"interest",
"rates",
"remained",
"unclear",
".",
"The",
"uncertainty",
"was",
"multiplied",
"by",
"the",
"persistent",
"strength",
"of",
"the",
"dollar",
",",
"traders",
"said",
",",
"and",
"by",
"the",
"U.S.",
"trade",
"deficit",
",",
"which",
"widened",
"by",
"31",
"%",
"in",
"August",
"from",
"the",
"previous",
"month",
".",
"Traders",
"and",
"analysts",
"said",
"they",
"did",
"n't",
"see",
"any",
"effect",
"on",
"Tokyo",
"stocks",
"from",
"the",
"California",
"earthquake",
".",
"The",
"impact",
"on",
"Japanese",
"insurers",
"and",
"property",
"owners",
"with",
"interests",
"in",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"area",
"is",
"still",
"being",
"assessed",
",",
"they",
"said",
".",
"Buying",
"was",
"scattered",
"across",
"a",
"wide",
"range",
"of",
"issues",
",",
"making",
"the",
"session",
"fairly",
"characterless",
",",
"traders",
"said",
".",
"With",
"uncertainty",
"still",
"hanging",
"over",
"interest",
"rates",
"and",
"the",
"dollar",
",",
"the",
"market",
"failed",
"to",
"find",
"a",
"focus",
"that",
"might",
"lead",
"to",
"further",
"investor",
"commitments",
",",
"they",
"said",
".",
"Some",
"traders",
"said",
"the",
"popularity",
"of",
"issues",
"that",
"gained",
"yesterday",
"wo",
"n't",
"last",
"long",
",",
"as",
"investors",
"will",
"rotate",
"their",
"buying",
"choices",
"over",
"the",
"short",
"term",
".",
"Interest",
"rate-sensitive",
"shares",
"such",
"as",
"steel",
",",
"construction",
"and",
"electric",
"utility",
"companies",
",",
"which",
"rose",
"early",
"in",
"the",
"week",
",",
"saw",
"their",
"advance",
"weaken",
"yesterday",
".",
"Traders",
"said",
"these",
"issues",
"need",
"large-volume",
"buying",
"to",
"push",
"up",
"their",
"prices",
",",
"so",
"substantial",
"gains",
"are",
"n't",
"likely",
"unless",
"institutional",
"investors",
"participate",
".",
"An",
"outstanding",
"issue",
"in",
"yesterday",
"'s",
"session",
"was",
"Mitsubishi",
"Rayon",
",",
"which",
"surged",
"95",
"to",
"905",
"yen",
"(",
"$",
"6.34",
")",
"a",
"share",
".",
"Its",
"popularity",
"was",
"due",
"to",
"speculation",
"about",
"the",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"Kong",
",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"Most",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"Street",
"Friday",
".",
"Trading",
"had",
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"major",
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"failure",
"that",
"took",
"place",
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"the",
"start",
"of",
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"session",
".",
"Here",
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"markets",
",",
"as",
"calculated",
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"Stanley",
"Capital",
"International",
"Perspective",
",",
"Geneva",
".",
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",",
"each",
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"is",
"based",
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"close",
"of",
"1969",
"equaling",
"100",
".",
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"year-end",
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";",
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[
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"Central",
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"Power",
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"it",
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"a",
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"4",
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".",
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"''",
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"'",
"refusal",
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"halted",
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"to",
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".",
"``",
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",",
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"a",
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".",
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",",
"600",
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"regulators",
"'",
"refusal",
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"means",
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"Maine",
"Power",
"has",
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",",
"''",
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"``",
"customers",
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"''",
"for",
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".",
"``",
"Nothing",
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"generation",
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