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2223
Because current climate change is so rapid, the way species typically adapt (eg - migration) is, in most cases, simply not be possible.
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "Biodiversity:274", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Biodiversity", "evidence": "Human activities therefore allow species to migrate to new areas (and thus become invasive) occurred on time scales much shorter than historically have been required for a species to extend its range.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, "REFUTES" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Extinction:382", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Extinction", "evidence": "\"Predicting patterns of long-term adaptation and extinction with population genetics\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Extinction:83", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Extinction", "evidence": "Meanwhile, low genetic diversity (see inbreeding and population bottlenecks) reduces the range of adaptions possible.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Invasive species:276", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Invasive species", "evidence": "Invading species have been shown to adapt to their new environments in a remarkably short amount of time.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Nature:173", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Nature", "evidence": "The combination of a high mutation rate and a horizontal gene transfer ability makes them highly adaptable, and able to survive in new environments, including outer space.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] } ]
2227
Every part of the Earth's climate system has continued warming since 1998, with 2015 shattering temperature records.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Global warming:0", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Global warming is the long-term rise in the average temperature of the Earth's climate system.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:21", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Multiple independently produced instrumental datasets confirm that the 2009–2018 decade was 0.93 ± 0.07 °C warmer than the pre-industrial baseline (1850–1900).", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:41", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "An example of such an episode is the slower rate of surface temperature increase from 1998 to 2012, which was dubbed the global warming hiatus.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:42", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Throughout this period ocean heat storage continued to progress steadily upwards, and in subsequent years surface temperatures have spiked upwards.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenland ice sheet:263", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Greenland ice sheet", "evidence": "\"NASA, NOAA Analyses Reveal Record-Shattering Global Warm Temperatures in 2015\".", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] } ]
2229
but Antarctica is losing land ice at an accelerating rate, which has implications for sea level rise.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Antarctica:347", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Antarctica", "evidence": "It is important to understand the various types of Antarctic ice to understand possible effects on sea levels and the implications of global cooling.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Antarctica:352", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Antarctica", "evidence": "However, it is the outflow of the ice from the land to form the ice shelf which causes a rise in global sea level.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Antarctica:79", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Antarctica", "evidence": "If all of this ice were melted, sea levels would rise about 60 m (200 ft).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:188", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "Warming beyond the 2 °C (3.6 °F) target potentially lead to rates of sea-level rise dominated by ice loss from Antarctica.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:65", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "However scientists have found that ice is being lost, and at an accelerating rate.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2230
[Ice] is expanding in much of Antarctica, contrary to the widespread public belief that global warming is melting the continental ice cap.
3DISPUTED
[ { "evidence_id": "Antarctic ice sheet:6", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Antarctic ice sheet", "evidence": "In contrast to the melting of the Arctic sea ice, sea ice around Antarctica has been expanding as of 2013[update].", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Antarctica:119", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Antarctica", "evidence": "As a result of continued warming, the polar ice caps melted and much of Gondwana became a desert.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Antarctica:348", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Antarctica", "evidence": "Sea ice extent expands annually in the Antarctic winter and most of this ice melts in the summer.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Antarctica:375", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Antarctica", "evidence": "The amount of surface warming in West Antarctica, while large, has not led to appreciable melting at the surface, and is not directly affecting the West Antarctic Ice Sheet's contribution to sea level.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:27", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "The remainder of the additional energy has melted ice and warmed the continents and the atmosphere.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2236
The majority of peer reviewed research at the time predicted warming due to increasing CO2.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Global cooling:413", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global cooling", "evidence": "A survey of peer-reviewed scientific papers published between 1965 and 1979 shows that the large majority of research at the time predicted that the earth would warm as carbon-dioxide levels rose — as indeed it has.\"", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global cooling:55", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global cooling", "evidence": "The 1970 Study of Critical Environmental Problems reported the possibility of warming from increased carbon dioxide, but no concerns about cooling, setting a lower bound on the beginning of interest in \"global cooling\".", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global cooling:99", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global cooling", "evidence": "Academic analysis of the peer-reviewed studies published at that time shows that most papers examining aspects of climate during the 1970s were either neutral or showed a warming trend.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:328", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "This phrase next appeared in a November 1957 report in The Hammond Times which described Roger Revelle's research into the effects of increasing human-caused CO 2 emissions on the greenhouse effect: \"a large scale global warming, with radical climate changes may result\".", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Scientific consensus on climate change:459", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Scientific consensus on climate change", "evidence": "The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change said the likelihood was 90 percent to 99 percent that emissions of heat-trapping greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide, spewed from tailpipes and smokestacks, were the dominant cause of the observed warming of the last 50 years.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2238
"An article in Science magazine illustrated that a rise in carbon dioxide did not precede a rise in temperatures, but actually lagged behind temperature rises by 200 to 1000 years.
3DISPUTED
[ { "evidence_id": "Effects of global warming:128", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Effects of global warming", "evidence": "In 2019 a paper published in the journal Science found the oceans are heating 40% faster than the IPCC predicted just five years before.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming controversy:132", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming controversy", "evidence": "Studies of the Vostok ice core show that at the \"beginning of the deglaciations, the CO 2 increase either was in phase or lagged by less than ~1000 years with respect to the Antarctic temperature, whereas it clearly lagged behind the temperature at the onset of the glaciations\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming controversy:133", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Global warming controversy", "evidence": "Recent warming is followed by carbon dioxide levels with only a 5 months delay.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, "REFUTES" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:396", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Temperatures rose by 0.0 °C–0.2 °C from 1720–1800 to 1850–1900 (Hawkins et al., 2017).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Scientific consensus on climate change:655", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Scientific consensus on climate change", "evidence": "Carbon dioxide concentrations were relatively stable for the past 10,000 years but then began to increase rapidly about 150 years ago…as a result of fossil fuel consumption and land use change.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] } ]
2241
When the Earth comes out of an ice age, the warming is not initiated by CO2 but by changes in the Earth's orbit.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Global cooling:20", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global cooling", "evidence": "Orbital forcing refers to the slow, cyclical changes in the tilt of Earth's axis and shape of its orbit.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ice age:137", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ice age", "evidence": "The consensus is that several factors are important: atmospheric composition, such as the concentrations of carbon dioxide and methane (the specific levels of the previously mentioned gases are now able to be seen with the new ice core samples from EPICA Dome C in Antarctica over the past 800,000 years); changes in the earth's orbit around the Sun known as Milankovitch cycles; the motion of tectonic plates resulting in changes in the relative location and amount of continental and oceanic crust on the earth's surface, which affect wind and ocean currents; variations in solar output; the orbital dynamics of the Earth–Moon system; the impact of relatively large meteorites and volcanism including eruptions of supervolcanoes.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ice age:182", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ice age", "evidence": "The Milankovitch cycles are a set of cyclic variations in characteristics of the Earth's orbit around the Sun.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ice age:193", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ice age", "evidence": "In particular, during the last 800,000 years, the dominant period of glacial–interglacial oscillation has been 100,000 years, which corresponds to changes in Earth's orbital eccentricity and orbital inclination.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ice age:24", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ice age", "evidence": "He attempted to show that they originated from changes in Earth's orbit.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2242
The warming causes the oceans to release CO2.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Anoxic event:65", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Anoxic event", "evidence": "The trigger for these mass extinctions appears to be a warming of the ocean caused by a rise of carbon dioxide levels to about 1000 parts per million.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Anoxic event:92", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Anoxic event", "evidence": "The effect of this warm water propagates through the ocean, and reduces the amount of CO 2 that the oceans can hold in solution, which makes the oceans release large quantities of CO 2 into the atmosphere in a geologically short time (tens or thousands of years).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:125", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "As more CO2 and heat are absorbed by the ocean, it is acidifying and ocean circulation can change, changing the rate at which the ocean can absorb atmospheric carbon.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:153", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Higher atmospheric CO2 concentrations have led to an increase in dissolved CO2, which causes ocean acidification.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:559", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "These feedbacks can change the role of the oceans in taking up atmospheric CO 2 making it very difficult to predict how the ocean carbon cycle will operate in the future.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2243
The CO2 amplifies the warming and mixes through the atmosphere, spreading warming throughout the planet.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere:63", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere", "evidence": "The greenhouse effect is a process by which thermal radiation from a planetary atmosphere warms the planet's surface beyond the temperature it would have in the absence of its atmosphere.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:190", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Absorption of infrared light at the vibrational frequencies of atmospheric carbon dioxide traps energy near the surface, warming the surface and the lower atmosphere.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:192", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Increases in atmospheric concentrations of CO 2 and other long-lived greenhouse gases such as methane, nitrous oxide and ozone have correspondingly strengthened their absorption and emission of infrared radiation, causing the rise in average global temperature since the mid-20th century.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse effect:0", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenhouse effect", "evidence": "The greenhouse effect is the process by which radiation from a planet's atmosphere warms the planet's surface to a temperature above what it would be without this atmosphere.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:181", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "Because water vapor is a greenhouse gas, this results in further warming and so is a \"positive feedback\" that amplifies the original warming.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2244
So CO2 causes warming AND rising temperature causes CO2 rise.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:190", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Absorption of infrared light at the vibrational frequencies of atmospheric carbon dioxide traps energy near the surface, warming the surface and the lower atmosphere.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:194", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Not only do increasing carbon dioxide concentrations lead to increases in global surface temperature, but increasing global temperatures also cause increasing concentrations of carbon dioxide.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change feedback:16", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change feedback", "evidence": "The higher CO2 levels led to an additional climate warming ranging between 0.1° and 1.5 °C.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:218", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "CO2 emissions are continuing to rise due to the burning of fossil fuels and land-use change.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:310", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "During the late 20th century, a scientific consensus evolved that increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere cause a substantial rise in global temperatures and changes to other parts of the climate system, with consequences for the environment and for human health.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2245
Overall, about 90% of the global warming occurs after the CO2 increase.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:21", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Since the Industrial Revolution anthropogenic emissions – primarily from use of fossil fuels and deforestation – have rapidly increased its concentration in the atmosphere, leading to global warming.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:153", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Higher atmospheric CO2 concentrations have led to an increase in dissolved CO2, which causes ocean acidification.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:60", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "As of 2011, the concentrations of CO2 and methane had increased by about 40% and 150%, respectively, since pre-industrial times.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:64", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions in 2010 were equivalent to 49 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide (using the most recent global warming potentials over 100 years from the AR5 report).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:244", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "The sharp acceleration in CO 2 emissions since 2000 to more than a 3% increase per year (more than 2 ppm per year) from 1.1% per year during the 1990s is attributable to the lapse of formerly declining trends in carbon intensity of both developing and developed nations.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2246
"His [Dr Spencer's] latest research demonstrates that – in the short term, at any rate – the temperature feedbacks that the IPCC imagines will greatly amplify any initial warming caused by CO2 are net-negative, attenuating the warming they are supposed to enhance.
3DISPUTED
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate change feedback:0", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change feedback", "evidence": "Climate change feedback is important in the understanding of global warming because feedback processes may amplify or diminish the effect of each climate forcing, and so play an important part in determining the climate sensitivity and future climate state.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change feedback:132", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change feedback", "evidence": "Water vapor feedback is strongly positive, with most evidence supporting a magnitude of 1.5 to 2.0 W/m2/K, sufficient to roughly double the warming that would otherwise occur.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change feedback:152", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate change feedback", "evidence": "Both theory and climate models indicate that global warming will reduce the rate of temperature decrease with height, producing a negative lapse rate feedback that weakens the greenhouse effect.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:181", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "Because water vapor is a greenhouse gas, this results in further warming and so is a \"positive feedback\" that amplifies the original warming.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Scientific consensus on climate change:38", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Scientific consensus on climate change", "evidence": "It said that Continued emission of greenhouse gases will cause further warming and long-lasting changes in all components of the climate system, increasing the likelihood of severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts for people and ecosystems.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2247
His best estimate is that the warming in response to a doubling of CO2 concentration, which may happen this century unless the usual suspects get away with shutting down the economies of the West, will be a harmless 1 Fahrenheit degree, not the 6 F predicted by the IPCC."
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate sensitivity:13", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate sensitivity", "evidence": "Without feedbacks the radiative forcing of approximately 3.7 W/m2, due to doubling CO 2 from the pre-industrial 280 ppm, would eventually result in roughly 1 °C global warming.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate sensitivity:53", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Climate sensitivity", "evidence": "In his first paper on the matter, he estimated that global temperature would rise by around 5 to 6 °C (9.0 to 10.8 °F) if the quantity of CO 2 was doubled.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate sensitivity:66", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate sensitivity", "evidence": "The 1990 IPCC First Assessment Report estimated that equilibrium climate sensitivity to a doubling of CO 2 lay between 1.5 and 4.5 °C (2.7 and 8.1 °F), with a \"best guess in the light of current knowledge\" of 2.5 °C (4.5 °F).", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "IPCC Third Assessment Report:12", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "IPCC Third Assessment Report", "evidence": "The TAR estimate for the climate sensitivity is 1.5 to 4.5 °C; and the average surface temperature is projected to increase by 1.4 to 5.8 Celsius degrees over the period 1990 to 2100, and the sea level is projected to rise by 0.1 to 0.9 metres over the same period.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Kyoto Protocol:25", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Kyoto Protocol", "evidence": "The \"likely\" range (as assessed to have a greater than 66% probability of being correct, based on the IPCC's expert judgment) is a projected increase in global mean temperature over the 21st century of between 1.1 and 6.4 °C.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2248
Climate sensitivity can be calculated empirically by comparing past temperature change to natural forcings at the time.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate sensitivity:0", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate sensitivity", "evidence": "Climate sensitivity is the globally averaged temperature change in response to changes in radiative forcing, which can occur, for instance, due to increased levels of carbon dioxide (CO 2).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate sensitivity:109", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate sensitivity", "evidence": "One way is to use estimates of global radiative forcing and temperature directly.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate sensitivity:41", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate sensitivity", "evidence": "Ignoring these factors causes lower estimates of climate sensitivity when using radiative forcing and temperature records from the historical period.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate sensitivity:77", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate sensitivity", "evidence": "Climate sensitivity can be estimated using observed temperature rise, observed ocean heat uptake, and modeled or observed radiative forcing.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate sensitivity:9", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate sensitivity", "evidence": "Climate sensitivity is typically estimated in three ways; by using observations taken during the industrial age, by using temperature and other data from the Earth's past and by modelling the climate system in computers.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2250
Some global warming 'skeptics' argue that the Earth's climate sensitivity is so low that a doubling of atmospheric CO2 will result in a surface temperature change on the order of 1°C or less, and that therefore global warming is nothing to worry about.
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate sensitivity:18", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate sensitivity", "evidence": "The equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) refers to the equilibrium change in global mean near-surface air temperature that would result from a sustained doubling of the atmospheric equivalent CO 2 concentration (ΔT2×).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate sensitivity:51", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate sensitivity", "evidence": "The sensitivity of temperature to atmospheric gasses, most notably CO 2, is often expressed in terms of the change in temperature per doubling of the concentration of the gas.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate sensitivity:53", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Climate sensitivity", "evidence": "In his first paper on the matter, he estimated that global temperature would rise by around 5 to 6 °C (9.0 to 10.8 °F) if the quantity of CO 2 was doubled.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, "REFUTES" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate sensitivity:66", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Climate sensitivity", "evidence": "The 1990 IPCC First Assessment Report estimated that equilibrium climate sensitivity to a doubling of CO 2 lay between 1.5 and 4.5 °C (2.7 and 8.1 °F), with a \"best guess in the light of current knowledge\" of 2.5 °C (4.5 °F).", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, "REFUTES" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate sensitivity:7", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate sensitivity", "evidence": "The transient climate response (TCR) is the amount of temperature increase that might occur at the time when CO2 doubles, having increased gradually by 1% each year.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] } ]
2255
And since the last ice age ended almost exactly 11,500 years ago…" (Ice Age Now)
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Earth:55", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Earth", "evidence": "The last continental glaciation ended 10,000 years ago.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ice age:221", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ice age", "evidence": "The last cold episode of the last glacial period ended about 10,000 years ago.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ice age:226", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ice age", "evidence": "During the most recent North American glaciation, during the latter part of the Last Glacial Maximum (26,000 to 13,300 years ago), ice sheets extended to about 45th parallel north.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ice age:244", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ice age", "evidence": "Accordingly, at glacial times the humid climatic belt that today is situated several latitude degrees further to the S, was shifted much further to the N. Although the last glacial period ended more than 8,000 years ago, its effects can still be felt today.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ice age:93", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ice age", "evidence": "The earth is currently in an interglacial, and the last glacial period ended about 10,000 years ago.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2256
The warming effect from more CO2 greatly outstrips the influence from changes in the Earth's orbit or solar activity, even if solar levels were to drop to Maunder Minimum levels.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Attribution of recent climate change:203", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Attribution of recent climate change", "evidence": "If the Sun was responsible for observed warming, warming of the troposphere at the surface and warming at the top of the stratosphere would be expected as increase solar activity would replenish ozone and oxides of nitrogen.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere:4", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere", "evidence": "CO 2 absorbs and emits infrared radiation at wavelengths of 4.26 µm (asymmetric stretching vibrational mode) and 14.99 µm (bending vibrational mode) and consequently is a greenhouse gas that plays a significant role in influencing Earth's surface temperature through the greenhouse effect.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change feedback:16", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate change feedback", "evidence": "The higher CO2 levels led to an additional climate warming ranging between 0.1° and 1.5 °C.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:131", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "Future warming is projected to have a range of impacts, including sea level rise, increased frequencies and severities of some extreme weather events, loss of biodiversity, and regional changes in agricultural productivity.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ice age:137", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ice age", "evidence": "The consensus is that several factors are important: atmospheric composition, such as the concentrations of carbon dioxide and methane (the specific levels of the previously mentioned gases are now able to be seen with the new ice core samples from EPICA Dome C in Antarctica over the past 800,000 years); changes in the earth's orbit around the Sun known as Milankovitch cycles; the motion of tectonic plates resulting in changes in the relative location and amount of continental and oceanic crust on the earth's surface, which affect wind and ocean currents; variations in solar output; the orbital dynamics of the Earth–Moon system; the impact of relatively large meteorites and volcanism including eruptions of supervolcanoes.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null ] } ]
2257
'Our harmless emissions of trifling quantities of carbon dioxide cannot possibly acidify the oceans.
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:201", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Carbon dioxide dissolves in the ocean to form carbonic acid (H2CO3), bicarbonate (HCO3−) and carbonate (CO32−).", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:211", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Most of the CO 2 taken up by the ocean, which is about 30% of the total released into the atmosphere, forms carbonic acid in equilibrium with bicarbonate.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ null, "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:22", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Carbon dioxide also causes ocean acidification because it dissolves in water to form carbonic acid.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:798", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "\"Marine calcifiers exhibit mixed responses to CO 2-induced ocean acidification\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Marine pollution:92", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Marine pollution", "evidence": "These rising levels of carbon dioxide are acidifying the oceans.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null ] } ]
2260
The current debate on the connection between CO2 emissions and climate change has largely overlooked an independent and equally serious problem, the increasing acidity of our oceans.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:204", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "As the concentration of carbon dioxide increases in the atmosphere, the increased uptake of carbon dioxide into the oceans is causing a measurable decrease in the pH of the oceans, which is referred to as ocean acidification.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:220", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Also, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) writes in their Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report: \"The uptake of anthropogenic carbon since 1750 has led to the ocean becoming more acidic with an average decrease in pH of 0.1 units.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ocean acidification:0", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ocean acidification", "evidence": "Ocean acidification is the ongoing decrease in the pH of the Earth's oceans, caused by the uptake of carbon dioxide (CO 2) from the atmosphere.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ocean acidification:160", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Ocean acidification", "evidence": "This will cause an elevation of ocean alkalinity, leading to the enhancement of the ocean as a reservoir for CO 2 with implications for climate change as more CO 2 leaves the atmosphere for the ocean.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Scientific consensus on climate change:184", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Scientific consensus on climate change", "evidence": "They state further that the \"continuing reliance on combustion of fossil fuels as the world's primary source of energy will lead to much higher atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases, which will, in turn, cause significant increases in surface temperature, sea level, ocean acidification, and their related consequences to the environment and society\".", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] } ]
2261
Last December, the respected  journal “Oceanography” published projections (see graphic below) for this rising acidity, measured by falling pH
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Ocean acidification:194", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Ocean acidification", "evidence": "Limiting global warming to below 2 °C would imply a reduction in surface ocean pH of 0.16 from pre-industrial levels.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ocean acidification:29", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Ocean acidification", "evidence": "It is expected to drop by a further 0.3 to 0.5 pH units (an additional doubling to tripling of today's post-industrial acid concentrations) by 2100 as the oceans absorb more anthropogenic CO 2, the impacts being most severe for coral reefs and the Southern Ocean.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ocean acidification:445", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ocean acidification", "evidence": "\"Dynamic patterns and ecological impacts of declining ocean pH in a high-resolution multi-year dataset\".", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ocean acidification:5", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ocean acidification", "evidence": "Between 1751 and 1996, surface ocean pH is estimated to have decreased from approximately 8.25 to 8.14, representing an increase of almost 30% in H+ ion concentration in the world's oceans.", "entropy": 1.0986123085021973, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ocean acidification:509", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ocean acidification", "evidence": "\"Rising levels of acids in seas may endanger marine life, says study\".", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2262
Since the hockey stick paper in 1998, there have been a number of proxy studies analysing a variety of different sources including corals, stalagmites, tree rings, boreholes and ice cores.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Hockey stick controversy:73", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Hockey stick controversy", "evidence": "For his postdoctoral research, Mann joined Bradley and tree ring specialist Malcolm K. Hughes to develop a new statistical approach to reconstruct underlying spatial patterns of temperature variation combining diverse datasets of proxy information covering different periods across the globe, including a rich resource of tree ring networks for some areas and sparser proxies such as lake sediments, ice cores and corals, as well as some historical records.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Hockey stick controversy:87", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Hockey stick controversy", "evidence": "The Mann, Bradley & Hughes 1998 (MBH98) multiproxy study on \"Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries\" was submitted to the journal Nature on 9 May 1997, accepted on 27 February 1998 and published on 23 April 1998.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Paleoclimatology:2", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Paleoclimatology", "evidence": "Paleoclimatology uses a variety of proxy methods from the Earth and life sciences to obtain data previously preserved within rocks, sediments, boreholes, ice sheets, tree rings, corals, shells, and microfossils.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Proxy (climate):2", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Proxy (climate)", "evidence": "Examples of proxies include ice cores, tree rings, sub-fossil pollen, boreholes, corals, lake and ocean sediments, and carbonate speleothems.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Proxy (climate):86", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Proxy (climate)", "evidence": "Several studies, including and have compiled box and gravity cores in the North Pacific analyzing them for palynological content to determine the distribution of dinocysts and their relationships with sea surface temperature, salinity, productivity and upwelling.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] } ]
2263
They all confirm the original hockey stick conclusion: the 20th century is the warmest in the last 1000 years and that warming was most dramatic after 1920.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Effects of global warming:17", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Effects of global warming", "evidence": "A wide variety of temperature proxies together prove that the 20th century was the hottest recorded in the last 2,000 years.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:21", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Multiple independently produced instrumental datasets confirm that the 2009–2018 decade was 0.93 ± 0.07 °C warmer than the pre-industrial baseline (1850–1900).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:366", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "The period from 1983 to 2012 was likely the warmest 30-year period of the last 1400 years in the Northern Hemisphere, where such assessment is possible (medium confidence).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Hockey stick controversy:154", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Hockey stick controversy", "evidence": "They concluded that although the 20th century was almost certainly the warmest of the millennium, the amount of anthropogenic warming remains uncertain.\"", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:113", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change", "evidence": "They judge that global mean surface air temperature has increased by 0.3 to 0.6 °C over the last 100 years, broadly consistent with prediction of climate models, but also of the same magnitude as natural climate variability.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2266
A number of independent investigations from different countries, universities and government bodies have investigated the stolen emails and found no evidence of wrong doing.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy:244", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy", "evidence": "The Office of the Inspector General (OIG) of the National Science Foundation closed an investigation on 15 August 2011 that exonerated Michael Mann of Pennsylvania State University of charges of scientific misconduct.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy:247", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy", "evidence": "The OIP findings confirmed the university panel's conclusions which cleared Mann of any wrongdoing, and it stated \"Lacking any evidence of research misconduct, as defined under the NSF Research Misconduct Regulation, we are closing the investigation with no further action.\"", "entropy": 1.0986123085021973, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy:7", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy", "evidence": "Eight committees investigated the allegations and published reports, finding no evidence of fraud or scientific misconduct.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Nepal:260", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Nepal", "evidence": "The Commission for the Investigation of Abuse of Authority is an independent investigative agency that investigates and prosecutes cases related to corruption and bribery, in addition to the abuse of authority by government officials and officeholders.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections:197", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections", "evidence": "By January 2017, a multi-agency investigation, conducted by the FBI, the CIA, the NSA, the Justice Department, the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network and representatives of the DNI, was underway looking into how the Russian government may have secretly financed efforts to help Trump win the election had been conducted over several months by six federal agencies.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2267
Focusing on a few suggestive emails, taken out of context, merely serves to distract from the wealth of empirical evidence for man-made global warming.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate change denial:126", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change denial", "evidence": "Despite leaked emails during the Climatic Research Unit email controversy, as well as multinational, independent research on the topic, no evidence of such a conspiracy has been presented, and strong consensus exists among scientists from a multitude of political, social, organizational and national backgrounds about the extent and cause of climate change.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change denial:192", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate change denial", "evidence": "The efforts of Al Gore and other environmental campaigns have focused on the effects of global warming and have managed to increase awareness and concern, but despite these efforts, the number of Americans believing humans are the cause of global warming was holding steady at 61% in 2007, and those believing the popular media was understating the issue remained about 35%.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change denial:693", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change denial", "evidence": "Most of the few statements that critics claim as evidence of malfeasance seem to have more innocent explanations that make sense in the context of scientists conversing privately and informally.\"", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change denial:788", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate change denial", "evidence": "Science education is under attack… by climate change deniers, who ignore a mountain of evidence gathered over the last fifty years that the planet is warming and that humans are largely responsible.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:28", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "The warming evident in the instrumental temperature record is consistent with a wide range of observations, documented by many independent scientific groups; for example, in most continental regions the frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation has increased.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2268
“[T]he 1079 emails and 72 documents seem indeed evidence of a scandal involving most of the most prominent scientists pushing the man-made warming theory - a scandal that is one of the greatest in modern science.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy:278", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy", "evidence": "Writing for Newsweek, journalist Sharon Begley called the controversy a \"highly orchestrated, manufactured scandal\", noting that the public was unlikely to change their mind.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy:286", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy", "evidence": "He said that it was not a single scandal, but \"a sustained and coordinated campaign\" aimed at undermining the credibility of the science.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy:303", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy", "evidence": "An editorial in Nature said that many in the media \"were led by the nose, by those with a clear agenda, to a sizzling scandal that steadily defused as the true facts and context were made clear\".", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy:552", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy", "evidence": "In blogs, talk radio and other new media, we are told that the warnings about future global warming issued by the national science academies, scientific societies, and governments of all the leading nations are not only mistaken, but based on a hoax, indeed a conspiracy that must involve thousands of respected researchers.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy:70", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy", "evidence": "In this context, John Tierney of The New York Times wrote: \"these researchers, some of the most prominent climate experts in Britain and America, seem so focused on winning the public-relations war that they exaggerate their certitude – and ultimately undermine their own cause\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2272
It found the scientists' rigour and honesty are not in doubt, and their behaviour did not prejudice the IPCC's conclusions, though they did fail to display the proper degree of openness.
3DISPUTED
[ { "evidence_id": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy:135", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy", "evidence": "Scientific integrity demands robust, independent peer review, however, and AAAS therefore emphasised that investigations are appropriate whenever significant questions are raised regarding the transparency and rigour of the scientific method, the peer-review process, or the responsibility of individual scientists.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy:163", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy", "evidence": "The committee criticised a \"culture of non-disclosure at CRU\" and a general lack of transparency in climate science where scientific papers had usually not included all the data and code used in reconstructions.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy:239", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climatic Research Unit email controversy", "evidence": "The report, issued on 18 February 2011, cleared the researchers and \"did not find any evidence that NOAA inappropriately manipulated data or failed to adhere to appropriate peer review procedures\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming conspiracy theory:12", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming conspiracy theory", "evidence": "The Muir Russell report stated that the scientists' \"rigor and honesty as scientists are not in doubt,\" that the investigators \"did not find any evidence of behavior that might undermine the conclusions of the IPCC assessments,\" but that there had been \"a consistent pattern of failing to display the proper degree of openness.\"", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:33", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change", "evidence": "This document also states that IPCC will do this work by assessing \"on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis\" of these topics.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2275
[…] Constant 24-7 media coverage of every significant storm worldwide just makes it seem that way.”
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "2003 invasion of Iraq:553", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "2003 invasion of Iraq", "evidence": "This attracted considerable media coverage at the time.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Daniel Bryan:2060", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Daniel Bryan", "evidence": "\"Radican's ROH Respect Is Earned Report 7/20: ongoing \"virtual time\" coverage of PPV\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Gulf War:681", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Gulf War", "evidence": "At the same time, the war's coverage was new in its instantaneousness.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Hurricane Sandy:422", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Hurricane Sandy", "evidence": "The severe and widespread damage the storm caused in the United States, as well as its unusual merger with a frontal system, resulted in the nicknaming of the hurricane \"Superstorm Sandy\" by the media, public officials, and several organizations, including U.S. government agencies.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Hurricane Sandy:76", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Hurricane Sandy", "evidence": "As coverage continued, several media outlets began eschewing this term in favor of \"superstorm\".", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2276
It is unclear whether global warming is increasing hurricane frequency but there is increasing evidence that warming increases hurricane intensity.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Effects of global warming:79", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Effects of global warming", "evidence": "more intense droughts and tropical cyclones) are more uncertain.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Extreme weather:2", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Extreme weather", "evidence": "In recent years, growing evidence suggests that human-induced global warming is increasing the periodicity and intensity of some extreme weather events.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:159", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "The maximum rainfall and wind speed from hurricanes and typhoons are likely increasing.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:28", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "The warming evident in the instrumental temperature record is consistent with a wide range of observations, documented by many independent scientific groups; for example, in most continental regions the frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation has increased.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:9", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "The effects of global warming include rising sea levels, regional changes in precipitation, more frequent extreme weather events such as heat waves, and expansion of deserts.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] } ]
2277
Al Gore's film was "broadly accurate" according to an expert witness called when an attempt was made through the courts to prevent the film being shown in schools.
3DISPUTED
[ { "evidence_id": "Al Gore:399", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Al Gore", "evidence": "In a 2007 court case, a British judge said that while he had \"no doubt ...the film was broadly accurate\" and its \"four main scientific hypotheses ...are supported by a vast quantity of research\", he upheld nine of a \"long schedule\" of alleged errors presented to the court.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Al Gore:400", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Al Gore", "evidence": "He ruled that the film could be shown to schoolchildren in the UK if guidance notes given to teachers were amended to balance out the film's one-sided political views.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "An Inconvenient Truth:249", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "An Inconvenient Truth", "evidence": "The plaintiffs sought an injunction preventing the screening of the film in English schools, arguing that by law schools are forbidden to promote partisan political views and, when dealing with political issues, are required to provide a balanced presentation of opposing views.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "An Inconvenient Truth:251", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "An Inconvenient Truth", "evidence": "The judge ruled that An Inconvenient Truth contained nine scientific errors and thus must be accompanied by an explanation of those errors before being shown to school children.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "An Inconvenient Truth:631", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "An Inconvenient Truth", "evidence": "Gore climate documentary to be shown in schools.", "entropy": 1.0986123085021973, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null ] } ]
2280
While there are minor errors in An Inconvenient Truth, the main truths presented - evidence to show mankind is causing global warming and its various impacts is consistent with peer reviewed science.
3DISPUTED
[ { "evidence_id": "An Inconvenient Truth:106", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "An Inconvenient Truth", "evidence": "The survey, published as an editorial in the journal Science, found that every article either supported the human-caused global warming consensus or did not comment on it.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "An Inconvenient Truth:109", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "An Inconvenient Truth", "evidence": "All 19 climate scientists who had seen the movie or had read the homonymous book said that Gore accurately conveyed the science, with few errors.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "An Inconvenient Truth:54", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "An Inconvenient Truth", "evidence": "Gore's presentation was the most powerful and clear explanation of global warming I had ever seen.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "An Inconvenient Truth:836", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "An Inconvenient Truth", "evidence": "\"Judge attacks nine errors in Al Gore's 'alarmist' climate change film\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:276", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "In the scientific literature, there is an overwhelming consensus that global surface temperatures have increased in recent decades and that the trend is caused mainly by human-induced emissions of greenhouse gases.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2282
While there are isolated cases of growing glaciers, the overwhelming trend in glaciers worldwide is retreat.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Glacier:92", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Glacier", "evidence": "Following the Little Ice Age's end around 1850, glaciers around the Earth have retreated substantially.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Glacier:93", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Glacier", "evidence": "A slight cooling led to the advance of many alpine glaciers between 1950 and 1985, but since 1985 glacier retreat and mass loss has become larger and increasingly ubiquitous.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Himalayas:91", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Himalayas", "evidence": "In recent years, scientists have monitored a notable increase in the rate of glacier retreat across the region as a result of climate change.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Holocene glacial retreat:0", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Holocene glacial retreat", "evidence": "The Holocene glacial retreat is a geographical phenomenon that involved the global deglaciation of glaciers that previously had advanced during the Last Glacial Maximum.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Subantarctic:58", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Subantarctic", "evidence": "Glaciers are currently retreating at significant rates throughout the southern hemisphere.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] } ]
2283
In fact, the global melt rate has been accelerating since the mid-1970s.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Global warming:437", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "This effect results in the increased absorption of radiation that accelerates melting.\"", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:3", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "This acceleration is due mostly to human-caused global warming, which is driving thermal expansion of seawater and the melting of land-based ice sheets and glaciers.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:492", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "\"Antarctica ice melt has accelerated by 280% in the last 4 decades\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:65", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "However scientists have found that ice is being lost, and at an accelerating rate.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:85", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "A 2018 systematic review study estimated that ice loss across the entire continent was 43 gigatons (Gt) per year on average during the period from 1992 to 2002, but has accelerated to an average of 220 Gt per year during the five years from 2012 to 2017.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] } ]
2284
Cosmic ray counts have increased over the past 50 years, so if they do influence global temperatures, they are having a cooling effect.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Eocene:108", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Eocene", "evidence": "Oxygen isotope analysis showed a large negative change in the proportion of heavier oxygen isotopes to lighter oxygen isotopes, which indicates an increase in global temperatures.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:106", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "The main balancing feedback to global temperature change is radiative cooling to space as infrared radiation, which increases strongly with increasing temperature.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:22", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Currently, surface temperatures are rising by about 0.2 °C per decade.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:358", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "IPCC AR5 SYR Glossary 2014, p. 124: Global warming refers to the gradual increase, observed or projected, in global surface temperature, as one of the consequences of radiative forcing caused by anthropogenic emissions.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:79", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Globally, these effects are estimated to have led to a slight cooling, dominated by an increase in surface albedo.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2286
By regulating the Earth’s cloud cover, the Sun can turn the temperature up and down. ...
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate change (general concept):53", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change (general concept)", "evidence": "These variations can affect global average surface temperature by redistributing heat between the deep ocean and the atmosphere and/or by altering the cloud/water vapor/sea ice distribution which can affect the total energy budget of the earth.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Earth:172", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Earth", "evidence": "This last phenomenon is known as the greenhouse effect: trace molecules within the atmosphere serve to capture thermal energy emitted from the ground, thereby raising the average temperature.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:116", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "If cloud cover increases, more sunlight will be reflected back into space, cooling the planet.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:56", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Without the Earth's atmosphere, the Earth's average temperature would be well below the freezing temperature of water.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sun:295", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sun", "evidence": "The temperature of the photosphere is approximately 6,000 K, whereas the temperature of the corona reaches 1,000,000–2,000,000 K. The high temperature of the corona shows that it is heated by something other than direct heat conduction from the photosphere.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2288
While the link between cosmic rays and cloud cover is yet to be confirmed, more importantly, there has been no correlation between cosmic rays and global temperatures over the last 30 years of global warming.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Attribution of recent climate change:231", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Attribution of recent climate change", "evidence": "Together with the lack of a proven physical mechanism and the plausibility of other causal factors affecting changes in cloud cover, this makes the association between galactic cosmic ray-induced changes in aerosol and cloud formation controversial Studies by Lockwood and Fröhlich (2007) and Sloan and Wolfendale (2008) found no relation between warming in recent decades and cosmic rays.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Cosmic ray:216", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Cosmic ray", "evidence": "Despite Svensmark's assertions, galactic cosmic rays have shown no statistically significant influence on changes in cloud cover, and have been demonstrated in studies to have no causal relationship to changes in global temperature.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Henrik Svensmark:62", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Henrik Svensmark", "evidence": "Sloan and Wolfendale (2013) demonstrated that while temperature models showed a small correlation every 22 years, less than 14 percent of global warming since the 1950s could be attributed to cosmic ray rate.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Henrik Svensmark:64", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Henrik Svensmark", "evidence": "Another 2013 study found, contrary to Svensmark's claims, \"no statistically significant correlations between cosmic rays and global albedo or globally averaged cloud height.\"", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Henrik Svensmark:65", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Henrik Svensmark", "evidence": "In 2013, a laboratory study by Svensmark, Pepke and Pedersen published in Physics Letters A showed, that there is in fact a correlation between cosmic rays and the formation of aerosols of the type that seed clouds.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2289
In fact, in recent years when cosmic rays should have been having their largest cooling effect on record, temperatures have been at their highest on record.
3DISPUTED
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate change (general concept):96", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change (general concept)", "evidence": "On average, such eruptions occur several times per century, and cause cooling (by partially blocking the transmission of solar radiation to the Earth's surface) for a period of several years.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Instrumental temperature record:84", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Instrumental temperature record", "evidence": "Even accounting for the presence of internal climate variability, recent years rank among the warmest on record.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Mercury (planet):14", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Mercury (planet)", "evidence": "Having almost no atmosphere to retain heat, it has surface temperatures that vary diurnally more than on any other planet in the Solar System, ranging from 100 K (−173 °C; −280 °F) at night to 700 K (427 °C; 800 °F) during the day across the equatorial regions.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Solar System:152", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Solar System", "evidence": "It is the hottest planet, with surface temperatures over 400 °C (752 °F), most likely due to the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Venus:65", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Venus", "evidence": "The actual temperatures are not known, because the size of the hot spots could not be measured, but are likely to have been in the 800–1,100 K (527–827 °C; 980–1,520 °F) range, relative to a normal temperature of 740 K (467 °C; 872 °F).", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2290
Hypothetically, an increasing solar magnetic field could deflect galactic cosmic rays, which hypothetically seed low-level clouds, thus decreasing the Earth's reflectivity and causing global warming.
3DISPUTED
[ { "evidence_id": "Attribution of recent climate change:224", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Attribution of recent climate change", "evidence": "Henrik Svensmark has suggested that the magnetic activity of the sun deflects cosmic rays, and that this may influence the generation of cloud condensation nuclei, and thereby have an effect on the climate.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Cosmic ray:133", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Cosmic ray", "evidence": "In addition, the Earth's magnetic field acts to deflect cosmic rays from its surface, giving rise to the observation that the flux is apparently dependent on latitude, longitude, and azimuth angle.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Cosmic ray:213", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Cosmic ray", "evidence": "Danish physicist Henrik Svensmark has controversially argued that because solar variation modulates the cosmic ray flux on Earth, they would consequently affect the rate of cloud formation and hence be an indirect cause of global warming.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:116", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "If cloud cover increases, more sunlight will be reflected back into space, cooling the planet.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:89", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "This effect also causes droplets to be of more uniform size, which reduces the growth of raindrops and makes clouds more reflective to incoming sunlight.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2293
Steve McIntyre noticed a strange discontinuity in US temperature data, occurring around January 2000.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Steve McIntyre:21", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Steve McIntyre", "evidence": "In 2002, McIntyre became interested in climate science after a leaflet from the Canadian government warning of the dangers of global warming was delivered to his residence.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Steve McIntyre:22", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Steve McIntyre", "evidence": "McIntyre states that he noticed discrepancies in climate science papers that reminded him of the false prospectus that had duped investors involved in the Bre-X gold mining scandal.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Steve McIntyre:40", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Steve McIntyre", "evidence": "In 2007, McIntyre started auditing the various corrections made to temperature records, in particular those relating to the urban heat island effect.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Steve McIntyre:41", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Steve McIntyre", "evidence": "He discovered a discontinuity in some U.S. records in the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) dataset starting in January 2000.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Steve McIntyre:43", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Steve McIntyre", "evidence": "The adjustment reduced the average temperatures for the continental United States by about 0.15 °C during the years 2000-2006.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2295
As a result, "The warmest year on US record is now 1934.
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "2000s (decade):2036", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "2000s (decade)", "evidence": "This decade is on track to become the warmest since records began in 1850, and 2009 could rank among the top-five warmest years, the U.N. weather agency reported Tuesday on the second day of a pivotal 192-nation climate conference.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change in the United States:166", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Climate change in the United States", "evidence": "2013 was the warmest year ever in the contiguous United States and about one-third of all Americans experienced 10 days or more of 100-degree heat.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change in the United States:3", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Climate change in the United States", "evidence": "In 2012, the United States experienced its warmest year on record.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change in the United States:47", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Climate change in the United States", "evidence": "The U.S. had its warmest March–May on record in 2012.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "New York City:239", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "New York City", "evidence": "The warmest year on record is 2012, with a mean temperature of 57.4 °F (14.1 °C).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2298
(2012 is now the hottest by a wide margin), but the USA only comprises 2% of the globe.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Florida:153", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Florida", "evidence": "With a population of more than 18 million, according to the 2010 census, Florida is the most populous state in the southeastern United States and the third-most populous in the United States.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Florida:163", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Florida", "evidence": "Florida is west of The Bahamas and 90 miles (140 km) north of Cuba.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Florida:177", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Florida", "evidence": "With an average daily temperature of 70.7 °F (21.5 °C), it is the warmest state in the U.S.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Florida:299", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Florida", "evidence": "In 2012, 75% of the population lived within 10 miles (16 km) of the coastline.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Florida:462", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Florida", "evidence": "This is down from a peak of 17.1% in 2012.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2300
"Austria is today seeing its earliest snowfall in history with 30 to 40 centimetres already predicted in the mountains.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Austria:115", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Austria", "evidence": "From 1925 to 1929, the economy enjoyed a short high before nearly crashing[clarification needed] after Black Tuesday.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Austria:265", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Austria", "evidence": "Austria lies between latitudes 46° and 49° N, and longitudes 9° and 18° E. It can be divided into five areas, the biggest being the Eastern Alps, which constitute 62% of the nation's total area.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Austria:275", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Austria", "evidence": "Although Austria is cold in the winter (−10 to 0 °C), summer temperatures can be relatively high, with average temperatures in the mid-20s and a highest temperature of 40.5 °C (105 °F) in August 2013.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Vienna:122", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Vienna", "evidence": "Spring is variable and autumn cool, with possible snowfalls already in November.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Vienna:97", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Vienna", "evidence": "This law of neutrality, passed in late October 1955 (and not the State Treaty itself), ensured that modern Austria would align with neither NATO nor the Soviet bloc, and is considered one of the reasons for Austria's delayed entry into the European Union in 1995.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2302
Since the mid 1970s, global temperatures have been warming at around 0.2 degrees Celsius per decade.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Global warming:1137", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Global Warming of 1.5 °C.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:21", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Multiple independently produced instrumental datasets confirm that the 2009–2018 decade was 0.93 ± 0.07 °C warmer than the pre-industrial baseline (1850–1900).", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:22", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Currently, surface temperatures are rising by about 0.2 °C per decade.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:93", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Limiting new black carbon deposits in the Arctic could reduce global warming by 0.2 °C by 2050.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Instrumental temperature record:13", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Instrumental temperature record", "evidence": "For 1979 to 2012, the linear warming trend for combined land and sea temperatures has been 0.155 °C (0.122 to 0.188 °C) per decade, according to AR5.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2303
However, weather imposes its own dramatic ups and downs over the long term trend.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Tropical cyclone:137", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Tropical cyclone", "evidence": "All these effects can combine to produce a dramatic drop in sea surface temperature over a large area in just a few days.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Tropical cyclone:358", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Tropical cyclone", "evidence": "Kerry Emanuel stated, \"Records of hurricane activity worldwide show an upswing of both the maximum wind speed in and the duration of hurricanes.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Weather:11", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Weather", "evidence": "Surface temperature differences in turn cause pressure differences.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Weather:38", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Weather", "evidence": "In some situations, the temperature actually increases with height.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Weather:63", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Weather", "evidence": "Aside from climatic changes that have caused the gradual drift of populations (for example the desertification of the Middle East, and the formation of land bridges during glacial periods), extreme weather events have caused smaller scale population movements and intruded directly in historical events.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2304
We expect to see record cold temperatures even during global warming.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Global cooling:70", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global cooling", "evidence": "\"Judging from the record of the past interglacial ages, the present time of high temperatures should be drawing to an end, to be followed by a long period of considerably colder temperatures leading into the next glacial age some 20,000 years from now.\"", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:0", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Global warming is the long-term rise in the average temperature of the Earth's climate system.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:174", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "It is expected that most ecosystems will be affected by higher atmospheric CO2 levels and higher global temperatures.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:21", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Multiple independently produced instrumental datasets confirm that the 2009–2018 decade was 0.93 ± 0.07 °C warmer than the pre-industrial baseline (1850–1900).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:463", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "This is much colder than the conditions that actually exist at the Earth's surface (the global mean surface temperature is about 14 °C).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2305
Nevertheless over the last decade, daily record high temperatures occurred twice as often as record lows.
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "Atlanta:142", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Atlanta", "evidence": "Lows at or below freezing can be expected 40 nights annually, but extended stretches with daily high temperatures below 40 °F (4 °C) are very rare, with a recent exception in January 2014.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Córdoba, Argentina:92", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Córdoba, Argentina", "evidence": "The record low temperature for Córdoba is −8.3 °C (17.1 °F).", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Córdoba, Argentina:95", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Córdoba, Argentina", "evidence": "It is not unusual to see temperatures drop 20 °C (36 °F) from one day to another, or to have frost following extreme heat.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Istanbul:147", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Istanbul", "evidence": "During these summer months, high temperatures average around 29 °C (84 °F) and rainfall is uncommon; there are only about fifteen days with measurable precipitation between June and August.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Tucson, Arizona:257", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Tucson, Arizona", "evidence": "There is an average of 145.0 days annually with highs of 90 °F (32 °C) or higher and an average of 16.9 days with lows reaching or below the freezing mark.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2308
"The 30 major droughts of the 20th century were likely natural in all respects; and, hence, they are "indicative of what could also happen in the future," as Narisma
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "Drought:107", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Drought", "evidence": "Australia could experience more severe droughts and they could become more frequent in the future, a government-commissioned report said on July 6, 2008.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Effects of global warming:188", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Effects of global warming", "evidence": "Some evidence suggests that droughts have been occurring more frequently because of global warming and they are expected to become more frequent and intense in Africa, southern Europe, the Middle East, most of the Americas, Australia, and Southeast Asia.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Illinois:1081", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Illinois", "evidence": "\"The Longest Running Title Droughts in Sports\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sahel drought:55", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Sahel drought", "evidence": "Originally it was believed that the drought in the Sahel primarily was caused by humans over-using natural resources in the region through overgrazing, deforestation and poor land management.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "United States:680", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "United States", "evidence": "Increased variability and intensity of rainfall as a result of climate change is expected to produce both more severe droughts and flooding, with potentially serious consequences for water supply and for pollution from combined sewer overflows.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2312
Everybody knows that the Pacific island of Tuvalu is sinking. ...
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Tuvalu:0", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Tuvalu", "evidence": "Coordinates: 8°31′15″S 179°11′55″E / 8.52083°S 179.19861°E / -8.52083; 179.19861 Tuvalu (/tuːˈvɑːluː/ too-VAH-loo) (formerly known as the Ellice Islands), is a country in Polynesia, located in the Pacific Ocean, situated in Oceania and about midway between Hawaii and Australia.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Tuvalu:1473", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Tuvalu", "evidence": "\"A rising tide: Planning the future of a sinking island\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Tuvalu:1616", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Tuvalu", "evidence": "\"'Sinking' Pacific nation is getting bigger, showing islands are geologically dynamic: study | The Japan Times\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Tuvalu:1686", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Tuvalu", "evidence": "\"Coral islands defy sea-level rise over the past century: Records from a central Pacific atoll\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Tuvalu:590", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Tuvalu", "evidence": "Spanish discoveries in the Central Pacific.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2313
Around 1990 it became obvious the local tide-gauge did not agree - there was no evidence of 'sinking.'
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "Sinking of MV Sewol:214", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sinking of MV Sewol", "evidence": "As of 17 April 2014, the ROK Coast Guard concluded that an \"unreasonably sudden turn\" to starboard, made between 8:48 and 8:49 a.m. (KST), caused the cargo to shift to port, which in turn caused the ship to list and to eventually become unmanageable for the crew.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sinking of the RMS Lusitania:242", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sinking of the RMS Lusitania", "evidence": "Although he might have achieved 21 knots and had given orders to raise steam ready to do so, he was also under orders to time his arrival at Liverpool for high tide so that the ship would not have to wait to enter port.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sinking of the RMS Lusitania:248", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sinking of the RMS Lusitania", "evidence": "The three had agreed that the Admiralty warning of \"submarine activity 20 miles (32 km) south of Coningbeg\" effectively overrode other Admiralty advice to keep to 'mid channel', which was precisely where the submarine had been reported.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sinking of the RMS Titanic:390", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sinking of the RMS Titanic", "evidence": "Now, without warning she seemed to start forward, moving forward and into the water at an angle of about fifteen degrees.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sinking of the RMS Titanic:95", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Sinking of the RMS Titanic", "evidence": "He also stated that \"I believe it must have been in places, not a continuous rip\", but that the different openings must have extended along an area of around 300 feet, to account for the flooding in several compartments.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2317
What they find is sea level rise has been steadily accelerating over the past century.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:2", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "More precise data gathered from satellite radar measurements reveal an accelerating rise of 7.5 cm (3.0 in) from 1993 to 2017, which is a trend of roughly 30 cm (12 in) per century.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:492", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "\"Antarctica ice melt has accelerated by 280% in the last 4 decades\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:5", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "Climate scientists expect the rate to further accelerate during the 21st century.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:65", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "However scientists have found that ice is being lost, and at an accelerating rate.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:85", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "A 2018 systematic review study estimated that ice loss across the entire continent was 43 gigatons (Gt) per year on average during the period from 1992 to 2002, but has accelerated to an average of 220 Gt per year during the five years from 2012 to 2017.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2318
A paper by Ross McKitrick, an economics professor at the University of Guelph, and Patrick Michaels, an environmental studies professor at the University of Virginia, concludes that half of the global warming trend from 1980 to 2002 is caused by Urban Heat Island.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Hockey stick controversy:259", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Hockey stick controversy", "evidence": "McIntyre agreed, and made contact with University of Guelph economics professor Ross McKitrick, a senior fellow of the Fraser Institute which opposed the Kyoto treaty, and co-author of Taken By Storm: The Troubled Science, Policy and Politics of Global Warming.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Patrick Michaels:27", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Patrick Michaels", "evidence": "A 2002 article published in the journal Climate Research by Michaels and three other scholars has predicted \"a warming range of 1.3–3.0°C, with a central value of 1.9°C\" over the 1990 to 2100 period, although he remarked that the \"temperature range and central values determined in our study may be too great.\"", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Patrick Michaels:3", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Patrick Michaels", "evidence": "Until 2007 he was research professor of environmental sciences at the University of Virginia, where he had worked from 1980.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ross McKitrick:2", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ross McKitrick", "evidence": "McKitrick has authored works about environmental economics and climate change issues, including co-authoring the book Taken by Storm: The Troubled Science, Policy and Politics of Global Warming, published in 2002.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Urban heat island:331", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Urban heat island", "evidence": "For example, Ross McKitrick and Patrick J. Michaels conducted a statistical study of surface-temperature data regressed against socioeconomic indicators, and concluded that about half of the observed warming trend (for 1979–2002) could be accounted for by the residual UHI effects in the corrected temperature data set they studied—which had already been processed to remove the (modeled) UHI contribution.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] } ]
2319
While urban areas are undoubtedly warmer than surrounding rural areas, this has had little to no impact on warming trends.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Urban heat island:0", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Urban heat island", "evidence": "An urban heat island (UHI) is an urban area or metropolitan area that is significantly warmer than its surrounding rural areas due to human activities.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Urban heat island:103", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Urban heat island", "evidence": "On the other hand, one 1999 comparison between urban and rural areas proposed that urban heat island effects have little influence on global mean temperature trends.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, "SUPPORTS" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Urban heat island:42", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Urban heat island", "evidence": "Surfaces in the urban areas tend to warm faster than those of the surrounding rural areas.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Urbanization:108", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Urbanization", "evidence": "As a result, cities are often 1 to 3 °C (1.8 to 5.4 °F) warmer than surrounding landscapes.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Urbanization:469", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Urbanization", "evidence": "For North America and Europe, such practice could reduce earth warming trends.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] } ]
2320
While the Medieval Warm Period saw unusually warm temperatures in some regions, globally the planet was cooler than current conditions.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Medieval Warm Period:17", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Medieval Warm Period", "evidence": "Global temperature records taken from ice cores, tree rings, and lake deposits, have shown that the Earth may have been slightly cooler globally (by 0.03 °C) than in the early and mid-20th century.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Medieval Warm Period:24", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Medieval Warm Period", "evidence": "Their reconstruction of the pattern is characterised by warmth over large part of North Atlantic, Southern Greenland, the Eurasian Arctic, and parts of North America which appears to substantially exceed that of the late 20th century (1961–1990) baseline and is comparable or exceeds that of the past decade or two in some regions.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Medieval Warm Period:25", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Medieval Warm Period", "evidence": "Certain regions, such as central Eurasia, northwestern North America, and (with less confidence) parts of the South Atlantic, exhibit anomalous coolness.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Medieval Warm Period:36", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Medieval Warm Period", "evidence": "study found warmth exceeding 1961–1990 levels in Southern Greenland and parts of North America during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (defined in the study from 950 to 1250) with warmth in some regions exceeding temperatures of the 1990–2010 period.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Medieval Warm Period:66", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Medieval Warm Period", "evidence": "They also found that the warming during the 10–14th centuries in some regions might be comparable in magnitude to the warming of the last few decades of the 20th century, which was unprecedented within the past 500 years.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2323
Now scientists are telling us that Mars is experiencing its own planetary warming: Martian warming.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Extraterrestrial atmosphere:266", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Extraterrestrial atmosphere", "evidence": "\"Mars Melt Hints at Solar, Not Human, Cause for Warming, Scientist Says\".", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Mars ocean hypothesis:76", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Mars ocean hypothesis", "evidence": "As Tharsis volcanoes erupted they added huge amounts of gases into the atmosphere that created a global warming, thereby allowing liquid water to exist.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Mars:119", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Mars", "evidence": "Other scientists caution that these results have not been confirmed, and point out that Martian climate models have not yet shown that the planet was warm enough in the past to support bodies of liquid water.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "REFUTES" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Mars:224", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Mars", "evidence": "They tend to occur when Mars is closest to the Sun, and have been shown to increase the global temperature.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Martian:39", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Martian", "evidence": "They invade Earth because Mars is dying, and they need a warmer planet to live.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] } ]
2325
Martian climate is primarily driven by dust and albedo and there is little empirical evidence that Mars is showing long term warming.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate of Mars:256", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate of Mars", "evidence": "Precession in the alignment of the obliquity and eccentricity lead to global warming and cooling ('great' summers and winters) with a period of 170,000 years.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate of Mars:261", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate of Mars", "evidence": "Current research suggests that Mars is in a warm interglacial period which has lasted more than 100,000 years.", "entropy": 1.0397207736968994, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate of Mars:32", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate of Mars", "evidence": "Geomorphic observations of both landscape erosion rates and Martian valley networks also strongly imply warmer, wetter conditions on Noachian-era Mars (earlier than about four billion years ago).", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Mars:215", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Mars", "evidence": "The wide range in temperatures is due to the thin atmosphere which cannot store much solar heat, the low atmospheric pressure, and the low thermal inertia of Martian soil.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Mars:286", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Mars", "evidence": "Their low albedo and carbonaceous chondrite composition have been regarded as similar to asteroids, supporting the capture theory.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] } ]
2326
"In 2007, the Northern Hemisphere reached a record low in ice coverage and the Northwest Passage was opened.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate change in the Arctic:29", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate change in the Arctic", "evidence": "The 2007 melt season let to a minimum 39% below the 1979–2000 average, and for the first time in human memory, the fabled Northwest Passage opened completely.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Northwest Passage:29", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Northwest Passage", "evidence": "On August 21, 2007, the Northwest Passage became open to ships without the need of an icebreaker.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Northwest Passage:31", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Northwest Passage", "evidence": "The Northwest Passage opened again on August 25, 2008.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Northwest Passage:356", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Northwest Passage", "evidence": "On September 14, 2007, the European Space Agency stated that ice loss that year had opened up the historically impassable passage, setting a new low of ice cover as seen in satellite measurements which went back to 1978.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Northwest Passage:358", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Northwest Passage", "evidence": "The extreme loss in 2007 rendered the passage \"fully navigable\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2328
What you were not told was that the data that triggered this record is only available back to the late 1970s.
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "Criticism of NASCAR:14", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Criticism of NASCAR", "evidence": "The Car of Tomorrow was first tested in December 2005, and was first revealed to the public in 2006, with numerous safety improvements being touted.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "D. B. Cooper:134", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "D. B. Cooper", "evidence": "In late 2007, the FBI announced that a partial DNA profile had been obtained from three organic samples found on Cooper's clip-on tie in 2001, though they later acknowledged that there is no evidence that the hijacker was the source of the sample material.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Roswell UFO incident:160", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Roswell UFO incident", "evidence": "Podesta stated, \"It is time for the government to declassify records that are more than 25 years old and to provide scientists with data that will assist in determining the true nature of the phenomena.\"", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Steele dossier:556", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Steele dossier", "evidence": "The Inspector General investigation by Michael E. Horowitz, published December 9, 2019, expressed doubts about the dossier's reliability and sources: The FBI concluded, among other things, that although consistent with known efforts by Russia to interfere in the 2016 U.S. elections, much of the material in the Steele election reports, including allegations about Donald Trump and members of the Trump campaign relied upon in the Carter Page FISA applications, could not be corroborated; that certain allegations were inaccurate or inconsistent with information gathered by the Crossfire Hurricane team; and that the limited information that was corroborated related to time, location, and title information, much of which was publicly available.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Steele dossier:624", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Steele dossier", "evidence": "The FBI Operation Crossfire Hurricane investigation into Russian interference, which started on July 31, 2016, was not triggered by the dossier, but the dossier is still the subject of the Russia investigation origins counter-narrative, a conspiracy theory pushed by Trump and Fox News.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2329
We know the Northwest Passage had been open before."
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Northwest Passage:167", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Northwest Passage", "evidence": "The only usable route linking the entrances of Lancaster Sound and Dolphin and Union Strait was discovered by John Rae in 1854.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Northwest Passage:29", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Northwest Passage", "evidence": "On August 21, 2007, the Northwest Passage became open to ships without the need of an icebreaker.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Northwest Passage:356", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Northwest Passage", "evidence": "On September 14, 2007, the European Space Agency stated that ice loss that year had opened up the historically impassable passage, setting a new low of ice cover as seen in satellite measurements which went back to 1978.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Northwest Passage:4", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Northwest Passage", "evidence": "An ice-bound northern route was discovered in 1850 by the Irish explorer Robert McClure; it was through a more southerly opening in an area explored by the Scotsman John Rae in 1854 that Norwegian Roald Amundsen made the first complete passage in 1903–1906.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Northwest Passage:95", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Northwest Passage", "evidence": "In 1602, George Weymouth became the first European to explore what would later be called Hudson Strait when he sailed Discovery 300 nautical miles (560 km) into the Strait.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2330
Arctic sea ice has been retreating over the past 30 years.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Arctic:19", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Arctic", "evidence": "Due to the poleward migration of the planet's isotherms (about 56 km (35 mi) per decade during the past 30 years as a consequence of global warming), the Arctic region (as defined by tree line and temperature) is currently shrinking.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:150", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Global warming has led to decades of shrinking and thinning of the Arctic sea ice, making it vulnerable to atmospheric anomalies.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:2008", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "\"What drove the dramatic arctic sea ice retreat during summer 2007?\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea ice:115", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Sea ice", "evidence": "A composite record of Arctic ice demonstrates that the floes' retreat began around 1900, experiencing more rapid melting beginning within the past 50 years.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:492", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "\"Antarctica ice melt has accelerated by 280% in the last 4 decades\".", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2333
"While major green house gas H2O substantially warms the Earth, minor green house gases such as CO2 have little effect....
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Earth:206", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Earth", "evidence": "Consequently, summers are 2.3 °C (4 °F) warmer in the Northern Hemisphere than in the Southern Hemisphere under similar conditions.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:58", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Increased concentrations of gases such as CO 2 (~20%), ozone and N 2O are external forcing on the other hand.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:815", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "She found moist air warmed more than dry air, and CO 2 warmed most, so she concluded higher levels of this in the past would have increased temperatures: Huddleston 2019.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:42", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "The surprising effect of this is that the global warming potential of CO is three times that of CO 2.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:624", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "\"Rapid atmospheric CO 2 changes associated with the 8,200-years-B.P.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2335
Satellite measurements of infrared spectra over the past 40 years observe less energy escaping to space at the wavelengths associated with CO2.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "European Southern Observatory:222", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "European Southern Observatory", "evidence": "Cosmic-temperature measurements The VLT has detected, for the first time, carbon-monoxide molecules in a galaxy located almost 11 billion light-years away.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Infrared:104", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Infrared", "evidence": "The LWIR (8–15 μm) region is especially useful since some radiation at these wavelengths can escape into space through the atmosphere.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Satellite temperature measurements:33", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Satellite temperature measurements", "evidence": "The three channels use the same frequency but different carbon dioxide cell pressure, the corresponding weighting functions peaks at 29 km for channel 1, 37 km for channel 2 and 45 km for channel 3.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Satellite temperature measurements:34", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Satellite temperature measurements", "evidence": "The process of deriving trends from SSUs measurement has proved particularly difficult because of satellites drift, inter-calibration between different satellite with scant overlap and gas leak in the instrument carbon dioxide pressure cell, furthermore since the radiances measured by SSUs are due to emission by carbon dioxide the weighting functions move to higher altitudes as the carbon dioxide concentration in the stratosphere increase.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Satellite temperature measurements:4", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Satellite temperature measurements", "evidence": "They measure radiances in various wavelength bands.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2336
Surface measurements find more downward infrared radiation warming the planet's surface.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Cloud:326", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Cloud", "evidence": "Most of the sunlight that reaches the ground is absorbed, warming the surface, which emits radiation upward at longer, infrared, wavelengths.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Cloud:328", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Cloud", "evidence": "The water reacts by radiating, also in the infrared, both upward and downward, and the downward longwave radiation results in increased warming at the surface.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Earth:179", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Earth", "evidence": "Energy from the Sun heats this layer, and the surface below, causing expansion of the air.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:312", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "The warmed surface emits infrared radiation, but the atmosphere is relatively opaque to infrared and slows the emission of energy, warming the planet.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:54", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "This heat, in the form of infrared radiation, gets absorbed and emitted by these gases in the atmosphere, thus warming the lower atmosphere and the surface.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] } ]
2337
This provides a direct, empirical causal link between CO2 and global warming.
3DISPUTED
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate change (general concept):78", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate change (general concept)", "evidence": "During the glacial cycles, there was a high correlation between CO 2 concentrations and temperatures.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Correlation does not imply causation:102", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Correlation does not imply causation", "evidence": "To establish a correlation as causal within physics, it is normally understood that the cause and the effect must connect through a local mechanism (cf.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:170", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "One potential source of abrupt climate change would be the rapid release of methane and carbon dioxide from permafrost, which would amplify global warming.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:294", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Although there are a few areas of linkage, the relationship between the two is weak.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:319", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Other scientists were initially sceptical and believed the greenhouse effect to be saturated so that adding more CO 2 would make no difference.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2338
The amount of warming caused by the anthropogenic increase in atmospheric CO2 may be one of the most misunderstood subjects in climate science.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:642", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "\"How do we know more CO2 is causing warming?\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse effect:50", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenhouse effect", "evidence": "Their effects, together with those of other anthropogenic drivers, have been detected throughout the climate system and are extremely likely to have been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century'\".", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:130", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "It is likely that anthropogenic (i.e., human-induced) warming, such as that due to elevated greenhouse gas levels, has had a discernible influence on many physical and biological systems.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:42", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "The surprising effect of this is that the global warming potential of CO is three times that of CO 2.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Scientific consensus on climate change:136", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Scientific consensus on climate change", "evidence": "Most of the climatic warming over the last 50 years is likely to have been caused by increased concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.", "entropy": 1.0397207736968994, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] } ]
2344
Early estimates of ocean heat from the Argo showed a cooling bias due to pressure sensor issues.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Argo (oceanography):5", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Argo (oceanography)", "evidence": "In most cases probes drift at a depth of 1000 metres (the so-called parking depth) and, every 10 days, by changing their buoyancy, dive to a depth of 2000 metres and then move to the sea-surface, measuring conductivity and temperature profiles as well as pressure.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Argo (oceanography):56", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Argo (oceanography)", "evidence": "Such measurements are important for developing a comprehensive understanding of the ocean, such as trends in heat content.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Argo (oceanography):95", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Argo (oceanography)", "evidence": "David Morrison reports that \"[b]oth of these data sets show clear signatures of heat deposition in the ocean, from the temperature changes in the top 2 km of water and from the expansion of the ocean water due to heating.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ocean heat content:11", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Ocean heat content", "evidence": "Ocean heat content can be estimated using temperature measurements obtained by a Nansen bottle, an ARGO float, or ocean acoustic tomography.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Shutdown of thermohaline circulation:58", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Shutdown of thermohaline circulation", "evidence": "Based on coupled Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Models from 2001, the THC tends to weaken somewhat rather than stop, and the warming effects outweigh the cooling, even over Europe.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2347
In truth, the overwhelming majority of climate-research funding comes from the federal government and left-wing foundations.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "American Legislative Exchange Council:251", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "American Legislative Exchange Council", "evidence": "Greenpeace claims that ALEC has received $525,858 from Koch foundations between 2005 and 2011.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change denial:1047", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change denial", "evidence": "Over the last 14 years Willie Soon, a researcher at the Harvard-Smithsonian Centre for Astrophysics, received a total of $1.25m from Exxon Mobil, Southern Company, the American Petroleum Institute (API) and a foundation run by the ultra-conservative Koch brothers… the biggest single funder was Southern Company, one of the country's biggest electricity providers that relies heavily on coal.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change denial:230", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change denial", "evidence": "Between 2003 and 2013, the donor-advised funds Donors Trust and Donors Capital Fund, combined, were the largest funders, accounting for about one quarter of the total funds, and the American Enterprise Institute was the largest recipient, 16% of the total funds.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:297", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Organizations such as the libertarian Competitive Enterprise Institute, as well as conservative commentators, have challenged IPCC climate change scenarios, funded scientists who disagree with the scientific consensus, and provided their own projections of the economic cost of stricter controls.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ted Cruz:288", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ted Cruz", "evidence": "Proponents of the bill argued that it would provide steady funding to support research and restoration projects, funded primarily by dedicating 12.5% of revenues from offshore energy development, including oil, gas, and renewable energy, through offshore lease sales and production based royalty payments, distributed through a competitive grant program.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2358
The CO2 that nature emits (from the ocean and vegetation) is balanced by natural absorptions (again by the ocean and vegetation).
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere:86", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere", "evidence": "Most sources of CO 2 emissions are natural, and are balanced to various degrees by natural CO 2 sinks.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:187", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Currently, about half of the carbon dioxide released from the burning of fossil fuels remains in the atmosphere and is not absorbed by vegetation and the oceans.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:211", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Most of the CO 2 taken up by the ocean, which is about 30% of the total released into the atmosphere, forms carbonic acid in equilibrium with bicarbonate.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:231", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "During active photosynthesis, plants can absorb more carbon dioxide from the atmosphere than they release in respiration.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:249", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Additionally, and crucially to life on earth, photosynthesis by phytoplankton consumes dissolved CO 2 in the upper ocean and thereby promotes the absorption of CO 2 from the atmosphere.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2359
Therefore human emissions upset the natural balance, rising CO2 to levels not seen in at least 800,000 years.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere:140", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere", "evidence": "While CO 2 absorption and release is always happening as a result of natural processes, the recent rise in CO 2 levels in the atmosphere is known to be mainly due to human (anthropogenic) activity.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "SUPPORTS" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:186", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Human activities have caused CO 2 to increase above levels not seen in hundreds of thousands of years.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:3", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "The current concentration is about 0.04% (410 ppm) by volume, having risen from pre-industrial levels of 280 ppm.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:62", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "These levels are much higher than at any time during the last 800,000 years, the period for which reliable data have been collected from ice cores.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:244", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "The sharp acceleration in CO 2 emissions since 2000 to more than a 3% increase per year (more than 2 ppm per year) from 1.1% per year during the 1990s is attributable to the lapse of formerly declining trends in carbon intensity of both developing and developed nations.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] } ]
2360
In fact, human emit 26 gigatonnes of CO2 per year while CO2 in the atmosphere is rising by only 15 gigatonnes per year - much of human CO2 emissions is being absorbed by natural sinks.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:185", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Human activities emit about 29 billion tons of carbon dioxide per year, while volcanoes emit between 0.2 and 0.3 billion tons.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:203", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "The oceans act as an enormous carbon sink, and have taken up about a third of CO 2 emitted by human activity.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon sink:49", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon sink", "evidence": "Presently, oceans are CO2 sinks, and represent the largest active carbon sink on Earth, absorbing more than a quarter of the carbon dioxide that humans put into the air.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:109", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "In the modern era, emissions to the atmosphere from volcanoes are approximately 0.645 billion tonnes of CO 2 per year, whereas humans contribute 29 billion tonnes of CO 2 each year.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:6", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "This increase has occurred despite the uptake of more than half of the emissions by various natural \"sinks\" involved in the carbon cycle.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2361
"Unquestionably, the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was formed to build the scientific case for humanity being the primary cause of global warming.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Attribution of recent climate change:3", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Attribution of recent climate change", "evidence": "According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is \"extremely likely\" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:0", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change", "evidence": "The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is an intergovernmental body of the United Nations that is dedicated to providing the world with objective, scientific information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of the risk of human-induced climate change, its natural, political, and economic impacts and risks, and possible response options.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:127", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change", "evidence": "Since the mid-20th century, most of the observed warming is \"likely\" (greater than 66% probability, based on expert judgement) due to human activities.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:345", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change", "evidence": "\"The work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) represents the consensus of the international scientific community on climate change science.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Scientific consensus on climate change:183", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Scientific consensus on climate change", "evidence": "In it, the IUGG concurs with the \"comprehensive and widely accepted and endorsed scientific assessments carried out by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and regional and national bodies, which have firmly established, on the basis of scientific evidence, that human activities are the primary cause of recent climate change\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2363
The IPCC lead authors are experts in their field, instructed to fairly represent the full range of the up-to-date, peer-reviewed literature.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:108", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change", "evidence": "The choice of authors aims for a range of views, expertise and geographical representation, ensuring representation of experts from developing and developed countries and countries with economies in transition.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:27", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change", "evidence": "The IPCC was tasked with reviewing peer-reviewed scientific literature and other relevant publications to provide information on the state of knowledge about climate change.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:79", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change", "evidence": "Lead authors of IPCC reports assess the available information about climate change based on published sources.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:8", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change", "evidence": "Rather, it assesses published literature, including peer-reviewed and non-peer-reviewed sources.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:80", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change", "evidence": "According to IPCC guidelines, authors should give priority to peer-reviewed sources.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] } ]
2365
Comparisons to the most recent data consistently finds that climate change is occurring more rapidly and intensely than indicated by IPCC predictions.
3DISPUTED
[ { "evidence_id": "IPCC Fourth Assessment Report:18", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "IPCC Fourth Assessment Report", "evidence": "The report notes many observed changes in the Earth's climate including atmospheric composition, global average temperatures, ocean conditions, and other climate changes.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:113", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change", "evidence": "They judge that global mean surface air temperature has increased by 0.3 to 0.6 °C over the last 100 years, broadly consistent with prediction of climate models, but also of the same magnitude as natural climate variability.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:128", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change", "evidence": "Projections based on the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios suggest warming over the 21st century at a more rapid rate than that experienced for at least the last 10,000 years.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Scientific consensus on climate change:107", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Scientific consensus on climate change", "evidence": "The statement references the IPCC's Fourth Assessment of 2007, and asserts that \"climate change is happening even faster than previously estimated; global CO 2 emissions since 2000 have been higher than even the highest predictions, Arctic sea ice has been melting at rates much faster than predicted, and the rise in the sea level has become more rapid\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Scientific consensus on climate change:75", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Scientific consensus on climate change", "evidence": "Some of the changes have been faster than previous assessments had suggested.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] } ]
2366
Increased CO2 makes more water vapor, a greenhouse gas which amplifies warming
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:192", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Increases in atmospheric concentrations of CO 2 and other long-lived greenhouse gases such as methane, nitrous oxide and ozone have correspondingly strengthened their absorption and emission of infrared radiation, causing the rise in average global temperature since the mid-20th century.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:316", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "At the end of an ice age, warming from increased CO 2 would increase the amount of water vapour, amplifying its effect in a feedback process.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:178", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "Water vapor responds to and amplifies effects of the other greenhouse gases.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:181", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "Because water vapor is a greenhouse gas, this results in further warming and so is a \"positive feedback\" that amplifies the original warming.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Polar amplification:33", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Polar amplification", "evidence": "That’s important because water vapor is a greenhouse gas just like carbon dioxide and methane.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2369
The public understand it, in that if you get a fall evening or spring evening and the sky is clear the heat will escape and the temperature will drop and you get frost.
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "Passive solar building design:300", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Passive solar building design", "evidence": "A design with too much equator-facing glass can result in excessive winter, spring, or fall day heating, uncomfortably bright living spaces at certain times of the year, and excessive heat transfer on winter nights and summer days.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Passive solar building design:350", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Passive solar building design", "evidence": "This will then radiate heat into the building in the evening.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Precipitation:137", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Precipitation", "evidence": "Those bands bring strong localized snowfall which can be understood as follows: Large water bodies such as lakes efficiently store heat that results in significant temperature differences (larger than 13 °C or 23 °F) between the water surface and the air above.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Precipitation:24", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Precipitation", "evidence": "when it gets cold, Mars has precipitation which most likely takes the form of frost, rather than rain or snow.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Thunderstorm:39", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Thunderstorm", "evidence": "As the water vapor condenses into liquid, latent heat is released, which warms the air, causing it to become less dense than the surrounding, drier air.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2370
If there is a cloud cover, the heat is trapped by water vapour as a greenhouse gas and the temperature stays quite warm.
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "Atmosphere of Venus:45", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Atmosphere of Venus", "evidence": "The large amount of CO2 in the atmosphere together with water vapour and sulfur dioxide create a strong greenhouse effect, trapping solar energy and raising the surface temperature to around 740 K (467 °C), hotter than any other planet in the Solar System, even that of Mercury despite being located farther out from the Sun and receiving only 25% of the solar energy (per unit area) Mercury does.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:111", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "As water is a potent greenhouse gas, this further heats the climate: the water vapour feedback.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:116", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "If cloud cover increases, more sunlight will be reflected back into space, cooling the planet.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Urban heat island:41", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Urban heat island", "evidence": "Throughout the daytime, particularly when the skies are cloudless, urban surfaces are warmed by the absorption of solar radiation.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ null, "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Water:354", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Water", "evidence": "Water vapor and carbon dioxide in the atmosphere provide a temperature buffer (greenhouse effect) which helps maintain a relatively steady surface temperature.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ null, "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] } ]
2374
Water vapour is the most dominant greenhouse gas.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Attribution of recent climate change:40", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Attribution of recent climate change", "evidence": "Water vapor is the most abundant greenhouse gas and is the largest contributor to the natural greenhouse effect, despite having a short atmospheric lifetime (about 10 days).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate system:103", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate system", "evidence": "The dominant contributor to the greenhouse effect is water vapour (~50%), with clouds (~25%) and CO 2 (~20%) also playing an important role.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate system:12", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate system", "evidence": "Some trace gases in the atmosphere, such as water vapour and carbon dioxide, are the gases most important for the workings of the climate system, as they are greenhouse gases which allow visible light from the Sun to penetrate to the surface, but block some of the infra-red radiation the Earth's surface emits to balance the Sun's radiation.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:57", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "While water vapour (~50%) and clouds (~25%) are the biggest contributors to the greenhouse effect, they increase as a function of temperature and are therefore considered feedbacks.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:6", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "The largest human influence has been the emission of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2377
“A leading Canadian authority on polar bears, Mitch Taylor, said: ‘We’re seeing an increase in bears that’s really unprecedented, and in places where we’re seeing a decrease in the population
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Baffin Island:55", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Baffin Island", "evidence": "[citation needed] In 2012, a survey of caribou herds found that the local population was only about 5,000, a decrease of as much as 95% from the 1990s.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Polar bear:1332", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Polar bear", "evidence": "\"Ask the experts: Are polar bear populations increasing?\".", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Polar bear:308", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Polar bear", "evidence": "In two areas where harvest levels have been increased based on increased sightings, science-based studies have indicated declining populations, and a third area is considered data-deficient.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Polar bear:404", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Polar bear", "evidence": "Warnings about the future of the polar bear are often contrasted with the fact that worldwide population estimates have increased over the past 50 years and are relatively stable today.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Polar bear:58", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Polar bear", "evidence": "In Nunavut, some Inuit have reported increases in bear sightings around human settlements in recent years, leading to a belief that populations are increasing.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] } ]
2378
The costs of inaction far outweigh the costs of mitigation.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate change mitigation:304", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate change mitigation", "evidence": "By addressing climate change, we can avoid the costs associated with the effects of climate change.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change mitigation:305", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate change mitigation", "evidence": "According to the Stern Review, inaction can be as high as the equivalent of losing at least 5% of global gross domestic product (GDP) each year, now and forever (upto 20% of the GDP or more when including a wider range of risks and impacts), whereas mitigating climate change will only cost about 2% of the GDP.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Mitigation (law):0", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Mitigation (law)", "evidence": "Mitigation in law is the principle that a party who has suffered loss (from a tort or breach of contract) has to take reasonable action to minimize the amount of the loss suffered.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Risk management:132", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Risk management", "evidence": "Implementation follows all of the planned methods for mitigating the effect of the risks.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Stern Review:200", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Stern Review", "evidence": "Cline noted that the Review's large cost-benefit ratio for mitigation policy allows room for these long-term costs to be reduced substantially but still support aggressive action to reduce emissions.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2381
Economic assessments of proposed policy to put a price on carbon emissions are in widespread agreement that the net economic impact will be minor.
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon tax:301", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon tax", "evidence": "Various studies in the 1990s, and an economic analysis by Statistics Norway, have estimated the effect of the CO2 tax to be a reduction of 2.5–11% of Norwegian emissions under a business-as-usual approach (i.e., the predicted emissions that would have occurred without the tax).", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon tax:724", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon tax", "evidence": "An Economic Assessment of Policy Instruments for Combating Climate Change.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change mitigation:457", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Climate change mitigation", "evidence": "This is considered as a particularly difficult policy proposal as the economic growth of developing countries are proportionally reflected in the growth of greenhouse emissions.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Emissions trading:117", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Emissions trading", "evidence": "They all put a price on pollution (for example, see carbon price), and so provide an economic incentive to reduce pollution beginning with the lowest-cost opportunities.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Stern Review:213", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Stern Review", "evidence": "Economists have different views over the cost estimates of climate change mitigation given in the Review.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2384
Climate economics research shows that in reality, we are harming the economy by failing to implement CO2 limits.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon tax:4", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon tax", "evidence": "Economists generally argue that carbon taxes are the most efficient and effective way to curb climate change, with the least adverse effects on the economy.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon tax:88", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon tax", "evidence": "There is overwhelming agreement among economists that carbon taxes are the most efficient and effective way to curb climate change, with the least adverse effects on the economy.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change mitigation:362", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change mitigation", "evidence": "The importance of change is illustrated by the fact that world economic energy efficiency is improving at only half the rate of world economic growth.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Emissions trading:72", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Emissions trading", "evidence": "In theory, a polluter's decisions should lead to an economically efficient allocation of reductions among polluters, and lower compliance costs for individual firms and for the economy overall, compared to command-and-control mechanisms.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sustainable development:135", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sustainable development", "evidence": "Therefore, solutions need to be found so that the economies of the world can continue to grow, but not at the expense of the public good.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2387
The Greenland ice sheet is at least 400,000 years old and warming was not global when Europeans settled in Greeland 1,000 years ago
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate change in the Arctic:0", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change in the Arctic", "evidence": "The effects of global warming in the Arctic, or climate change in the Arctic include rising air and water temperatures, loss of sea ice, and melting of the Greenland ice sheet with a related cold temperature anomaly, observed since the 1970s.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenland ice sheet:46", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenland ice sheet", "evidence": "Ice sheet models project that such a warming would initiate the long-term melting of the ice sheet, leading to a complete melting of the ice sheet (over centuries), resulting in a global sea level rise of about 7 metres (23 ft).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenland ice sheet:85", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenland ice sheet", "evidence": "Between 2001 and 2005: Sermeq Kujalleq broke up, losing 93 square kilometres (36 sq mi) and raised awareness worldwide of glacial response to global climate change.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "North America:9", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "North America", "evidence": "The Pre-Columbian era ended in 1492, with the beginning of the transatlantic migrations—the arrival of European settlers during the Age of Discovery and the Early Modern period.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:3", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "This acceleration is due mostly to human-caused global warming, which is driving thermal expansion of seawater and the melting of land-based ice sheets and glaciers.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] } ]
2390
There may have been regions of Greenland that were 'greener' than today
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Greenland ice sheet:125", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenland ice sheet", "evidence": "It has been observed that there is more precipitation where it is warmer, up to 1.5 meters per year on the southeast flank, and less precipitation or none on the 25–80 percent (depending on the time of year) of the island that is cooler.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenland:487", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenland", "evidence": "\"Is Iceland Really Green and Greenland Really Icy?\"", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenland:63", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenland", "evidence": "Interpretation of ice core and clam shell data suggests that between 800 and 1300, the regions around the fjords of southern Greenland experienced a relatively mild climate several degrees Celsius higher than usual in the North Atlantic, with trees and herbaceous plants growing, and livestock being farmed.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Reforestation:74", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Reforestation", "evidence": "The Great Green Wall initiative is a pan-African proposal to \"green\" the continent from west to east in order to battle desertification.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sahara:98", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sahara", "evidence": "When the North African monsoon is at its strongest annual precipitation and subsequent vegetation in the Sahara region increase, resulting in conditions commonly referred to as the \"green Sahara\".", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2391
Greenland on the whole is losing ice, as confirmed by multiple satellite and on the ground field measurements.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Greenland ice sheet:41", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenland ice sheet", "evidence": "These measurements came from the US space agency's GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) satellite, launched in 2002, as reported by BBC.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenland ice sheet:42", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenland ice sheet", "evidence": "Using data from two ground-observing satellites, ICESAT and ASTER, a study published in Geophysical Research Letters (September 2008) shows that nearly 75 percent of the loss of Greenland's ice can be traced back to small coastal glaciers.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenland ice sheet:92", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Greenland ice sheet", "evidence": "Play media Satellite measurements of Greenland's ice cover from 1979 to 2009 reveals a trend of increased melting.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenland:200", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Greenland", "evidence": "Findings show that Greenland has lost 3.8 trillion tonnes of ice since 1992, enough to raise sea levels by almost 11mm (1.06cm).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ice sheet:26", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Ice sheet", "evidence": "The Greenland, and possibly the Antarctic, ice sheets have been losing mass recently, because losses by ablation including outlet glaciers exceed accumulation of snowfall.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2394
(2005), where satellite altimetry established that the mean thickness of the entire Greenland ice sheet had increased at 2 inches per year – a total of almost 2 feet – in the 11 years 1993-2003.”
3DISPUTED
[ { "evidence_id": "Greenland ice sheet:140", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenland ice sheet", "evidence": "In 2005, this had increased to about 220 km3 or 52.8 cu mi a year due to rapid thinning near its coasts, while in 2006 it was estimated at 239 km3 (57.3 cu mi) per year.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenland ice sheet:145", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Greenland ice sheet", "evidence": "Assessment of the data and techniques suggests a mass balance for the Greenland Ice Sheet ranging between growth of 25 Gt/yr and loss of 60 Gt/yr for 1961 to 2003, loss of 50 to 100 Gt/yr for 1993 to 2003 and loss at even higher rates between 2003 and 2005.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenland ice sheet:67", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Greenland ice sheet", "evidence": "Until 2007, rate of decrease in ice sheet height in cm per year.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenland:187", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Greenland", "evidence": "Other research has shown that higher snowfalls from the North Atlantic oscillation caused the interior of the ice cap to thicken by an average of 6 cm or 2.36 in/y between 1994 and 2005.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:49", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "This network was used, in combination with satellite altimeter data, to establish that global mean sea-level rose 19.5 cm (7.7 in) between 1870 and 2004 at an average rate of about 1.44 mm/yr (1.7 mm/yr during the 20th century).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2395
While the Greenland interior is in mass balance, the coastlines are losing ice.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Retreat of glaciers since 1850:60", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Retreat of glaciers since 1850", "evidence": "Inland glaciers have had a generally negative mass balance, whereby during the 1990s, maritime glaciers showed a positive mass balance and advanced.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:639", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "\"A tipping point in refreezing accelerates mass loss of Greenland's glaciers and ice caps\".", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:647", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "\"Greenland's Coastal Ice Caps Have Melted Past The Point Of No Return\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:80", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "The additional snowfall causes increased ice flow of the ice sheet into the ocean, so that the mass gain due to snowfall is partially compensated.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:94", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "Methods agree that the Totten Glacier has lost ice in recent decades in response to ocean warming and possibly a reduction in local sea ice cover.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2396
Overall Greenland is losing ice mass at an accelerating rate.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate change in the Arctic:34", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate change in the Arctic", "evidence": "The rate of the decline in entire Arctic ice coverage is accelerating.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Retreat of glaciers since 1850:978", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Retreat of glaciers since 1850", "evidence": "\"Sharply increased mass loss from glaciers and ice caps in theCanadian Arctic Archipelago\".", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:119", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "Average annual ice loss in Greenland more than doubled in the early 21st century compared to the 20th century.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:639", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "\"A tipping point in refreezing accelerates mass loss of Greenland's glaciers and ice caps\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sea level rise:85", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Sea level rise", "evidence": "A 2018 systematic review study estimated that ice loss across the entire continent was 43 gigatons (Gt) per year on average during the period from 1992 to 2002, but has accelerated to an average of 220 Gt per year during the five years from 2012 to 2017.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ null, "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2398
While there are direct ways in which CO2 is a pollutant (acidification of the ocean), its primary impact is its greenhouse warming effect.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:188", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "While transparent to visible light, carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas, absorbing and emitting infrared radiation at its two infrared-active vibrational frequencies (see the section \"Structure and bonding\" above).", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:192", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Increases in atmospheric concentrations of CO 2 and other long-lived greenhouse gases such as methane, nitrous oxide and ozone have correspondingly strengthened their absorption and emission of infrared radiation, causing the rise in average global temperature since the mid-20th century.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:193", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Carbon dioxide is of greatest concern because it exerts a larger overall warming influence than all of these other gases combined and because it has a long atmospheric lifetime (hundreds to thousands of years).", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:21", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Since the Industrial Revolution anthropogenic emissions – primarily from use of fossil fuels and deforestation – have rapidly increased its concentration in the atmosphere, leading to global warming.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Pollution:148", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Pollution", "evidence": "The emission of greenhouse gases leads to global warming which affects ecosystems in many ways.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2399
While the greenhouse effect is a natural occurence, too much warming has severe negative impacts on agriculture, health and environment.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Effects of global warming:0", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Effects of global warming", "evidence": "The effects of global warming or climate damage include far-reaching and long-lasting changes to the natural environment, to ecosystems and human societies caused directly or indirectly by human emissions of greenhouse gases.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Effects of global warming:19", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Effects of global warming", "evidence": "The impact on the environment, ecosystems, the animal kingdom, society and humanity depends on how much more the Earth warms.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:197", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Generally, impacts on public health will be more negative than positive.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:198", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Impacts include the direct effects of extreme weather, leading to injury and loss of life; and indirect effects, such as undernutrition brought on by crop failures.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:131", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "Future warming is projected to have a range of impacts, including sea level rise, increased frequencies and severities of some extreme weather events, loss of biodiversity, and regional changes in agricultural productivity.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2400
'To suddenly label CO2 as a "pollutant" is a disservice to a gas that has played an enormous role in the development and sustainability of all life on this wonderful Earth.
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate change mitigation:20", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Climate change mitigation", "evidence": "As is stated in Article 2 of the Convention, this requires that greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations are stabilized in the atmosphere at a level where ecosystems can adapt naturally to climate change, food production is not threatened, and economic development can proceed in a sustainable fashion.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Emissions trading:0", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Emissions trading", "evidence": "Emissions trading (also known as cap and trade) is a market-based approach to controlling pollution by providing economic incentives for achieving reductions in the emissions of pollutants.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sustainability:318", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Sustainability", "evidence": "On the other hand, an extensive historical analysis of technological efficiency improvements has conclusively shown that improvements in the efficiency of the use of energy and materials were almost always outpaced by economic growth, in large part because of the rebound effect (conservation) or Jevons Paradox resulting in a net increase in resource use and associated pollution.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Sustainable energy:17", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Sustainable energy", "evidence": "In its book, the Commission described four key elements of sustainability with respect to energy: the ability to increase the supply of energy to meet growing human needs, energy efficiency and conservation, public health and safety, and \"protection of the biosphere and prevention of more localized forms of pollution.\"", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Urbanization:12", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Urbanization", "evidence": "Urbanization creates enormous social, economic and environmental changes, which provide an opportunity for sustainability with the \"potential to use resources more efficiently, to create more sustainable land use and to protect the biodiversity of natural ecosystems.\"", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2401
Mother Earth has clearly ruled that CO2 is not a pollutant.'
1REFUTES
[ { "evidence_id": "Earth in science fiction:56", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Earth in science fiction", "evidence": "Its soil is utterly barren and its atmosphere is a fog of pollution.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Earth in science fiction:71", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Earth in science fiction", "evidence": "By the time of Resurrection, which is set in the 24th century, Earth as a whole is considered to be an unpleasant, polluted planet that even hardened mercenaries prefer to avoid.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Earth:315", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Earth", "evidence": "There is a scientific consensus linking human activities to global warming due to industrial carbon dioxide emissions.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Mother goddess:11", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Mother goddess", "evidence": "Her work in this field has been questioned.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Mother goddess:14", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Mother goddess", "evidence": "This made the debate a political one.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2402
Although it has some very important and beneficial effects, CO2 meets the legal and encyclopedic definitions of a "pollutant", and human CO2 emissions pose a threat to public health and welfare.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate change and agriculture:27", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change and agriculture", "evidence": "More favourable effects on yield tend to depend to a large extent on realization of the potentially beneficial effects of carbon dioxide on crop growth and increase of efficiency in water use.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Emissions trading:60", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Emissions trading", "evidence": "On April 17, 2009, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) formally announced that it had found that greenhouse gas (GHG) poses a threat to public health and the environment (EPA 2009a).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Ocean acidification:83", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Ocean acidification", "evidence": "Although the natural absorption of CO 2 by the world's oceans helps mitigate the climatic effects of anthropogenic emissions of CO 2, it is believed that the resulting decrease in pH will have negative consequences, primarily for oceanic calcifying organisms.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Scientific consensus on climate change:651", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Scientific consensus on climate change", "evidence": "It is anticipated that continuing changes to the climate will have serious negative impacts on public, animal and ecosystem health due to extreme weather events, changing disease transmission dynamics, emerging and re-emerging diseases, and alterations to habitat and ecological systems that are essential to wildlife conservation.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Scientific consensus on climate change:688", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Scientific consensus on climate change", "evidence": "American Public Health Association Policy Statement Addressing the Urgent Threat of Global Climate Change to Public Health and the Environment, 2007, archived from the original on 2009-12-31 \"The long-term threat of global climate change to global health is extremely serious and the fourth IPCC report and other scientific literature demonstrate convincingly that anthropogenic GHG emissions are primarily responsible for this threat….US policy makers should immediately take necessary steps to reduce US emissions of GHGs, including carbon dioxide, to avert dangerous climate change.\"", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2406
This growth stimulation occurs because CO2 is one of the two raw materials (the other being water) that are required for photosynthesis.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:144", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Plants require carbon dioxide to conduct photosynthesis.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:233", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Photosynthesis uses carbon dioxide and water to produce sugars from which other organic compounds can be constructed, and oxygen is produced as a by-product.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:236", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Phototrophs use the products of their photosynthesis as internal food sources and as raw material for the biosynthesis of more complex organic molecules, such as polysaccharides, nucleic acids and proteins.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carnivorous plant:195", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carnivorous plant", "evidence": "The energy is used to reduce carbon dioxide from the air with electrons from water to make sugars (and other biomass) and a waste product, oxygen, in the process of photosynthesis.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Photosynthesis:16", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Photosynthesis", "evidence": "Photosynthetic organisms are photoautotrophs, which means that they are able to synthesize food directly from carbon dioxide and water using energy from light.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2409
Less energy is escaping to space: Carbon dioxide (CO2) acts like a blanket; adding more CO2 makes the 'blanket' thicker, and humans are adding more CO2 all the time.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere:75", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere", "evidence": "The increased radiative forcing due to increased CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere is based on the physical properties of CO2 and the non-saturated absorption windows where CO2 absorbs outgoing long-wave energy.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide:192", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide", "evidence": "Increases in atmospheric concentrations of CO 2 and other long-lived greenhouse gases such as methane, nitrous oxide and ozone have correspondingly strengthened their absorption and emission of infrared radiation, causing the rise in average global temperature since the mid-20th century.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change mitigation:22", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change mitigation", "evidence": "These include carbon dioxide (chemical formula: CO 2), methane (CH 4), nitrous oxide (N 2O), and a group of gases referred to as halocarbons.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change mitigation:29", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate change mitigation", "evidence": "The reason for this is that human activities are adding CO2 to the atmosphere faster than natural processes can remove it (see carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere for a complete explanation).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Climate change mitigation:8", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change mitigation", "evidence": "Examples of mitigation include reducing energy demand by increasing energy efficiency, phasing out fossil fuels by switching to low-carbon energy sources, and removing carbon dioxide from Earth's atmosphere.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2410
"There is no actual evidence that carbon dioxide emissions are causing global warming.
3DISPUTED
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate change denial:221", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Climate change denial", "evidence": "There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Earth's climate.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:218", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "CO2 emissions are continuing to rise due to the burning of fossil fuels and land-use change.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:276", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "In the scientific literature, there is an overwhelming consensus that global surface temperatures have increased in recent decades and that the trend is caused mainly by human-induced emissions of greenhouse gases.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:555", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "\"How the oceans absorb carbon dioxide is critical for predicting climate change\".", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:229", "evidence_label": 1, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "Cumulative anthropogenic (i.e., human-emitted) emissions of CO 2 from fossil fuel use are a major cause of global warming, and give some indication of which countries have contributed most to human-induced climate change.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] } ]
2411
Note that computer models are just concatenations of calculations you could do on a hand-held calculator, so they are theoretical and cannot be part of any evidence."
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Computer science:20", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Computer science", "evidence": "In 1937, one hundred years after Babbage's impossible dream, Howard Aiken convinced IBM, which was making all kinds of punched card equipment and was also in the calculator business to develop his giant programmable calculator, the ASCC/Harvard Mark I, based on Babbage's Analytical Engine, which itself used cards and a central computing unit.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Computer science:79", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Computer science", "evidence": "Peter Denning's working group argued that they are theory, abstraction (modeling), and design.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Computer science:91", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Computer science", "evidence": "In an effort to answer the first question, computability theory examines which computational problems are solvable on various theoretical models of computation.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Computer:22", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Computer", "evidence": "This usage of the term referred to a human computer, a person who carried out calculations or computations.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Mathematics:205", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Mathematics", "evidence": "When reconsidering data from experiments and samples or when analyzing data from observational studies, statisticians \"make sense of the data\" using the art of modelling and the theory of inference – with model selection and estimation; the estimated models and consequential predictions should be tested on new data.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2413
Satellite and surface measurements find less energy is escaping to space at CO2 absorption wavelengths.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere:4", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere", "evidence": "CO 2 absorbs and emits infrared radiation at wavelengths of 4.26 µm (asymmetric stretching vibrational mode) and 14.99 µm (bending vibrational mode) and consequently is a greenhouse gas that plays a significant role in influencing Earth's surface temperature through the greenhouse effect.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming potential:15", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming potential", "evidence": "The radiative forcing capacity (RF) is the amount of energy per unit area, per unit time, absorbed by the greenhouse gas, that would otherwise be lost to space.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:13", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "Greenhouse gases are those that absorb and emit infrared radiation in the wavelength range emitted by Earth.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:28", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "The peak of the thermal IR emission from Earth's surface is very close to a strong vibrational absorption band of CO 2 (wavelength 15 microns, or wavenumber 667 cm−1).", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Greenhouse gas:29", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Greenhouse gas", "evidence": "On the other hand, the single CO vibrational band only absorbs IR at much shorter wavelengths (4.7 microns, or 2145 cm−1), where the emission of radiant energy from Earth's surface is at least a factor of ten lower.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]
2414
Ocean and surface temperature measurements find the planet continues to accumulate heat.
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Earth:112", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Earth", "evidence": "Because much of the heat is provided by radioactive decay, scientists postulate that early in Earth's history, before isotopes with short half-lives were depleted, Earth's heat production was much higher.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Earth:172", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Earth", "evidence": "This last phenomenon is known as the greenhouse effect: trace molecules within the atmosphere serve to capture thermal energy emitted from the ground, thereby raising the average temperature.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Earth:179", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Earth", "evidence": "Energy from the Sun heats this layer, and the surface below, causing expansion of the air.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:42", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Throughout this period ocean heat storage continued to progress steadily upwards, and in subsequent years surface temperatures have spiked upwards.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:53", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Greenhouse gases trap heat radiating from the Earth to space.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] } ]
2417
Mars, Triton, Pluto and Jupiter all show global warming, pointing to the Sun as the dominating influence in determining climate throughout the solar system."
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Global warming:1", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "It is a major aspect of climate change and has been demonstrated by direct temperature measurements and by measurements of various effects of the warming.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:100", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Another line of evidence for the warming not being due to the Sun is how temperature changes differ at different levels in the Earth's atmosphere.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "REFUTES", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:6", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "The largest human influence has been the emission of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:96", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "As the Sun is the Earth's primary energy source, changes in incoming sunlight directly affect the climate system.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, "SUPPORTS" ] }, { "evidence_id": "Triton (moon):34", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Triton (moon)", "evidence": "As Neptune orbits the Sun, Triton's polar regions take turns facing the Sun, resulting in seasonal changes as one pole, then the other, moves into the sunlight.", "entropy": 0.5623351335525513, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO" ] } ]
2420
The sun has shown no long term trend since 1950 and in fact has shown a slight cooling trend in recent decades.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Climate change (general concept):10", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Climate change (general concept)", "evidence": "Climate change is a long-term, sustained trend of change in climate.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:23", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Since 1950, the number of cold days and nights have decreased, and the number of warm days and night have increased.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Little Ice Age:162", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Little Ice Age", "evidence": "Orbital forcing from cycles in the earth's orbit around the sun has, for the past 2,000 years, caused a long-term northern hemisphere cooling trend that continued through the Middle Ages and the Little Ice Age.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Quaternary glaciation:124", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Quaternary glaciation", "evidence": "Based on orbital models, the cooling trend initiated about 6,000 years ago will continue for another 23,000 years.", "entropy": 0.6365141868591309, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Solar activity and climate:16", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Solar activity and climate", "evidence": "In the three decades following 1978, the combination of solar and volcanic activity is estimated to have had a slight cooling influence.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null ] } ]
2422
As of today,JAXA shows that we have more ice than any time on this date for the past 8 years of Aqua satellite measurement for this AMSRE dataset."
2NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
[ { "evidence_id": "Aqua (satellite):20", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Aqua (satellite)", "evidence": "Aqua carries six instruments for studies of water on the Earth's surface and in the atmosphere, of which four are still operating: Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-EOS (AMSR-E) — measures cloud properties, sea surface temperature, near-surface wind speed, radiative energy flux, surface water, ice and snow.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Aqua (satellite):37", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Aqua (satellite)", "evidence": "Cooler A telemetry became frozen on March 24, 2014, but this had no impact on science gathering.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "JAXA:118", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "JAXA", "evidence": "Starting from 1979 with Hakucho (CORSA-b), for nearly two decades Japan had achieved continuous observation with its Hinotori, Tenma, Ginga and ASCA (ASTRO-A through D) x-ray observation satellites.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "JAXA:167", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "JAXA", "evidence": "However, due to various reasons,[specify] both satellites had a much shorter than expected life term.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Moon:136", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Moon", "evidence": "Using the mapper's reflectance spectra, indirect lighting of areas in shadow confirmed water ice within 20° latitude of both poles in 2018.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ null, "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null ] } ]
2423
Arctic sea ice has been steadily thinning, even in the last few years while the surface ice (eg - sea ice extent) increased slightly.
0SUPPORTS
[ { "evidence_id": "Arctic Ocean:122", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Arctic Ocean", "evidence": "The mean extent of the ice has been decreasing since 1980 from the average winter value of 15,600,000 km2 (6,023,200 sq mi) at a rate of 3% per decade.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "REFUTES", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Arctic Ocean:162", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Arctic Ocean", "evidence": "The Arctic ice pack is thinning, and a seasonal hole in the ozone layer frequently occurs.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Arctic Ocean:26", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Arctic Ocean", "evidence": "Nevertheless, as all the explorers who travelled closer and closer to the pole reported, the polar ice cap is quite thick, and persists year-round.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "REFUTES", "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Arctic sea ice decline:33", "evidence_label": 2, "article": "Arctic sea ice decline", "evidence": "A 2018 study of the thickness of sea ice found a decrease of 66% or 2.0 m over the last six decades and a shift from permanent ice to largely seasonal ice cover.", "entropy": 0.6931471824645996, "votes": [ "NOT_ENOUGH_INFO", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] }, { "evidence_id": "Global warming:150", "evidence_label": 0, "article": "Global warming", "evidence": "Global warming has led to decades of shrinking and thinning of the Arctic sea ice, making it vulnerable to atmospheric anomalies.", "entropy": 0, "votes": [ "SUPPORTS", "SUPPORTS", null, null, null ] } ]